Championship Week is here......

Forum: NFL Betting
Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Championship Week is here......
LETGOPACK1234 PM LETGOPACK1234
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Posted: 1/13/2013 9:35:32 PM

Was going to wait a few days to see if I get better lines, but I locked in before I think my lines go the wrong way....

10-8 +410 for the playoffs

Would like to have done better, but profit is profit.....

I will be making my 3rd and 4th biggest plays of the year next weekend. I am 2-0 with 50 unit play on GB@ Chic and 30 units on Bama against ND.

 

Balt/NE -9.5

I am taking the points here.  Believe it or not, I think the team is rallying around Ray retiring.  Many thought they would fold in Denver because they are old and the air.  They actually played very, very well.  Denver got 14 points not against that D.  The D gets an extra day of rest here.  Balt plays NE tough in the redzone and without Gronk I think that will be a huge plus.  But, I am not taking Balt because of their defense and stopping Brady.  Brady will score, and he will probably score often.  I dont think NE will stop Balt.  NE D look good at times tonight, but they left ALOT of open WRs.  NE is good up front, but one thing they struggle with is the Deep ball and big plays.  I think Flacco will hit many big plays to Smith, jones and Boldin.  This will open up the tight ends over the middle and screen passes to Ray and Pierce.  Houston missed some easy chance tonight that I think Balt will take advantage of.  These teams are beyond familiar with each other already, so no suprises.  Balt should have beat them last year, and while they are older and maybe not as good as D, I think they are better on offense.  As long as Flacco doesnt lay a complete egg, I think they have a good chance at a SU win, and cover the number for sure.  I think this is way too many points, for a team with the talent all over the field that Balt has. 

10 units Balt +9.5

Will sprinkle ML when it comes out on my book

 

 

SF -3@ Atl

First of all....darn you SF   I think Kaep just picked up 3 more 1st downs on 3rd and 10 runs  My gosh, what the heck was GB gameplan on D

 

Anyways, I learned my lesson last week betting against this team.  They put the smack down.  And I believe they do the same this week.    SF also has an extra day of rest.  We have a very similar game going to be played that was played today, except against a better offense and a better defense.  SF is just alittle better at pretty much every spot than Seattle.   In my opinion, Sea beat themselves with that first half they were sleep walking in.  They left off an easy 6 points by not kicking field goals, and possible 14 if they execute better.   But, once Sea stopped beating themselves they did whatever they wanted to do.  Atl has very, very poor numbers against Car, Wash and Sea this year.  Now, they play an offense with more options and weapons.  Rice, Tate and Miller(i think thats the TE name, Im drawing a blank right now) were wide open all over the field today.  Crab, Davis, Moss and company will do the same.  One thing that I noticed during the game that Sea never took advantge of, is when they ran the QB read, Atl CRASHED the middle EVERYTIME.  Wilson never kept the ball and took it outside.  Obviously, Kaep loves to do it.  If they play the same way next week, which is why Im betting Sf, I think kaep will rush for 120+ yds again.  Atl has good weapons on offense, but I think SF will be able to muscle them around and give Ryan many, many problems. 

I think today, Atl played the best possible game they could play as a team, and needed a last second fg to win.  Even if they play a great game next week, I dont think they have the skill to compete with SF. 

20 units SF -3

 

Best of luck to all  Only 3 more games left....then its time to focus on the diamond!!!!

yourdaddyspice PM yourdaddyspice
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Posted: 1/13/2013 9:39:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LETGOPACK1234:

Was going to wait a few days to see if I get better lines, but I locked in before I think my lines go the wrong way....

10-8 +410 for the playoffs

Would like to have done better, but profit is profit.....

I will be making my 3rd and 4th biggest plays of the year next weekend. I am 2-0 with 50 unit play on GB@ Chic and 30 units on Bama against ND.

 

Balt/NE -9.5

I am taking the points here.  Believe it or not, I think the team is rallying around Ray retiring.  Many thought they would fold in Denver because they are old and the air.  They actually played very, very well.  Denver got 14 points not against that D.  The D gets an extra day of rest here.  Balt plays NE tough in the redzone and without Gronk I think that will be a huge plus.  But, I am not taking Balt because of their defense and stopping Brady.  Brady will score, and he will probably score often.  I dont think NE will stop Balt.  NE D look good at times tonight, but they left ALOT of open WRs.  NE is good up front, but one thing they struggle with is the Deep ball and big plays.  I think Flacco will hit many big plays to Smith, jones and Boldin.  This will open up the tight ends over the middle and screen passes to Ray and Pierce.  Houston missed some easy chance tonight that I think Balt will take advantage of.  These teams are beyond familiar with each other already, so no suprises.  Balt should have beat them last year, and while they are older and maybe not as good as D, I think they are better on offense.  As long as Flacco doesnt lay a complete egg, I think they have a good chance at a SU win, and cover the number for sure.  I think this is way too many points, for a team with the talent all over the field that Balt has. 

