Posted:
#1
YTD: 21-11
If anyone has followed my threads this year you know I don't play many favorites and rarely will I ever lay more than a TD but I will do it in both games this weekend as I think the favs both win big.
Montreal -10
The major problem here for the Argos is how are they going to put enough points on the board to stay competitive? Toronto has struggled all season on offense as they rank dead last in virtually every offensive category. Going back to the 2007 season the Als have played 37 home games and have only given up 18 PPG (excluding this years Week 19 lay down), which would be very good in the NFL but in the CFL it is simply outstanding. Asking an Argonauts squad that has struggled to move it all year to come in here and move it against maybe the best defense in the league is asking a lot. The Argos have needed to pull out every trick in the book and then some to score this season. If they pull another special teams miracle then so be it but I just can't see their offense doing much if anything here.
Let's be honest, the Argos didn't play that well against Hamilton and needed a roll of the dice and a ton of horrible Hamilton mistakes to advance. Hamilton lost their starting QB for a long stretch and still outgained Toronto by over 90 yards. Hamilton lost because they committed 5 turnovers and all but maybe 1 of them were stupid mistakes and nothing as a result of something Toronto did. 2 muffed punts that led to Argo points really hurt. Hamilton was simply sloppy and quite frankly looked a little nervous playing in a playoff game they were supposed to win. What are the odds that a veteran, experienced, well coached team like the Als who have been here many times before plays scared and commits 5 turnovers? I'd say zilch. In fact over the last 2 seasons whether playing at McGill Stadium or the Big O Anthony Calvillo has only thrown 5 interceptions.....in 18 games! Think about that for a second. This guy just doesn't cough it up in Montreal. Give me a veteran team that won't beat themselves to beat up on an overachiever.
Calgary -7
Saskatechewan has sucked for 6 weeks. It's pretty apparent these guys just aren't that good. Calgary won the season series 2-1 against the Riders and usually regular season stats mean nothing in the postseason but it is hard to ignore that in the two Calgary wins the Stamps ran all over the Riders to the tune of 227 and 247 yards. The game the Riders won was a great spot for them so I give that a little less credit, A fresh Reynolds and Cornish changing the pace rested and at home behind the best O-line in the game could do some damage.
If I said the Riders may be tired here most people probably wouldn't believe because it's the freakin playoffs man! But the Riders played a very tough and emotional game last week that will take a while to recover from. I was tired just watching it, imagine how the players feel? This situation reminds me of the Arizona Cardinals of the NFL last year. They weren't that great to begin with but they played a wild, back and forth game at home against the Packers in which they eventually pulled it out in OT in a game where the players admitted sucked a lot out of them. Then the next week they had to go on the road and play what had been the best team in the conference all year off a bye and the Cards were flat and got smacked. Sound familiar? That Saints team was a well oiled machine too just like the Stamps are. I think the Riders will be sucking wind late and it will allow the Stamps to pull away.
It's playoff time and people generally think close games and look to the dogs so I wouldn't be surprised to see these lines drop a touch but IMO it won't matter.
GL.
If anyone has followed my threads this year you know I don't play many favorites and rarely will I ever lay more than a TD but I will do it in both games this weekend as I think the favs both win big.
Montreal -10
The major problem here for the Argos is how are they going to put enough points on the board to stay competitive? Toronto has struggled all season on offense as they rank dead last in virtually every offensive category. Going back to the 2007 season the Als have played 37 home games and have only given up 18 PPG (excluding this years Week 19 lay down), which would be very good in the NFL but in the CFL it is simply outstanding. Asking an Argonauts squad that has struggled to move it all year to come in here and move it against maybe the best defense in the league is asking a lot. The Argos have needed to pull out every trick in the book and then some to score this season. If they pull another special teams miracle then so be it but I just can't see their offense doing much if anything here.
Let's be honest, the Argos didn't play that well against Hamilton and needed a roll of the dice and a ton of horrible Hamilton mistakes to advance. Hamilton lost their starting QB for a long stretch and still outgained Toronto by over 90 yards. Hamilton lost because they committed 5 turnovers and all but maybe 1 of them were stupid mistakes and nothing as a result of something Toronto did. 2 muffed punts that led to Argo points really hurt. Hamilton was simply sloppy and quite frankly looked a little nervous playing in a playoff game they were supposed to win. What are the odds that a veteran, experienced, well coached team like the Als who have been here many times before plays scared and commits 5 turnovers? I'd say zilch. In fact over the last 2 seasons whether playing at McGill Stadium or the Big O Anthony Calvillo has only thrown 5 interceptions.....in 18 games! Think about that for a second. This guy just doesn't cough it up in Montreal. Give me a veteran team that won't beat themselves to beat up on an overachiever.
Calgary -7
Saskatechewan has sucked for 6 weeks. It's pretty apparent these guys just aren't that good. Calgary won the season series 2-1 against the Riders and usually regular season stats mean nothing in the postseason but it is hard to ignore that in the two Calgary wins the Stamps ran all over the Riders to the tune of 227 and 247 yards. The game the Riders won was a great spot for them so I give that a little less credit, A fresh Reynolds and Cornish changing the pace rested and at home behind the best O-line in the game could do some damage.
If I said the Riders may be tired here most people probably wouldn't believe because it's the freakin playoffs man! But the Riders played a very tough and emotional game last week that will take a while to recover from. I was tired just watching it, imagine how the players feel? This situation reminds me of the Arizona Cardinals of the NFL last year. They weren't that great to begin with but they played a wild, back and forth game at home against the Packers in which they eventually pulled it out in OT in a game where the players admitted sucked a lot out of them. Then the next week they had to go on the road and play what had been the best team in the conference all year off a bye and the Cards were flat and got smacked. Sound familiar? That Saints team was a well oiled machine too just like the Stamps are. I think the Riders will be sucking wind late and it will allow the Stamps to pull away.
It's playoff time and people generally think close games and look to the dogs so I wouldn't be surprised to see these lines drop a touch but IMO it won't matter.
GL.
0
You never know which Kevin Durant will show up.This kids feeds of adrenalin. Therefore it's a pass for me.
OPPS 
I know it is, my head's in NBA Mode.
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