WNBA SAT AUG 20

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Author: [WNBA] Topic: WNBA SAT AUG 20
44-dimes PM 44-dimes
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Posted: 8/19/2011 9:35:58 PM
YTD   68-34  ( +59.8 units )

5u  1-1
4u  4-0
3u  9-6
2u  22-11
1u  32-16


Looked over Saturday's card and only came up with one play. My line guesses were pretty much dead on and i don't see much out there.
NY@SEA
Anyone betting this game might wanna wait. The report out of Seattle is that Lauren Jackson might play.The current line is -6. If she becomes a confirmed starter this game will probably go up to -8. Smart strategy is to play the game early with the assumption that she will play. You'll get a jump on the line. If she doesn't start you can always buy back before the game starts and surrender the juice. She's way ahead of schedule and has been practicing with the team.
She was in full gear in the pre game shoot around against the Mercury on Tuesday but strictly sat on the bench.
If i get any news I'll post it here.



MINNESOTA - (  )  1ST HALF ( 3 units )

The current full game line is -7.5 or -8. The Lynx 1st HALF will be my wager tomorrow . I will post the line as soon as it becomes available. Most books don't put up 1st Half lines until game day. If the full game line doesn't move the 1ST HALF LINE should be -4 with varying juice.
I WANNA MAKE A NOTE IF I CAN'T GET A -4 OR LESS I WON'T BET IT.
I don't make too many first half wagers but this is the way i approach it.
For any point spread chalk ranging from -6 and higher I'll be willing to chop it in Half and make a wager on the favorite in the 1ST HALF.
WHAT I'LL NEVER DO IS DOWNGRADE A DOG IN HALF. For Example I'd never play the Sparks at +4 in the first half. When wagering on significant underdogs ( 6 points or higher ) you always wanna be getting full game value for your bet

gl












LuvParlays PM LuvParlays
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Posted: 8/19/2011 9:56:22 PM

BOL tomorrow Dimes.

roundrock9 PM roundrock9
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Posted: 8/19/2011 11:39:18 PM
kvs23 PM kvs23
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Posted: 8/19/2011 11:40:21 PM
44-Dimes - great run recently (in both WNBA and CFL).

Sent you a friend request - pls accept - definitely curious to chat offline a bit (especially about your "aggressive" betting strategy.  I presume it is some variation of Kelly Criterion - but definitely curious.  I am a math guy so might be able to help there (though I just tail the sports picks b/c don't know either WNBA or CFL at all).  But might have some NFL insights for you.

Keep it up buddy!!!
asmackey PM asmackey
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Posted: 8/19/2011 11:57:05 PM
44-Dimes - great run, I'm seeing some profit now. plz keep it up buddy!!!!
chvatalas PM chvatalas
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Posted: 8/20/2011 8:14:15 AM
44-dimes PM 44-dimes
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Posted: 8/20/2011 8:43:58 AM
MIN -4 1ST HALF ( 3 units )

This number is available @the greek and it should come up everywhere else pretty soon.

GL EVERYBODY
MuggsyBogues PM MuggsyBogues
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Posted: 8/20/2011 9:31:08 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 44-dimes:

MIN -4 1ST HALF ( 3 units )

This number is available @the greek and it should come up everywhere else pretty soon.

GL EVERYBODY



jedimaster PM jedimaster
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Posted: 8/20/2011 9:39:38 AM
Hey 44, whats ur thoughts on Chicago/Washinton game?  So far leaning chicago-2.5.  And also San/Phonix?  Leaning stars+6.5
44-dimes PM 44-dimes
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Posted: 8/20/2011 11:26:39 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jedimaster:

Hey 44, whats ur thoughts on Chicago/Washinton game?  So far leaning chicago-2.5.  And also San/Phonix?  Leaning stars+6.5


No leans !!!!  I'd be guessing at best. Perhaps the Stars. I would of played them if the number was a little higher.

gl
milestheman PM milestheman
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Posted: 8/20/2011 11:31:07 AM
44-Dimes... Bookmaker must have read your first post. They listed Min - 4 1/2 1st half and won't let me buy down that 1/2 pt  Will pass based on your right up. Good luck
evilelvis PM evilelvis
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Posted: 8/20/2011 11:56:17 AM

44Dsss....going with you on the 1st Half wager.

Good luck to ya and all!

LuvParlays PM LuvParlays
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Posted: 8/20/2011 2:02:58 PM
Got -4 for the 1st half with my local books. BOL to anyone else on it.
44-dimes PM 44-dimes
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Posted: 8/20/2011 3:27:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by milestheman:

44-Dimes... Bookmaker must have read your first post. They listed Min - 4 1/2 1st half and won't let me buy down that 1/2 pt  Will pass based on your right up. Good luck


Yeah they won't let you buy down for a Half Wager.

I know Greek and 5-dimes opened at -4 Pinnny at -4.5 and as of now i see everyone's using -4.5.
Hey it's totally up to you. I like to stick with some sort of discipline. If i stray away from my plan it goes against my sports gambling ethics.

GL LAY THE -4.5 AND HOPE FOR THE BEST
JEG53 PM JEG53
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Posted: 8/20/2011 3:40:07 PM
I caught my other book as soon as they put the FH line up,were my other one had the -4.5 I was able to get the -4,its already 4.5 on both now.
Lets hope Minny keeps rolling.

GL and great call on BC.
penzfan17 PM penzfan17
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Posted: 8/20/2011 3:51:50 PM
Wow got lucky and got it at 4.  Only bet it about an hour and half ago too!
straya PM straya
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Posted: 8/20/2011 4:32:31 PM
Livan33 PM Livan33
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Posted: 8/20/2011 5:43:46 PM
Great season thus far 44! You thinkin there will be any halftime plays tonight?
44-dimes PM 44-dimes
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Posted: 8/20/2011 6:08:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Livan33:

Great season thus far 44! You thinkin there will be any halftime plays tonight?


I'll let you know if something comes up.I will post it in here.

gl
Fishscale PM Fishscale
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Posted: 8/20/2011 6:45:03 PM
44-dimes!!  You're my new best friend!!!
Fishscale PM Fishscale
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Posted: 8/20/2011 7:50:07 PM
I gotta lay off this one, but GL 44
LuvParlays PM LuvParlays
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Posted: 8/20/2011 9:00:04 PM

Another winner. Thank you very much Dimes, keep it rolling!

geejun PM geejun
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Posted: 8/20/2011 9:00:27 PM
Like I said before.....FREAK....

I have run out of superlatives for your skills...
logicalbetting PM logicalbetting
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Posted: 8/20/2011 9:02:43 PM

Wow, when they were down 9 I went out and said oh well still a good week buttttttt.........................

You just made it a great week my friend 

Thanks for keeping your head up and in the game after that big loss you had.  You are one cool cat man.

Logical

Green_Bird PM Green_Bird
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Posted: 8/20/2011 9:03:27 PM
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