UFC 143

2012 MMA Record: 11-12 (+7.02u)

Renan 'Barao' -250
15u to win 6u

Barao wins ITD +293
1u to win 2.93u

Carlos Condit +177
4u to win 7.08u

Condit/Diaz wins FOTN +122
4u to win 4.88u

Mike Pierce +210
1.5u to win 3.15u

Pierce by KO/TKO +750
1u to win 7.5u

Alex Caceres +110
3u to win 3.3u

Caceres wins ITD +255
1u to win 2.55u

Caceres wins SOTN +2200
1u to win 22u

Poirier + Brown + Riddle
2u to win 2.12u

Whole lot of plays going tomorrow, I feel really good about this card actually, hopefully I can find some big payoffs with these bets.

Regarding the Diaz/Condit fight.. I was wanting to play Diaz for some time now, but wasn't going to do -200.  I decided 2 large bets on Condit straight up and the FOTN prop would be a solid play..  I figure the only way this thing does not win FOTN is if Condit manages to TKO Diaz in the first 2 rounds, or cuts him badly and there's an early ref stoppage.  I gotta hit one of those (I hope), and could certainly hit both.

Caceres will flying triangle Figueroa Well.. maybe.  I think he will land a nice sub though, he's got a good offensive submission game and looked to have a whole lot of reach with his arms/legs over Figueroa.  Struve/Barry anyone? 

Barao is a killer, I think with that Brazilian athleticism he'll stuff Jorgensen's takedowns with ease, or if it does hit the ground, he'll have the jiu jitsu to get it back up or sweep.  Barao is extremely talented and I think he'll submit Scotty (I do like him though)

And I just feel like Pierce will knock Koscheck out.  He'll be giving it the entire way, and has better striking than Koscheck and obviously a solid chin.. Kos is pretty one-dimensional in his striking and definitely hittable.  If he can't get Pierce on his back and keep in there I feel like he'll be in trouble.

These are going to be great fights tomorrow, can't wait for this one, good luck everybody

GL tonight

i like that parlay

No Stephen Thompson ctm ? 

Good luck bro! We're on a couple opposite sides though. Love your barao confidence

Yikes! On complete opposite side. At least one of us should have a good night. GL!

Thanks whipton you too, yeah there's a few favourites that look good, hopefully we pick the right ones 

Nah didn't play Thompson LONG-TU, heard alot about him but didn't really get into that fight for some reason.  I hope he displays some killer standup though

Sawman GL as always Barao should have the answer everywhere, and that Pickett win was just ridiculous

ParlayADay, hey, at least we both hit big on Weidman last weekend, hopefully neither one of us gets blown out tonight! good luck

4 hours to go !

Where did you find FOTN at +122? 

Like all the plays besides Condit. 


Good Luck!  Good Job getting that FOTN line.  Love that play.

I pretty much stayed glued to 5dimes on my phone while at work yesterday, waiting for the opener!  I bet the limit at +130 and then again at +115, so basically got +122.

I read that they opened it at +175 though.. gah!  If that's true I probably just missed it by two or three minutes.

And thanks, good luck to you too!

Thompson ko in 40 seconds easy money   Now I can enjoy the rest of the card. Good luck ctm

+2.7u

Would have been a hell of alot better if just one of those close plays went my way.  Like if Diaz/Condit won FOTN over Nelson/Werdum, blah.  Or if Caceres had not been blatently robbed.  Or Pierce had the very close decision go his way.  I'll take it though!

nice night.

good job, bud - another good night. coulda been better, but any positive is great!

Refer

Thanks sawman.  I'll definitely take the positive night!  And good job on the Giants today, I ended up taking the Pats