Posted:
#1
3rd profitable week in a row now (Okay, I start my week on a Sunday just to be clear). Hope we keep this going! Here's my thoughts:
Orlando Magic@Toronto Raptors
Still thinking on whether I'dpull the trigger on this one. Afternoon games has been the Raptors' (and the dogs') thing (possibly the UNDER as well). Orlando is also coming off a one-sided win against the Celtics. I don't see any mismatch in any position in this one nor do I see any advantage in schedule. When things like this comes I'd usually would study the line movement before making any play. I can't remember the real stat but I think I vaguely remember DOGs taking Sunday Afternoon game. Again, sleeping on this one before making any bet.
Boston Celtics -9
I was hoping they'd lose to Orlando so I can back them on their next game. New York had 2 game winning streak and to top that, both on the road. So far they look a step slower on the defensive end when playing back to back (not that they do really put up any real defense or anything). Boston always bounce back from a HOME loss (check last season's stat). Last game was their worst offensive performance in the season and look for them to do things the right way in this game.
Indiana Pacers +2 / ML
I really don't know what's wrong with this line. I'm a bit biased with the Cats and would play them at home but they are coming from a 3 game road trip and will be playing the first game at home (also Cap'n Jax' first game). Another thing that caught my attention here is that this line reminds me of Saturday's NYK+2@NJN. Playing the team that looks better on paper here.
Miami Heat -8.5
Perfect spot to back the Heat here. They just dropped 3 in a row and will be going against the over achieving CP3-less Hornets team, winning 3 in a row already. Not to mention they are also on a 3-4 format playing the 3rd game after that Hawks win. Look for the Heat to redeem themselves here and push to improve that 7-5 card.
Phoenix Suns -10.5
Detroit heart breaking loss after playing four solid quarters only to fall short in OT. Detroit also playing back to back and the last game on the road before taking a breather then hosting the Cavs. Phoenix got a few days off before hosting Memphis so no real angle not to back a rested Phoenix team. All angles here points to fading Detroit. This should be a pretty solid play.
OKC@LA Lakers -10
What scares me is that they are a pretty public team and bettors all over would look at this game to make up for their NFL/NHL/NBA losses. Then again, what's not to like with the Lakers? They are at home and Gasol is now back in the lineup. They've also outplayed the Thunders in their last 10 matchups (then again only covering 4 of 10). OKC has been am ATS friendly team going 8-5 while the Lakers has been a nice FADE material at 5-7.
BOL.
Orlando Magic@Toronto Raptors
Still thinking on whether I'dpull the trigger on this one. Afternoon games has been the Raptors' (and the dogs') thing (possibly the UNDER as well). Orlando is also coming off a one-sided win against the Celtics. I don't see any mismatch in any position in this one nor do I see any advantage in schedule. When things like this comes I'd usually would study the line movement before making any play. I can't remember the real stat but I think I vaguely remember DOGs taking Sunday Afternoon game. Again, sleeping on this one before making any bet.
Boston Celtics -9
I was hoping they'd lose to Orlando so I can back them on their next game. New York had 2 game winning streak and to top that, both on the road. So far they look a step slower on the defensive end when playing back to back (not that they do really put up any real defense or anything). Boston always bounce back from a HOME loss (check last season's stat). Last game was their worst offensive performance in the season and look for them to do things the right way in this game.
Indiana Pacers +2 / ML
I really don't know what's wrong with this line. I'm a bit biased with the Cats and would play them at home but they are coming from a 3 game road trip and will be playing the first game at home (also Cap'n Jax' first game). Another thing that caught my attention here is that this line reminds me of Saturday's NYK+2@NJN. Playing the team that looks better on paper here.
Miami Heat -8.5
Perfect spot to back the Heat here. They just dropped 3 in a row and will be going against the over achieving CP3-less Hornets team, winning 3 in a row already. Not to mention they are also on a 3-4 format playing the 3rd game after that Hawks win. Look for the Heat to redeem themselves here and push to improve that 7-5 card.
Phoenix Suns -10.5
Detroit heart breaking loss after playing four solid quarters only to fall short in OT. Detroit also playing back to back and the last game on the road before taking a breather then hosting the Cavs. Phoenix got a few days off before hosting Memphis so no real angle not to back a rested Phoenix team. All angles here points to fading Detroit. This should be a pretty solid play.
OKC@LA Lakers -10
What scares me is that they are a pretty public team and bettors all over would look at this game to make up for their NFL/NHL/NBA losses. Then again, what's not to like with the Lakers? They are at home and Gasol is now back in the lineup. They've also outplayed the Thunders in their last 10 matchups (then again only covering 4 of 10). OKC has been am ATS friendly team going 8-5 while the Lakers has been a nice FADE material at 5-7.
BOL.
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