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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: CrazyMilkMan's NBA Monday
CrazyMilkMan
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#1
Posted: 1/16/2012 4:29:56 AM

1-0 Sunday. 64-63 YTD. Monday, keeping it short and sweet (posted this earlier but somehow it only appeared under my space as a blog entry):


Chicago Bulls -3.5
Lean: OVER 177.5
I mean, why not right? One of the best road team of the season. Strong lean on the OVER since the Grizz have no problem scoring at home.


Philadelphia 76ers -8.0
Bogut will most likely play but it doesn't matter since the 76ers are at home and playing like a seasoned team. Hawes' back is a lot better and should contribute like he did early in the season. Bucks play them really close last season but I don't see it happening here. I guess it's because of the 76ers' improvement as a team.


Houston Rockets -5.5
Don't think too much here. Rockets suck on the road so we have such "low" line. Fading DC here! If you've been fading them the whole season you'll probably be up by 5 units now.


New Orleans ATS 1Q
Going for 12-1!


Lean: Toronto Raptors +12.5
No Bargnani and yet this team seem to not have any problem scoring. Leaning on the Raptors because it's one too many points for the Hawks to cover.


Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5
Nah. I don't think the Celtics of old will show up. Youth rolls.


Lean: Minnesota Timberwolves -7.0
Minnesota/Sacramento UNDER 192.0
Queens will continue to suck on the road. Making a 4-8 home team a 7-point fave is saying a lot about their opponent. I do believe they run them out but Sacto are so inconsistent that one good night from them may turn it into easy cover. The UNDER is the better play here with both teams combining for 3-11-0 O/U home-road record.


Lean: Los Angeles Lakers -4.0
Lakers are in for a nice TV scheduling. They just played the Clipshow then will play a grudge match against the team who swept them in the playoff, take a break and travel to Florida to play the Heat and Magic. I'm looking forward to the Magic game more than the Dallas-revenge-match. Dwight questioned Kobe whether he still have it in him and you know he doesn't forget.

Anyway, leaning on the Lakers because the Mavs don't have a man in the middle anymore. Last season, Chandler was easily the X-Factor to how they controlled the Lakeshow. With revenge from getting swept in mind, Kobe will drop 40 again and hopefully this time, Pau and Bynum chip in. Lamar will probably be irrelevant again as he was the whole season so far.




BOL.

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#2
Posted: 1/16/2012 4:46:27 AM
BOL! leaning memphis and boston because of the lines.. any thoughts on these weird lines?
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GoLeafs420
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#3
Posted: 1/16/2012 5:12:49 AM
love all ur picks, cept the lakers one kinda worries me.


BOL
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Posted: 1/16/2012 5:20:42 AM
u've recovered well mate. i'm trying to do the same. BOL
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#5
Posted: 1/16/2012 5:39:45 AM
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#6
Posted: 1/16/2012 6:18:37 AM
Like your infos on the games
Best of luck tonight buddy

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#7
Posted: 1/16/2012 6:34:38 AM
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#8
Posted: 1/16/2012 6:49:26 AM
Omg on memphis here :l
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#9
Posted: 1/16/2012 6:57:20 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CrazyMilkMan:



Houston Rockets -5.5
Don't think too much here. Rockets suck on the road so we have such "low" line. Fading DC here! If you've been fading them the whole season you'll probably be up by 5 units now.



Anyone would be far fetched to beat any of these teams on the road this year: 

Magic 4-1su @ home
Grizzlies 4-2su @ home
Lakers 8-1su @ home
Clippers 5-1su @ home
Thunder 6-1su @ home
Spurs 9-0 @ home

That's an opponents record of 36-6 against teams the Rockets lost to on the road this year. It's going to be far fetched to find a team to come out looking good on the road after that lineup as those teams won 86% of their home games so far this season. On another note the Rockets have went 8-1su & 8-1ats in their last 9 road games when being favored. Still think they suck on the road? I don't...

BOL today Milkman

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#10
Posted: 1/16/2012 7:58:00 AM
start of the year has been rough for me. hope to catch that money train with Phi and Lal

Bol cmm
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#11
Posted: 1/16/2012 8:08:25 AM

phily,lal


how about bobcats milk?
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Posted: 1/16/2012 8:14:59 AM

No, please leave out the Bobcats!!  I actually really like Cleveland in this spot and will be on them for sure.

