The Heat are all smoke and mirrors right now

Heat 3-PT shooting in Game 2:  15-26 - 57.7%

Heat 3-PT shooting in Game 3:  12-23 - 52.2%

Heat 3-PT shooting during the regular season: 35.7% on an average of 7.1 makes per game.


Dwayne Wade 3-PT shooting in Game 2: 6-10 - 60%

Dwayne Wade 3-PT shooting in Game 3: 4-8 - 50% 

Dwayne Wade 3-PT shooting during the regular season:  31.7%

The Hawks have actually done a decent job of controlling Dwayne Wade.  He's just gone off on threes which he does not normally do. What Sir Wade hasn't been doing though is getting to the line a lot.

Game 1: 2-4 FT

Game 2: 5-6 FT

Game 3: 5-5 FT


Sir Wade has not attempted more than six free throws in the three games thus far after living at the line during the regular season averaging close to ten attempts per game.

What happens when the Heat stop shooting out of they're minds from three?  At some point they will regress back to the mean.  They can't possibly keep shooting this well.  Many perceive these last two blowout wins from Miami as complete domination's.  Although they did play extremely well, the truth is they were aided by some extremely hot shooting they don't normally receive.
The Hawks have also been extremely cold from long distance in the past few games.  That will turn around at some point as well. 

As bleak as things look for the Hawks right now, a win tonight and suddenly the momentum is all right back on they're sides with home-court advantage back in they're favor.  Joe Johnson will break out of his shooting slump tonight and Josh Smith has promised me he will show up before the 2H.  Marvin Williams should play tonight and he is a huge impact player for the Hawks.  With him on the floor they are a totally different outfit even if he is less than 100%.


Hawks +5      (or better, +5.5 could become available)
Hawks ML   (waiting to rise)

Dont understand this ? A team who is HOT vs a team who has not won a road playoff game in 12 years.

Damn that 12 year playoff road losing streak...so how have Spud and Nique been doing anyway havent watched the NBA for a while?

 

Betting on teams coming off back-to-back blowouts is not profitable in the regular season, and I highly doubt it's any better in the playoffs.  As bad as Atlanta has looked and played these past two games, it's unlikely they're going to keep getting murdered unless they mail it in completely.

Completely useless stat.  Why must people compare this Hawks team to another version ten years ago that had completely different players, coaches and systems.  It's totally irrelevant and not pertinent whatsoever.

Stern wants to hype Lebron vs Wade. ESPN would go bananas hyping that. Lebron vs Bibby would be   The refs make Miami win! Maybe the Hawks can cover though since it seems like every dog is losing but finding a way to get inside the number.

good job

This was my reasoning for Game 4 Value.  Didn't work out well.  Best of luck to ya though

Then look at Atl last playoffs, 4 losses on the road in blowout fashion. This team cant win on the road and have proven it. So what if they are hitting 50% from 3's, unlike the hawks, the heat are shooting good threes and my boy JO is comming back to form. Thats a bad recipe for Atlanta and Atlanta backers. BOL

lol guy is talking about d wade and how he isnt living at FT line .. thats because they been shittin on the crap hawks ...

if they are down believe me d wade will go to hoop and get every call and make his FTs ..

taking the hawks = bad bet

What the Heat have done in the past two games is completely unsustainable, aberrant and out of the ordinary.  It's not likely to happen three times in a row.  That doesn't mean it won't, but it's unlikely.

then you talk about how heat are shooting way over season 3 point average .. this is because Oneal is playing like his old self in these blow out wins .. they dont have an answer for him down low which is creating great shots by jones [ who led league in 3 point fg percentage ] and chalmers ..

Hey Value quick question....Do you tend to lean towards underdogs?  I ve seen some of your comments through different threads and you seem to ride dogs more?

Just curious on your thinking..thanks

 

agree but not tonite. miami get their ass handed in round 2.

 It takes a very good side to win on the road in the playoffs when HCA would swing back to Atlanta.

How about the cavs who blew out the pistons in 4 straight? I know its the cavs but you said that betting on teams coming off back to back blowouts is not profitable. Yet Cleveland covered all 4 games.

Hawks here also. Jesus the Moneyline is starting to look good LOL

+180.

That's what a lot of people do, but hey its their money not mine.

these 2 teams are too volatile to bet on..blowouts here and there...fuckin any  other bet would be beter than this one...