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[NBA Betting] Topic: Thursday Plays.. |
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UPNTHAPORT |
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#1 Posted: 5/17/2012 12:49:29 PM Good Day to all..
I hope everyone has a successful night on their plays..
Two Games on the Slate for Tonight...
Game 1 Heat/Pacers..
This line opened with the Pacers getting -1 as Favorites at Home which was to be expected, but in the last 24 Hours the Odds Makers have turned the Heat to the Favs currently sitting at -2.5 on my Books making the Pacers a home dog which I am always in Favor of taking..
Vegas has Got 85% of the Public money on the spread for the Heat and 60% on the ML currently..
I believe this is great Value for the Pacers who have an advantage over the Heat IMO by Bosh being out..
I will always take a Home Team getting Points, especially one that is playing with a renewed confidence after Splitting Games in South Beach...
Danny Granger their best player hasn't even had a Big game yet, and unless Lebron & D-Wade each score 40 a piece with the way the Heat's bench has played I can't see this one being any kind of Blow Out..
I still like the Heat to take this one in a close Game, and I might play a ML bet as insurance on the Heat, but making them the Favs on the Road by 2.5 makes my decision easier to go with the Pacers and the Points..
Game 1.. Pacers +3.. Bought the HOOK...
Game 2 Clippers/Spurs...
The Clippers accually came out and played with some Heart and didn't get blown out of the Gym like the Lakers did coming off a hard fought 7 game series with the Grizzlies...
And now the Spurs are getting -11 again which is still a large number to Cover against a Team that still has Chris Paul..
I Believe the Spurs are the Best Team currently in the Playoffs hands down, their bench is unreal and the way Tim Duncan has been playing is just another added Bonus..
I have no doubt the Spurs will win tonight, but to Give the Clippers another +11 after the way they battled in the 1st Game is asking alot of the Spurs to Cover..
I kind of think this one might be like the Lakers/Thunder game last night where the Clippers hang around a little more and find a way to stay within the 11 points given to them...
The only thing that worries me is that all the Money is on the Clippers for the Spread & ML..
Game 2.. Small Lean Clippers +11.5.. If I take it I would buy the HOOK..
BOL on everyones plays tonight...
Team
| Open |
Sportsbook |
Hilton |
Caesars |
MGM |
Stations |
Offshore |
Bookmaker |
| 05/17/2012 7:05 PM EDT |
| 517 MIAMI HEAT |
182u10 |
-2 |
-2 |
-1.5 |
-1.5 |
-1.5 |
-1.5 |
-1.5 |
87% |
63% |
42% |
| 518 INDIANA PACERS |
-1 -04 |
180.5 |
180.5 |
180.5 |
180.5 |
181 |
180.5u08 |
180.5 |
13% |
37% |
58% |
| 05/17/2012 9:35 PM EDT |
| 519 LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS |
194 |
194 |
194 |
194 |
194.5 |
194 |
194o09 |
194 |
61% |
86% |
67% |
| 520 SAN ANTONIO SPURS |
-11.5 -04 |
-10.5 |
-10.5 |
-10.5 |
-11 |
-10.5 |
-10.5 -08 |
-10.5 |
39% |
14% |
33% | |
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followmylead |
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Banned
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#2 Posted: 5/17/2012 1:14:17 PM leaning the same way untp but my favorite is Over MIA/IND game. |
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star22 |
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#3 Posted: 5/17/2012 1:28:14 PM I like the over and Mia-2 and West over 8 boards. |
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motorcitymama |
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#4 Posted: 5/17/2012 1:39:57 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by followmylead:  leaning the same way untp but my favorite is Over MIA/IND game.
that over has gone to 180.5 on 5 Dimes as of 11:20 Mountain Time. |
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motorcitymama |
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#5 Posted: 5/17/2012 1:40:24 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by followmylead:  leaning the same way untp but my favorite is Over MIA/IND game.
that over has gone to 180.5 on 5 Dimes as of 11:20 Mountain Time. |
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motorcitymama |
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#6 Posted: 5/17/2012 1:40:29 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by followmylead:  leaning the same way untp but my favorite is Over MIA/IND game.
that over has gone to 180.5 on 5 Dimes as of 11:20 Mountain Time. |
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UPNTHAPORT |
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#7 Posted: 5/17/2012 1:58:16 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by followmylead:
leaning the same way untp but my favorite is Over MIA/IND game.
I might look into that play..
I ussually stay away from Totals, but since you like it I may take a look at putting something on it...
Bol Tonight... |
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#8 Posted: 5/17/2012 2:05:13 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by star22:
I like the over and Mia-2 and West over 8 boards.
If I was offered the West Over 8 Boards I would definately take a look at it since he has been a beast down low...
Last Game I took Granger Over 17 Points, and I don't know about you but he just looked like he was playing in slow motion the whole Game..
They are offering it again, I am thinking about taking it one more time as he is one of their better players who should be able to get Over 17 Points easily..
BOL on your Plays Tonight.. |
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followmylead |
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#9 Posted: 5/17/2012 2:05:20 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by UPNTHAPORT:
I might look into that play..
I ussually stay away from Totals, but since you like it I may take a look at putting something on it...
