*ATS WATCH* Important Info for this week's games

I found a game the other day that could be the game to up the units on this week.  Minnesota had an amazing win today coming from behind, but really credit Philly's inability to defend.  Their next opponent is a lot stingier on defense than Philly.  Congrats to Minny and their fans today, otherwise they look to be one of the next teams in the NBA on the move.  Back to reality though.  This may be one of the last times you may find value in OKC this year after the Atlanta game today.  We will have to wait to see what the line is to see how the books are adjusting to OKC (but it is worthing knowing ATL will probably loose some of it's betting interest over the next couple of weeks due to their recent play).  Betting the NBA is all about knowing which teams are hot and not - and knowing the beginning signs of a team about to streak before it actually happens.  Vegas loves to play their mind games with numbers and spreads.  It helps to look ahead and create your own lines and compare them to the books.  Then think of why the books set it at the number they set it.  I see OKC winning this matchup by at least 5, if not more. 

Other teams to looking ready, or close to ready to breaking out of the ATS box:

-Charlotte- Once Tyson Chandler gets healthy, Charlotte could be a legit playoff team
-Toronto- Toronto isn't a very popular team to begin with which gives us a slight advantage.  What's even better is the contributions from AB and Jose Caulderon lately.
-Magic- I think this team is going down more before they get better ATS.  The way their schedule has played out to this point has not given them much rest.
-Memphis- This is now a team starting to turn heads.  Look to go with em against smaller opponents who rely more on perimeter shots than paint scoring, go against them in away venues against opponents who dominate the boards and 2nd chance points
-Sacramento- Always seem capable of playing against the best.  With Kevin Martin back from injury it could help with the scoring as he was averaging over 30 in his first 5 games.  Sacramento overs should start hitting more often soon and look for Sac-town to continue to be dangerous at home.

If there are other teams you think deserve to be on ATS watch feel free to add on to my post.  All opinions welcome.  Thanks for reading and have a great week!!!

Teams that still could do some ATS damage before the trade deadline:
East
Chicago
Milwaukee
New York
Washington
Detroit

West
Portland
Oklahoma City
Houston
New Orleans
Los Angles Clippers

These are all teams that I believe have a potential to go better than .500 ATS and/or SU before the trade deadline.

good info....I like the insight.

GL homie

Let's break the books tomorrow with OKC over Minnesota.

Read something interesting today about Gregg Popovich.  He intends on resting Duncan and possibly other key players in B2B road games for the season.  He has always done this, but it seems this season he may be playing it safe more often because of what happened to the Spurs last year in the playoffs.  Probably a smart move by the coach to try to keep his roster intact until the playoffs, but definitely keep this in mind when looking at B2B San Antonio games from now on!!!  This could be Popovich's or Spurs management's reaction after a recent scare of injuries to many of the leagues best players.

very informative thread.  keep it up. 

loved the info

but kevin martin returning to line up somehow might cause damage to chemistry,and it did with recent losses already

dont be surprised if you see him in trade block soon

Totally agree with you else - and that is probably why Sac is 10 point dogs tomorrow in Atlanta.  ATL hasn't played a spread this high in a while.  So it's interesting to see that because although Sac has lost many games recently, they've proven already this season they are capable of hangin with the best - or even be capable of beating the best.  It's just not too often you catch this team playing 100% (even when they are healthy), because there is a lack of maturity in the team itself.  However I'm optimistic things are on the rise in Sacramento, especially if they can make something out of themselves before the trade deadline.  There is a lot of "dead weight" keeping this team from being a playoff team at this time.  As soon as they can break free from this, don't be surprised when they go 9-1 or 8-2 ATS in a ten game span.

First off, I love the post but seriously for my Cats to be a legit playoff team, they need Boris Diaw to keep on killing it! He killed it last week going something like 18ppg 6rpg 4.5apg 1.2bpg on 62% FG% (think I stole that from Rick Kamla's show the other night). If he continues to bring it PLUS Chandler back and healthy I don't see any reason why they won't make it to the 2nd round.

good post and with you on cats and thunder.   but with sac dropping 9 of 10 su and 7 of 10 ats, i would wait for them to get a good 5-game stretch before placing any money on them.

as for this week, i like denver at home ats on both the 21st and 23rd (both games getting a team on the 2nd of a b2b and 3rd in 4).

 

I'd take the Bulls off that list as an upcoming "hot" team.

They'd be lucky to be 3-3 ATS over the next 6 games on this west-coast road trip.

