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NBA THU 030509 early thoughts - value hunting

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Posted: #1
Is it Christmas???  I thought for sure that with only 2 games on the board, there wouldn't be much to go on BUT..

Portland at Denver @198...Not jumping on it yet but damn...

I'm not in a good mood right now...just got back from taking care of the dreaded W-2G...and life is not good...


 
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Posted: #2
It could be worse... think of all those who don't get to claim any winnings
 
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Posted: #3
Yep...offshore don't have to claim...LOL...now I feel worse.  It's all good.  Venting helps...Thanks.
 
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Posted: #4
the other game is Dallas at New Orleans.

Line isn't out but please give me 192.  

hmmmm. I did promise myself a day off for playing 3 games WED.
 
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Posted: #5
Dont tell me w-2g is an audit?   I have heard get everything in line and fight what they decide the penalty should be,
 
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Posted: #6
no, it's just like a W2 but if you win certain amounts gambling, you have to claim it as income.  This goes for poker, bingo, etc...
 
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Posted: #7
I guess this means you will be a betting more to make up some of those taxes dollars.  good for us.
 
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Posted: #8
So are you leaning under on that game Ax?
 
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Posted: #9
LOL, you're a funny guy.    I hit my POD already today and my other plays are looking good (early).  I swear, if I hit all 3 tonight...I'm not capping any of these games...taking the day off...I hope everyone is as lucky tonight 
 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by mcthatch37:

So are you leaning under on that game Ax?

You know me too well sir.
 
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Posted: #11
   cheers  you deserve it.   thanks and good night.
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by proguy747:

   cheers  you deserve it.   thanks and good night.

Thank you pal.  
 
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Posted: #13
what were your plays for today?
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by yummyness:

what were your plays for today?

My card tonight...

Milwaukee at Cleveland U197
Houston at Utah U202
Indiana at Portland  U208
 
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Posted: #15
nice call on milwaukee under ax.
 
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Posted: #16
CRAP CRAP CRAP...looks like I have to cap these freaking games THU.
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by chasing2day:

nice call on milwaukee under ax.
Thanks pal.  We were on this early!!
 
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Posted: #18
Damn, Indy/Portland are lightin' it up. Need things to slow down.
 
Props on your other wins tonight, Ax.
 
For Thursday, would expect Portland on the road after tonight's game to be a bit tired, especially later in the game. Under would hinge on how much Denver puts up, and I would figure that right around 105-110.
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by t20boss:

Damn, Indy/Portland are lightin' it up. Need things to slow down.
 
Props on your other wins tonight, Ax.
 
For Thursday, would expect Portland on the road after tonight's game to be a bit tired, especially later in the game. Under would hinge on how much Denver puts up, and I would figure that right around 105-110.

too good to be true boss.  2-1 is not a bad night.  I'm going to wait for the DAL/NOH line...I think it might be a better play and just a little more value if I get the number I'm looking for.  I think 198 for POR/DEN is a good play but not jumping on it like when I saw MIL/CLE last night.  You cash in tonight boss?
 
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Posted: #20
Congrats on your 3 wins AX ... I did well also -- a couple wins every night keeps a country boy like me very happy !!!
 
Whenever the situation arises at a casino where I have to sign for a win ... I find the closest guy with a Boston Celtics sweatshirt and give him a couple hundred dollars to sign instead of me ... the casino could care less - they just need an ID and a signature ... a hundred dollar bill also get one through that entanglement also.
 
Again ... congratulations on your 3 for 3 !!!!!!!!!!!
 
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Posted: #21
Hmmm ... you need a little luck in that Portland game ... but 2 and 1 is still putting it in your pocket instead of taking it out !!!
 
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Posted: #22
i hope denver wins in a blow out because i will be on UTAH LARGE
on friday.. i suggest everyone join me

denver on b2b =
 
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Posted: #23
Ax - Just wanted to say I've been following your picks lately and you've been money.  Good shit!!!  Keep up the good work.
 
Also - Do you really pay taxes on your sports plays?  I have a local but was considering switching, but now that I factor in taxes I probably will think twice. 
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by axpiota59:


too good to be true boss.  2-1 is not a bad night.  I'm going to wait for the DAL/NOH line...I think it might be a better play and just a little more value if I get the number I'm looking for.  I think 198 for POR/DEN is a good play but not jumping on it like when I saw MIL/CLE last night.  You cash in tonight boss?

Like many others, tough loss w/Mil plus the points - they didn't play like a team trying to get in the playoffs. Did hit on NJ and w/you on your 2 under plays. Almost bit on Chumps 'thug' take on that Mil/Clev game - glad I didn't go with the over. My man Chump - helluva capper, tho.

Like you, lookin' forward to MLB. Grew up going to Candlestick Park as a kid watchin' Mays, McCovey. Can't wait to see Lincecum pitch again this year. Poor G-men, tho. No power.

 As far as cappin, I agree, MLB has more opportunities for value and profit. You still lean towards playin totals rather than sides in baseball ?

 
 
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Posted: #25
Thanks for the advice Chump...I know with you and your poker every weekend, it must be tough.  We're not quite home with the 3 for 3 tonight.  IND/POR not cooperating with 'the plan' but thank you pal.

BTW...how the hell am I going to find a guy in a Cavs jersey in the sportsbook?  A Celts fan is easy to find because they're everywhere.  Are there Cav fans outside of Cleveland?  Bustin your balls Chump!  Let's get em' again Friday...I may still take the night off tomorrow.
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