The Knicks revenging a SU loss are 5-3 ATS when they're favored in the second game. I'd like to also note that 2 of the losses in both of those stats were against the Cavs. I consider both of those losses very flukey, but they have to be considered when looking at the statAlso, in their two other home-and-home series this year, the Knicks lost the first to the 76ers by 12, then won the second one two days later by 14. And they won both against the Bobcats.
Meanwhile the Pacers are 2-5 ATS when a dog in the second after winning SU in the first game. Also the Pacers have had two home-and-homes. In the first, against Philly, they won the first by 13 and lost the second by 26. In the second, against the Wizards, they lost the first by 14 and won the second by 9.
Plus, no playoff teams have lost both games of a home-and-home this year. In the Knicks and Pacers split h&h's the average point swing was over 29 points from one game to the next.
Refs are very neutral tonight.
In other words, I'm taking the Knicks -4 tonight. I think they'll win by double digits personally. I'm going with an above average play.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Knicks -4
The Knicks revenging a SU loss are 5-3 ATS when they're favored in the second game. I'd like to also note that 2 of the losses in both of those stats were against the Cavs. I consider both of those losses very flukey, but they have to be considered when looking at the statAlso, in their two other home-and-home series this year, the Knicks lost the first to the 76ers by 12, then won the second one two days later by 14. And they won both against the Bobcats.
Meanwhile the Pacers are 2-5 ATS when a dog in the second after winning SU in the first game. Also the Pacers have had two home-and-homes. In the first, against Philly, they won the first by 13 and lost the second by 26. In the second, against the Wizards, they lost the first by 14 and won the second by 9.
Plus, no playoff teams have lost both games of a home-and-home this year. In the Knicks and Pacers split h&h's the average point swing was over 29 points from one game to the next.
Refs are very neutral tonight.
In other words, I'm taking the Knicks -4 tonight. I think they'll win by double digits personally. I'm going with an above average play.
I agree with the play but I'm still very weary about the line movement. I've seen -5 starting this morning and then it was announced that Granger is doubtful tonight and the line went down to -4.5.
That is very fishy line movement as the EXACT same thing happened last night with GS @ Sacramento. The Kings were -1 and then it was announced that Evans was out for Sac and yet the Kings moved to -1.5 and they won the game by 10 when 93% was on GS.
I wanna pull the trigger on the Knicks so bad but I can't get myself to do it based on this reverse line movement. Thoughts? am I over thinking this?
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I agree with the play but I'm still very weary about the line movement. I've seen -5 starting this morning and then it was announced that Granger is doubtful tonight and the line went down to -4.5.
That is very fishy line movement as the EXACT same thing happened last night with GS @ Sacramento. The Kings were -1 and then it was announced that Evans was out for Sac and yet the Kings moved to -1.5 and they won the game by 10 when 93% was on GS.
I wanna pull the trigger on the Knicks so bad but I can't get myself to do it based on this reverse line movement. Thoughts? am I over thinking this?
I agree with the play but I'm still very weary about the line movement. I've seen -5 starting this morning and then it was announced that Granger is doubtful tonight and the line went down to -4.5.
That is very fishy line movement as the EXACT same thing happened last night with GS @ Sacramento. The Kings were -1 and then it was announced that Evans was out for Sac and yet the Kings moved to -1.5 and they won the game by 10 when 93% was on GS.
I wanna pull the trigger on the Knicks so bad but I can't get myself to do it based on this reverse line movement. Thoughts? am I over thinking this?
As far as I've seen, th line opened at 3.5 or 4 and is now at either 4.5 or 5, so not sure what you're talking about.
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Quote Originally Posted by davemw23:
I agree with the play but I'm still very weary about the line movement. I've seen -5 starting this morning and then it was announced that Granger is doubtful tonight and the line went down to -4.5.
That is very fishy line movement as the EXACT same thing happened last night with GS @ Sacramento. The Kings were -1 and then it was announced that Evans was out for Sac and yet the Kings moved to -1.5 and they won the game by 10 when 93% was on GS.
I wanna pull the trigger on the Knicks so bad but I can't get myself to do it based on this reverse line movement. Thoughts? am I over thinking this?
As far as I've seen, th line opened at 3.5 or 4 and is now at either 4.5 or 5, so not sure what you're talking about.
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