The Hornets, maybe. Because they're good matchups for non-defensive teams like the Grizzlies, T-Wolves and Denver and Golden State. Revenge game against Chicago to close out the month.

like the thread, its my kind of style, try to find whats hot, but so tough to find it early. ive been trying to stick to teams lately...3-2 wit pacers past week and okc memp have been friendly to me.

I have been following this Kings team all year man.
Max Bet Tyreke Evans for ROY pre season at +550 so I became an instant fan. I think their success  a few weeks back  vrs the NBA powerhouses was a combination of the home crowd and them being overlooked. This team hit ROCK BOTTOM in the 4th Q of that Golden State game and more and more teams are starting to space Tyreke
.
Kevin Martin is forcing the issue right now. Just like scouting reports changed on Brandon Jennings they are doing the same on Tyreke as we speak. They got a fluke cover vrs CHA the other night and that was  the result of the Cats getting lacadazical with big lead and Reke putting on a 1 man fast break. The Kings were -18 with Kmart in the game and +6 with the Beno Reke back court. But what can you do ? I dont think they are ready to use Kmart as trade bait quite yet....2 months ago he was the clear cut face of the franchise. IMO this Kings team is in Chaos right now. They arent running any crisp sets. Casspi's early success has been a double edged sward. Now he is starting to force alot of bad shots. Until Coach Westphal has time to get this team back in the Lab they are going to struggle. JT has been almost non existant in this offense ESPECIALLY after Kmarts return. I dont see this team pulling it together on this long east coast trip....things will continue to get SUPER UGLLLLYYYYY.

As far as tomorrows game as it stands.... slight lean on ATL and lean on the U.

yeah kings MIGHT be shittin to bed....tough team to read right now

As Far as Memphis goes I came up with a new rule about two months ago to define this team.

It's called the "Hoodlum Rule"

Feel free to use it.

It basically stems from the premise that anytime you assemble a team of hoodlums and put them at Home vrs an Elite team the Allen Iversonism in their personalities will take over for a favorable result.
 
As you can see MEM is 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS at home vrs top 10 teams.

The problem with hoodlum teams is that when their manhood isnt being tested they tend to play down to their level of competition.... so keep an eye out for that.

Their are a handfull of Hoodlum Teams in the League right now. So this rule can be applied in other situations.

good reads tout

I really thought PHI was going to be one of those teams to heat up around this time. I am still not ready to count them out.
 
I don't really post picks on a daily basis or keep a record or any of that ...but

I'm Going out on a limb here and saying the Sixers will cover 4 out of  the next 5. (maybe 5) This stretch of games will decide their fate IMO. Get it together now vrs a favorable shcedule and make up some ground on the Bulls as they should struggle vrs  their upcoming schedule - and maybe make a push for that 8 seed. Or go into a funk and make a major move at the deadline.

Anyways Great Post Man

Good write up bro!

What do you think of these leans for tomorrow

Hornets-3.5

Clip-3.5 over 197

Charlotte over Miami no line as of yet

OKC over Minny no line as of yet

You are right on point Milk, Cats need to keep up the forward progress not lose their focus on D.  Fortunately, they play in the East - and it's unsettled as usual.  Congrats to your team's record to this point.  I really believe if Charlotte gets a legitimate threat down low (Perhaps a Tyson Chandler before his injury form), and they will be a force in the East.  Remember all those alley-oops between CP and this Chandler?  These guys were averaging 10 a night together when Chandler was healthy.  I believe Felton can use a guy like that right now, it will help a lot taking some of the pressure off their perimeter game.  While they might not get a seed higher than 6 or 7, it's getting to the show that counts.  Let's hope this team stays healthy, I'd like to see them get to the playoffs this year.  GL to you and your Cats Milk

Nice info Mikado........

yup OKC youngins on a mission.

Thanks

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All your comments and info is much appreciated!

Hornets definitely have a chance at home.  Their D is far superior.  Let's just hope Peja can keep up with Gay. 

Clips are probably a good choice as well.  Gotta look at injuries, who's in and out before I make a decision on any under/over. 

I wouldn't touch Charlotte right now until I know Wallace's ankle is 100%.  Even with MIA playing like their MIA on the road a lot this season, they can still surprise.  O'neal and Haslem can cause problems for Charlotte Wallace isn't 100%.  I really think this game is UNDER 180.

OKC over MINNY - come on! I shouldn't need to explain this one.  Even though betting the NBA is more than just betting the BETTER team, it's even more about betting the WORSE team.

I'm workin my way down MotivatedbyCand, I got something special for you since you see the real value with the Thunder right now.

Yes. Thank You. That was Deep