Messages

Forum Index : NBA Betting : Messages Page 1 of 2  1 2  
Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: February Bloodbath
KeyElement
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
KeyElement
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 9498
Location: Arizona
#1
Posted: 2/1/2012 6:20:28 PM
I got off to a nice start, then crashed badly, but the numbers always catch up with the teams and I am going to play one or two best bets per day for the month of February. If I make a substantial profit it will continue in March, if not, I will lick my wounds and wait for MLB, All plays for 100 units and I will do the more important thing, track the return on risk.

Utah PK, +124
quote
vegas-angle send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
vegas-angle
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 318
Location: Virginia
#2
Posted: 2/1/2012 6:22:48 PM
With you on this one
quote
KeyElement
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
KeyElement
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 9498
Location: Arizona
#3
Posted: 2/2/2012 4:33:08 PM
0-1, -100 units, -100% ROR

Knicks, PK, +145


quote
Imakeplays send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetDSI |
Imakeplays
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 1826
Location: Massachusetts
#4
Posted: 2/2/2012 4:39:46 PM
I will never understand a person who puts "100 units" on a game.. lol

just fuckin make your unit bigger broseph. its annoying like you're deliberately trying to make it seem like a bigger deal by emphasizing the UNITS which are probably DOLLARS. 

you're a decent capper. bet one unit a game and pick 60%. 
dont complicate things. 
quote
FruityALBINOguy send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
FruityALBINOguy
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 726
Location:
#5
Posted: 2/2/2012 4:54:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Imakeplays:

I will never understand a person who puts "100 units" on a game.. lol

just fuckin make your unit bigger broseph. its annoying like you're deliberately trying to make it seem like a bigger deal by emphasizing the UNITS which are probably DOLLARS. 

you're a decent capper. bet one unit a game and pick 60%. 
dont complicate things. 

 

you're silly!! his units are in CENTS!

quote
misfits send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
misfits
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 3720
Location: Nevada
#6
Posted: 2/2/2012 5:09:30 PM
Key
baseball and 1st 5 inns back soon
quote
andreagassi6969 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
andreagassi6969
Participation Meter
Hall of Fame
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 20269
Location: Nevada
#7
Posted: 2/2/2012 5:09:57 PM
quote
d0pebo1 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
d0pebo1
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 666
Location: Ontario
#8
Posted: 2/2/2012 5:15:30 PM
who's lovin the blue jays this season?!
Posted using a mobile device.
quote
KeyElement
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
KeyElement
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 9498
Location: Arizona
#9
Posted: 2/2/2012 5:50:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Imakeplays:

I will never understand a person who puts "100 units" on a game.. lol

just fuckin make your unit bigger broseph. its annoying like you're deliberately trying to make it seem like a bigger deal by emphasizing the UNITS which are probably DOLLARS. 

you're a decent capper. bet one unit a game and pick 60%. 
dont complicate things. 
That is answering my point, bro. Nobody here or anywhere else has any idea what a "unit" is from one handicapper to the next, so things get all distorted with "15 units on A", "12 units on B", "4.5 units on C", blah blah blah. Heck, most guys never go back and see if the capper is even accounting properly.

As for saying if you are betting $100.00, just call it 1 unit and hit 60% that doesn't level the field of comparison at all, because no one has any way of knowing if a player is playing 1, 5, 10 or 100 dollars per unit. That is why I rely much more on ROR, return on risk, which absolutely, positively can not lie or distort the results of any wager.

A -110 wager returns 90.9% of the risk in profit if it wins, period. The size of the wager or "unit" is irrelevant, the quality of the wager is in its return on risk.

So, if a guy goes 18-12 in a 30 day month and hits 60%, but played only 1 "unit' each and is up only 4.8 units most Covers Forum readers will say "no big deal" but if he is up 480 "units" he will be scorned and laughed at, even though the 60% and 14.54% ROR are exactly the same thing.

If a guy invests $10,000 dollars in a stock and makes $1,000 profit (10%) was it a better investment than the $2,000 he invested in another stock that made $300.00 profit (15%) because it made more "units"? Most guys would say, correctly, they wish they had reversed the 2 investments; then the "units" of profit would be far higher on the greater Return On Risk ($1,700 as opposed to $1,300). So, that is the figure to watch and always be aware of, not the "units".


quote
KeyElement
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
KeyElement
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 9498
Location: Arizona
#10
Posted: 2/2/2012 5:53:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by misfits:

Key
baseball and 1st 5 inns back soon
Yes sir! Mariners and A's can start reporting to camp in just 10 days and away we go again!

