OR/DR System

Question

So I know almost all systems will revert to the mean but, I'm going to test this out anyway. Basically I will predict a final score and if the line moves significantly to one side or the other, depending on the interpreted reasoning for that movement (i.e. not a player being out just public perception) then I will play accordingly.

For TNT Thursday the final scores I came up with were...

Chicago 87, Cleveland 100
San Antonio 103, Utah 98

The OR/DR means Offensive and Defensive Ratings which, combined with Pace Factor are the primary stats influencing the score predictions. It's pretty simple really...we'll see how long I can keep it up. Anyways....GL

Creepa · Answer

So I know almost all systems will revert to the mean but, I'm going to test this out anyway. Basically I will predict a final score and if the line moves significantly to one side or the other, depending on the interpreted reasoning for that movement (i.e. not a player being out just public perception) then I will play accordingly.

For TNT Thursday the final scores I came up with were...

Chicago 87, Cleveland 100
San Antonio 103, Utah 98

The OR/DR means Offensive and Defensive Ratings which, combined with Pace Factor are the primary stats influencing the score predictions. It's pretty simple really...we'll see how long I can keep it up. Anyways....GL

Creepa · Answer

The plays on Thursday were....Cleveland -10.5 (-120)San Antonio -2 (-110)Chicago @ Cleveland Under 191.5System is now 1-2...With three games left to look at these are the plays for tonight...if anyone wants to know the scores I&#x27;ll post them.*All odds are -110 unless otherwise noted*Washington @ Indiana Under 207.5New Jersey @ Philadelphia Over 190.5Philadelphia -13San Antonio @ Portland Over 185San Antonio &#x2B;3.5Oklahoma City @ Houston Under 189.5Oklahoma City &#x2B;5Boston -10Best of luck, gentlemen.

Feri · Answer

Interesting stuff C. Hope to see the final choice if changes ;)&#xD;&#xA;BOL!

Creepa · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by Feri]  Interesting stuff C. Hope to see the final choice if changes ;)&#xD;&#xA;BOL!  [/Quote]Ah, thank you my friend.  BOL to you as well.

Creepa · Answer

Here are the final wagers...All bets now locked in.Detroit &#x2B;13.5Detroit @ Orlando Under 192.5LA Clippers &#x2B;4.5GL to everyone tonight.

K4ngur13 · Answer

gL

Creepa · Answer

Wow what a shit night.  I don&#x27;t really know what to say about it.  Way off on so many picks.  I think I know what I am doing wrong...my picks are square as fuck.  No matter how much "data" is incorporated it doesn&#x27;t matter...if it looks like a duck, and quacks like a duck...well.  This is where I am changing (yet again.)  I will keep this same thread so maybe it can generate some views and thus some response.  I will just pick the craziest most retarded picks and see what happens.  I have a good feeling about it though.  What do I have to lose?  I am already fuckin sucking it up big time.  So whatever.

OR/DR System

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