Posted: 11/6/2012 10:13:29 PM
Starting Wednesday early. I'm not a total guy but it's the totals that jumped out to me.
Pho/Cha OVER 191.0
Phoenix is back to the same team they were when they barely give a damn about defending. It's not that they try, they do but it just isn't working. Cats are able to put up at least 90 and Dunlap's system will allow them to score more. Phoenix on the other hand has been on the road for quite some time now playing their 3rd road game. I think this game is a toss up and could go either way but the total stood up for me not to take it. I would love a Cats win but the OVER seem to be the less riskier. I see both team at least dropping 90 with 6 minutes left in the game.
Was/Bos UNDER 187.0
Washington, again, has nobody to take charge of their offense so the points will come hardly anywhere. Boston at home is a better defensive team and should clamp on the visiting Wizards. With a couple of days off, they should be tougher. I see something like a 80-90 type of final score here. Until the Celtics gets decent production from their bench, I believe we can ride this under for a good while. Both teams are a combined 1-4 O/U and have yet to get pass the 90-point mark (sans the Boston game against Miami).
Orl/Min UNDER 194.0
I think this is the best bet of the three. Orlando should run out of gas here seeing their starters (and Redick) eating up 30+ minutes against Chicago and playing the 3rd game in 4 nights. T'Wolves on the other hand isn't as effective offensively but they have taken a step towards defending well. I know the sample is still a bit small but compared to the 2 road games the Wolves had, they played better in their home opener and I expect them to play better defense at home. Orlando also has shot the ball really well in their first 2 wins but should comeback to earth in their FG% on the road.
Milwaukee Bucks -1 - Bucks are at home and could match up well with the Grizz' front court. Looking for Brandon Jennings to turn in another good performance. Bucks starts the season 3-0 since 05-06.
Houston Rockets -2.5 - Fading the Nuggets on the road regardless of tonight's result against the Pistons.
Minnesota Timberwolves -6.5 - See my writeup on the UNDER. Orlando will fall short here and shoot the ball below .40.
Utah Jazz -3.5 - How many times did the lines put out a line like this between La-Uta. I've seen to many over the years and it's almost always like the EnergySolution Arena(Delta Center) have this LA curse (much like how they always fare badly in the Rose Garden).
San Antonio Spurs -2.0 - They continue their dominance over the Clippers.