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#13
Posted: 1/16/2012 8:16:53 AM
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#14
Posted: 1/16/2012 8:17:37 AM
Good luck CMM.  
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#15
Posted: 1/16/2012 8:51:42 AM
cheers
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#16
Posted: 1/16/2012 8:54:10 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dkite22:

No, please leave out the Bobcats!!  I actually really like Cleveland in this spot and will be on them for sure.

 He didn't even post anything on this game. What exactly are you talking about?
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#17
Posted: 1/16/2012 8:57:07 AM
hey milkman, i have been doing the same thing with philly 2nd qtr as their bench rotations have been superior to the competition and are also like 12 and 1 against the spread. i love the play tonite as well against the bucks in the 2nd qtr. i cant give you exact numbers as i am at work now but im sure it has only lost once so far.
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#18
Posted: 1/16/2012 8:57:57 AM
Fading Wiz!! Go Rockets!!! BOL
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#19
Posted: 1/16/2012 9:11:24 AM
gL...
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CrazyMilkMan
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#20
Posted: 1/16/2012 9:30:55 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by moneymaker_07:

BOL! leaning memphis and boston because of the lines.. any thoughts on these weird lines?

Grizz are probably itching for revenge. Home court usually amounts to 3 points so from 7 down to 3.5 isn't really that weird. I think this game won't be as easy as anyone would think. Like I said, Grizz have no problem scoring at home and can probably keep it close against them (again playing with vengeance). Add the fact that they'll play in a packed crowd which makes them twice as better (see playoffs).

Boston is the weird one. Bass suddenly is questionable for the game and the line moving from -2.5 to +2.5 is something alarming. I'm going to just take a stab at this one and going ahead with what I think is the better team.

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CrazyMilkMan
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#21
Posted: 1/16/2012 9:31:55 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by GoLeafs420:

love all ur picks, cept the lakers one kinda worries me.


BOL

Don't be. At least you know that one team is really going to play for something and play hard for it.

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CrazyMilkMan
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#22
Posted: 1/16/2012 9:33:33 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by 3BallBomber:

u've recovered well mate. i'm trying to do the same. BOL

You'll get there just hang in there. The shortened season thrashes everyone's capping method and flush it down the drain. Injuries left and right and players' conditioning are always a huge concern.

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CrazyMilkMan
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#23
Posted: 1/16/2012 9:34:41 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by oddsbuster:

Anyone would be far fetched to beat any of these teams on the road this year: 

Magic 4-1su @ home
Grizzlies 4-2su @ home
Lakers 8-1su @ home
Clippers 5-1su @ home
Thunder 6-1su @ home
Spurs 9-0 @ home

That's an opponents record of 36-6 against teams the Rockets lost to on the road this year. It's going to be far fetched to find a team to come out looking good on the road after that lineup as those teams won 86% of their home games so far this season. On another note the Rockets have went 8-1su & 8-1ats in their last 9 road games when being favored. Still think they suck on the road? I don't...

BOL today Milkman

I've looked into that. All the more reason to play the Rockets on such a "low" line.

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CrazyMilkMan
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#24
Posted: 1/16/2012 9:37:18 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cipalata81:


phily,lal


how about bobcats milk?

The only real factor to play my Cats is that the Cavs are most likely looking ahead to going home and fast. The afternoon game will make you want to go back home early and take a breather.

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CrazyMilkMan
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#25
Posted: 1/16/2012 9:39:37 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by dkite22:

hey milkman, i have been doing the same thing with philly 2nd qtr as their bench rotations have been superior to the competition and are also like 12 and 1 against the spread. i love the play tonite as well against the bucks in the 2nd qtr. i cant give you exact numbers as i am at work now but im sure it has only lost once so far.

I actually like my Cats in this situation my friend. Cavs on a really good chance of looking ahead to going back home after a long trip.

I'd love to hear more and look over that trend. It does make sense with the 2nd Q thing with the 76ers. I guess if youre best scorer is coming off the bench, this isn't far from being true.

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