Bol Tonight...
Capped it at 187 last night. Had my teams and totals right yesterday. Hopefully another streak is on the way.
GL to you too. |
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MGM_grnd |
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#10 Posted: 5/17/2012 2:48:47 PM GL |
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-LB- |
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#11 Posted: 5/17/2012 3:56:04 PM BOL TODAY UP! IM LEANING THE SAME WAY WITH THE SIDES AT THE MOMENT. LOOKING OVER TOTALS NOW... LIL IFFY ON TONIGHTS GAMES...BOL BROTHA!  
HOPE YOU HIT YOU GRANGER PROP AS WELL!  |
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SportsFreak69 |
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#12 Posted: 5/17/2012 4:34:09 PM Best of Luck  |
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Michfan15 |
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#13 Posted: 5/17/2012 5:19:43 PM Tough game but I think Miami will make proper adjustments to account for the loss of bosh. Even without bosh hibbert didn't exactly dominate. Everyone backin pacers seems to just over reacting to their last game which is an easy trap to fall into
I think the heat come out gunning and should win a somewhat high scoring affair. Favorite prop is chalmers over 12 points think he gets it going hasn't hit a 3 all series |
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#14 Posted: 5/17/2012 5:44:11 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Michfan15: Tough game but I think Miami will make proper adjustments to account for the loss of bosh. Even without bosh hibbert didn't exactly dominate. Everyone backin pacers seems to just over reacting to their last game which is an easy trap to fall into
I think the heat come out gunning and should win a somewhat high scoring affair. Favorite prop is chalmers over 12 points think he gets it going hasn't hit a 3 all series
You make some great points, I also think Miami will come out and play a better game than they did in Game 2..
But I think the Key is Miami's bench, Lebron & Wade cannot do everything on their own... Miami need's a complete Team effort, The Pacers have a overall better Team at this Point with Bosh out so as long as they stay within their system they should be able to make this a close game tonight..
The Chalmers Prop should be good, you would think he would step up as the 3rd option for scoring...
BOL Tonight.. |
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#15 Posted: 5/17/2012 5:47:40 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by -LB-:
BOL TODAY UP! IM LEANING THE SAME WAY WITH THE SIDES AT THE MOMENT. LOOKING OVER TOTALS NOW... LIL IFFY ON TONIGHTS GAMES...BOL BROTHA!  
HOPE YOU HIT YOU GRANGER PROP AS WELL! 
Yeah these really are some tough Games to Cap tonight...
I am not a Totals player, but I keep hearing that the Over in the Heat/Pacers Game is the way to go...
BOL on your Plays Tonight.. |
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winner005 |
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#16 Posted: 5/17/2012 5:48:48 PM  |
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-LB- |
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#17 Posted: 5/17/2012 5:56:21 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by UPNTHAPORT:
Yeah these really are some tough Games to Cap tonight...
I am not a Totals player, but I keep hearing that the Over in the Heat/Pacers Game is the way to go...
BOL on your Plays Tonight.. IMO i think eveyone is saying that bc of what a few IND players did at the end of the game on center court in MIA. So revenge is in there mind that MIA will put aan behind whoopin on IND so pts galore... Im still thinking under the way these 2 have been playing...tough one bud! BOL TODAY! Im guessing 89-84 see what happens its a game...  |
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Michfan15 |
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#18 Posted: 5/17/2012 6:10:32 PM Bol to you as well.
Been cold lately and I initially liked pacers which also factors into leaning heat |
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-LB- |
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#19 Posted: 5/17/2012 6:15:09 PM Forgot total did drop 6pts and both teams avg 90+ still going to be a close one but im sure it will be better than the last game... totals a tough tonight... |
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capskip |
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#20 Posted: 5/17/2012 6:18:02 PM  |
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evilelvis |
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#21 Posted: 5/17/2012 6:21:52 PM GL PORT and all.
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Michfan15 |
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#22 Posted: 5/17/2012 6:42:17 PM With bosh out and had time to prepare for his absence:
Lost 98-99 to jazz. Out rebounded 50-33
Lost 83-93 to lakers. Outreb 44-35
Last game v pacers they were again out rebounded by 10
Haslem going to have to step up and the heat will have to hit their shots to avoid losing the rebounding battle
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UPNTHAPORT |
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#23 Posted: 5/17/2012 6:48:13 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Michfan15:
With bosh out and had time to prepare for his absence:
Lost 98-99 to jazz. Out rebounded 50-33
Lost 83-93 to lakers. Outreb 44-35
Last game v pacers they were again out rebounded by 10
Haslem going to have to step up and the heat will have to hit their shots to avoid losing the rebounding battle
The Longer Bosh Is out, the more the Heat will feel the effects...
He just does so much for them that is not appreciated...
I just can't trust the Heat bench on a consistant basis...
Great STATS by the way!!!!
Very telling information... |
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Michfan15 |
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#24 Posted: 5/17/2012 7:26:39 PM Great start for chalmers. The prop is actually over 12 points + assists |
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Michfan15 |
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#25 Posted: 5/17/2012 9:15:24 PM Chalmers 
Heat  |
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