 

quote
timdogs17 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Hard Rock |
timdogs17
Participation Meter
MVP
Joined: Oct 2006
Posts: 15266
Location: New York
#11
Posted: 2/2/2012 5:57:16 PM
Key.... Can't wait for baseball... Your Knowledge of the game
Is Remarkable. I enjoy your threads. Heck, I may even pay you
To do my Fantasy Draft..
quote
FruityALBINOguy send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
FruityALBINOguy
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 726
Location:
#12
Posted: 2/2/2012 5:59:09 PM
K.E is pretty badass in the MLB first 5 inning plays.  Made some serious money off of you
quote
KeyElement
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
KeyElement
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 9498
Location: Arizona
#13
Posted: 2/2/2012 6:01:30 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by timdogs17:

Key.... Can't wait for baseball... Your Knowledge of the game
Is Remarkable. I enjoy your threads. Heck, I may even pay you
To do my Fantasy Draft..
How much? One thing I never lie about is that I am in it for the money, lol. I wonder if a guy could make a few dollars offering a service like that on EBay?


quote
KeyElement
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
KeyElement
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 9498
Location: Arizona
#14
Posted: 2/3/2012 4:36:06 PM
0-2, -200 units, -100% ROR

Knicks-Celtics Under 185
Pacers-Mavericks Under 191.5


BOL
quote
KeyElement
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
KeyElement
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 9498
Location: Arizona
#15
Posted: 2/4/2012 7:44:17 AM
2-2, -18.2 units, -0.955% ROR

Phillie-Atlanta Under 181
Orlando-Indiana Under 185.5
Cleveland +5
Chicago-Milwaukee Under 191
LA-Utah Under 187.5
Charlotte-Phoenix Over 188
Denver-Portland Under 201


BOL
quote
KeyElement
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
KeyElement
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 9498
Location: Arizona
#16
Posted: 2/5/2012 5:25:57 PM
5-6, -145.5 units, -13.2% ROR

Monday 2-6-12

LA Lakers-Phillie Under 177
Toronto-Washington Over 186.5
Portland -1


BOL
 
quote
KeyElement
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
KeyElement
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 9498
Location: Arizona
#17
Posted: 2/7/2012 11:28:13 AM
6-8 (42.9%), -254.6 units, -18.2% ROR

Warriors +3

BOL
quote
JPSM send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
JPSM
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Apr 2011
Posts: 1731
Location:
#18
Posted: 2/7/2012 11:31:22 AM
quote
KeyElement
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
KeyElement
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 9498
Location: Arizona
#19
Posted: 2/7/2012 3:00:18 PM
No choice, too much line movement (steam)

Jazz-Pacers Under 193.5

BOL
quote
KeyElement
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
KeyElement
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 9498
Location: Arizona
#20
Posted: 2/8/2012 10:38:51 AM
6-9-1, -354.6 units, -23.6% ROR

Minnesota +8

BOL

If I value rate the T-Wolves 6-4 road record versus the Bucks 6-4 home record (last 10 only) I get a total rating of 100.2 to 94.5 in favor of the T-Wolves. It was an interesting exercise I may continue.
quote
KeyElement
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
KeyElement
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 9498
Location: Arizona
#21
Posted: 2/8/2012 10:41:31 AM
Pardon me it's Memphis of course, brain fart.

quote
KeyElement
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
KeyElement
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 9498
Location: Arizona
#22
Posted: 2/9/2012 11:03:06 AM
7-9-1, -264.6 units, -16.5% ROR

Celtics -3

BOL
quote
KeyElement
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
KeyElement
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 9498
Location: Arizona
#23
Posted: 2/10/2012 3:25:49 PM
7-10-1, -364.6 units, -21.4% ROR

Minnesota +2.5

BOL
quote
dendogg55
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
dendogg55
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 8875
Location: Italy
#24
Posted: 2/10/2012 4:03:00 PM
quote
KeyElement
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
KeyElement
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 9498
Location: Arizona
#25
Posted: 2/11/2012 11:40:20 AM
7-11-1, -464.6 units, -25.8% ROR

Portland +4.5
Portland-Dallas Under 186
Sacramento -2


BOL
quote
Forum Index : NBA Betting : Messages Page 1 of 2  1 2  
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.