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NBA !!!!! WEDNESDAY !!!!!

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Posted: #1
72-66-2 YTD +7.4 units overall
19-17 POD -6.1  units
 5-3 POW  +21.6 units
1-2 POM -9.7 units
1-1 POY +7 units
2-1 ML Favs -4 units
4-1 ML dogs +6.4 units
0-1 parlay's -1 unit
 
 
Wednesday's  play is:
 
Jazz/Grizzlies over 204 for 10 units... The Memphis Grizzlies offense is on absolute fire right now avg 116ppg in their last 6 games while giving up 107ppg on defense during that stretch thats an average of 223ppg combined in that 6 game span. Also the Griiz and Jazz have hooked up for 4 overs in their last 5 meetings. The one thing we know for sure about tonights game is that the Grizzlies do not play defense they allow 104.7ppg on the season and they attempt to win games by trying to outscore their opponents. Also between the 2 teams combined the over is favored heavily at 39-27-1 and that combined with the way that the Grizzlies have been playing lately and the way the Jazz should be able to get easy buckets against the Grizzlies poor defense this number looks to be set just too low @ 206...
 
  • Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Utah.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Over is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 overall.
  • Over is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 road games.
  • Over is 5-0 in Grizzlies last 5 games following a S.U. win.
  • Over is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 vs. Western Conference.
  • Over is 5-0 in Grizzlies last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 5-0 in Grizzlies last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 10-1 in Grizzlies last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 10-1 in Grizzlies last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Over is 7-1 in Grizzlies last 8 games as an underdog.
  • Over is 12-2 in Grizzlies last 14 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.
  • Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day.
  • Over is 4-1 in Grizzlies last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
  • Over is 16-5 in Grizzlies last 21 games as a road underdog.
  • Over is 23-8 in Grizzlies last 31 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
    •  
     
     
    Mondays play was:
    Hornets +8 for 10 units...POD
    Tuesday's play was:
    Bulls +6 for 40 units and 10 units ML +210...POY#2
     
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    Posted: #2

    Also D. Williams status as of right now is he will be a game time decision. He had a X-Ray on monday after the injury that was negative and was scheduled for and MRI on tuesday but I have heard nothing yet except for the listing of Day-to-Day.

     

    My analysis is that he will try and give it a go tonight based on the fact that he stayed in Monday's game after the Injury. Someone may have better status report on him let us know and what your souce was for better read on teh game the total has dropped to 204 which I think is a mistake by the books!!!! GL

     

     

     
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    Posted: #3
    forgot the POD stamp on this pick...
     
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    Posted: #4
    BOL odds  i'm on the other side but i can absolutely see why anyone would play the over here.
     
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    Posted: #5
    Quote Originally Posted by occy777:

    BOL odds  i'm on the other side but i can absolutely see why anyone would play the over here.
    The Grizzlies are have been over monsters all season. BOL with your play but I think you are on the wrong side.
     
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    Posted: #6
    D Williams did not participate in the shoot around today and said if he had to go right now he couldn't. Maybe some treatment gets him able but does not look good.
     
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    Posted: #7
    memphis has been an over machine
     
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    Posted: #8

    Quote Originally Posted by oddsbuster:

    The Grizzlies are have been over monsters all season. BOL with your play but I think you are on the wrong side.

    I could be and i respect your opinion, i just think the Grizz are due for a bad one and on the road here against a team that can play some D is the spot. Mayo, Randolph, Gay and Gasol have all been red hot at the same time for some time now. That will not last.

     
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    Posted: #9

    Can u believe I forgot to mention that the Grizz have went ove r the total in their last 6 contests...

     

    Silly me

     
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    Posted: #10
    Quote Originally Posted by occy777:

    I could be and i respect your opinion, i just think the Grizz are due for a bad one and on the road here against a team that can play some D is the spot. Mayo, Randolph, Gay and Gasol have all been red hot at the same time for some time now. That will not last.

    well even when their not hot they still have an average of 104 ppg... Their ppg accually goes up when they play on the road along with the points they allow that also rises ... So BOL 2 ya again but here before the game I just feel you are on the wrong side for those alone if you like the under here you probably should be off of the game because of those things. Now after the game could be a different story as we all know their are no locks.

     

    The one thing u have going for ya is the Jazz have been playing shitty lately but I don't think that will matter against the defensless Grizz...

     
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    Posted: #11
    GL odds, of course I'm on the other side of your total, but what else is new!!! 
     
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    Posted: #12

    Odds, you forgot another stat, 4 out of the last 5 have gone over between these 2 in Utah.

     
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    Posted: #13
    Quote Originally Posted by AJSPICKS:

    GL odds, of course I'm on the other side of your total, but what else is new!!! 
     is it the system again...
     
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    Posted: #14
    Quote Originally Posted by occy777:

    Odds, you forgot another stat, 4 out of the last 5 have gone over between these 2 in Utah.

    no that one is in the write up accually!!!
     
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    Posted: #15

    Quote Originally Posted by oddsbuster:

     is it the system again...

    Is ALWAYS about the system!!!!!!!!!!!

     
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    Posted: #18

    i must say that the Lakes look pretty hot and tempting to play tonight. Lakers -5 right now im mean the books are giving the spread road credit when in accuality it's not even a road game for them. The Clippers are without any doubt a better team than in the past but they have fooled many before with this I THINK I CAN ATTITUDE.

    That being said I am in  on why the spread is only 5 right now

     
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    Posted: #19
    Quote Originally Posted by occy777:

    I could be and i respect your opinion, i just think the Grizz are due for a bad one and on the road here against a team that can play some D is the spot. Mayo, Randolph, Gay and Gasol have all been red hot at the same time for some time now. That will not last.



    Thats called GOOD ball movement my friend and TEAM basketball
     
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    Posted: #20
    Quote Originally Posted by thatsagoodone:

    memphis has been an over machine
    yes they have!!!!
     
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    Posted: #21
    D.Williams? Is he hurt?
     
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    D.Williams- Spained and bruised right wrist BUT should play
     
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    congrats on hitting the POY odds - had the Cats in a tease, so we both won


    gl tonight  
     
     
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    Posted: #25
    Might have to throw this into a parlay for tonight. Good read once again. Good luck odds.
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