3-6-13 Theory NBA Plays For 11.19.08

3-6-13 Theory NBA Plays For 11.19.08

YTD 0-0

Early Leans

Dallas +13

Chicago +6

Sulfurboy,

Dallas opened at +13 and Beted had them at +13 this morning, as you already know the line has changed to +5 eliminating Dallas from the 3-6-13 theory.

Sacramento does not fall into my 3-6-13 theory, Sacramento opened at +9

There are different interruptions of this theory!

My 3-6-13 theory:

Line must open 2.5-3-3.5 or 5.5-6-6.5 or 12.5-13-13.5

The line must stay not change dramatically . . .

Example: Line opens at +6 and changes to +4 and goes back to +6 . . .

3-6-13 theory only applies to RAOD DOGS!!!!  

In addition to my straight 3-6-13 plays, I toss a “sprinkle” on the ML.

With the ML I have made a decent ROI.

I will be keeping track of final 3-6-13 plays so feel free to check on my record!  

What is the story behind the 3-6-13 play?????

Between 1968 to 1998 a graduate group of students did a thesis on matching interior equations, using the LV books  'road dog' # of 3/6/13/ take note: this was based on the NBA only, NOT college; there finding on 3000+ match-ups where a astonishing 72% rate of covering the spread. IT was taken farther in 1999 to2007 by a well known LV HANDICAPPER who found it's success rate rise to 76% There's a book that has been published, titled; 3/6/13/ THE MIT REPORT. there is much more, this is a basic outline... this year alone, if you have an interest, you will find, road dogs in the NBA getting 3/6/13/ points, have covered 22 times out of 27 match-ups

Updated 3-6-13 plays

Philadelphia +3

Chicago +6

Toronto +3

Final plays will be posted at 3:30PM ET

Sulfurboy,

Sorry about that! Philadelphia does not fit into the MOLD!  

Mid- Day 3-6-13 Plays

Chicago +6

Toronto +3

Final 3-6-13 Theory Plays:

Toronto +3 ML +130

Chicago was looking good at +6 but the line changed dramatically to +7.5

GBOL

Blueprint,

There are so many different variations of the 3-6-13 rule. Some people don’t base them on opening lines, some people don’t look at line movement and some people don’t use road underdogs.

I found the ROI of the 3-6-13 theory to be extremely profitable. Not only do I make a straight play on a 3-6-13 road underdog but I also make a small play on the ML.

Last night my 3-6-13 play was TOR +3 (2pts) ML +130 (1pt)

Total ROI = 330pts

TOR was the play last night because line movement never passed +2.5, +3 or + 3.5

Also the line has to open at 2.5,3,3.5,5.5,6,6.5,12.5,13,13.5 for a road underdog!

A perfect example last night was Chicago. Chicago lost 74-116!

Chicago opened at 5.5 and the line was a firm 6 until yesterday afternoon when the line floated from 6 ~7.5. That dramatic change in line terminated Chicago as a 3-6-13 play.

Last year I found the ROI to be extremely profitable. Not only do 3-6-13 road underdogs cover- sometimes they win straight up which in turn creates a huge ROI on the ML!

You have to understand, winning percentages are not what matters to me. I want a high ROI! That’s the bottom line!

Quote of the Day:

Patrick Bateman: Do you like Huey Lewis and the news?

BOL