Posted:
#1
The total is at 180.5
The Lakers have played 9 games this season against teams in the bottom ten in ppg allowed. All 9 have gone over tonight's total---at an average total of 190 points. Also, the Lakers have scored less than 90 points only 2 out of 12 home games this season(against 2 very good defensive teams in Chicago and Dallas).
In addition, for what it's worth, when Eastern conference teams visit LA, the scores tend to be higher. Perhaps it's the glitz and allure of playing in LA, but East teams tend to enjoy scoring while in Hollywood. Over the last 10 seasons, when Eastern conference teams have gone into LA, 117 of 135(87%) of these games have gone over tonight's total.
Charlotte is allowing 102 ppg on the road this season. I know the Lakers have been having trouble scoring recently--I think that shouldn't be an issue tonight. Diop and Mullens do not matchup well with Bynum; Kobe should be able to get good looks against the shorter and slower Henderson. If Matt Carroll is guarding Kobe, well...it could get ugly. The Lakers also have no reason to play tight defense tonight--they expect(rightfully so) to win this game handily and get some rest before a tough 6 game road trip(in 9 nights) starting on Friday.
Charlotte, on the other hand, should be prepared off of 3 days' rest. Augustin and Maggette remain out, but Henderson, White and Williams are expected to play tonight. Henderson and Williams' return should greatly improve offensive output for the Bobcats compared to their recent tepid performances; Williams is a solid 3 point shooter. This is the first game of a B2B and they will likely not be aggressive on the defensive end tonight. Walker is a bad matchup for LA and should easily be able to run by the slower Laker PG's and create some scoring chances. I really expect them bring a lot of energy playing in LA tonight and to put up 85-90 points.
I am on the over 180.5. As always, good luck in your wagers, whatever you decide. Play with discipline and caution.
0
Hot Forum Topics