10 units Balt +9.5

Will sprinkle ML when it comes out on my book

 

 

SF -3@ Atl

First of all....darn you SF   I think Kaep just picked up 3 more 1st downs on 3rd and 10 runs  My gosh, what the heck was GB gameplan on D

 

Anyways, I learned my lesson last week betting against this team.  They put the smack down.  And I believe they do the same this week.    SF also has an extra day of rest.  We have a very similar game going to be played that was played today, except against a better offense and a better defense.  SF is just alittle better at pretty much every spot than Seattle.   In my opinion, Sea beat themselves with that first half they were sleep walking in.  They left off an easy 6 points by not kicking field goals, and possible 14 if they execute better.   But, once Sea stopped beating themselves they did whatever they wanted to do.  Atl has very, very poor numbers against Car, Wash and Sea this year.  Now, they play an offense with more options and weapons.  Rice, Tate and Miller(i think thats the TE name, Im drawing a blank right now) were wide open all over the field today.  Crab, Davis, Moss and company will do the same.  One thing that I noticed during the game that Sea never took advantge of, is when they ran the QB read, Atl CRASHED the middle EVERYTIME.  Wilson never kept the ball and took it outside.  Obviously, Kaep loves to do it.  If they play the same way next week, which is why Im betting Sf, I think kaep will rush for 120+ yds again.  Atl has good weapons on offense, but I think SF will be able to muscle them around and give Ryan many, many problems. 

I think today, Atl played the best possible game they could play as a team, and needed a last second fg to win.  Even if they play a great game next week, I dont think they have the skill to compete with SF. 

20 units SF -3

 

Best of luck to all  Only 3 more games left....then its time to focus on the diamond!!!!




SF

Atl is a timeout away from going home ....
buffniner PM buffniner
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Posted: 1/13/2013 9:40:38 PM
great write up gl I'm on both
smallbet07 PM smallbet07
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Posted: 1/13/2013 11:39:59 PM
On two.  BOL to us bud
LETGOPACK1234 PM LETGOPACK1234
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Posted: 1/14/2013 8:17:56 AM

Daddyspice

Buff

Small

Cubs07 PM Cubs07
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Posted: 1/14/2013 10:03:54 AM
Nice Abercrombie shirt dude.  What are you like 35?  Like the crappy GB potatohead av better lol 
Cubs07 PM Cubs07
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Posted: 1/14/2013 10:04:04 AM
Oh Go Bears 
Laroja PM Laroja
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Posted: 1/14/2013 10:11:04 AM
Like both games but I think value only lies with Baltimore. Could see SF winning by a TD + though.
Cooler999 PM Cooler999
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Posted: 1/14/2013 10:15:29 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Cubs07:

Nice Abercrombie shirt dude.  What are you like 35?  Like the crappy GB potatohead av better lol 


Sounds like a man crush to meeating popcorn
LETGOPACK1234 PM LETGOPACK1234
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Posted: 1/14/2013 7:16:22 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Cubs07:

Nice Abercrombie shirt dude.  What are you like 35?  Like the crappy GB potatohead av better lol 

 

Actually, just turned 30...29 in the pic...

It was Disney and 105 degrees out....white tshirt is the way too go in that kind of weather

LETGOPACK1234 PM LETGOPACK1234
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Posted: 1/14/2013 7:17:49 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Laroja:

Like both games but I think value only lies with Baltimore. Could see SF winning by a TD + though.

 

I honestly think Balt can win this game...they play NE tough....

Sf wins by 10+

Metallica2467 PM Metallica2467
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Posted: 1/14/2013 9:43:54 PM
On both of them as well.
Best of luck Bud
LETGOPACK1234 PM LETGOPACK1234
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Posted: 1/15/2013 7:48:49 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Metallica2467:

On both of them as well.
Best of luck Bud

 

Lets sweep em Met

LETGOPACK1234 PM LETGOPACK1234
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Posted: 1/20/2013 6:09:55 PM

What a great year in football so far for my wallet

 

Hit play of the year with GB @ Chicago for 50 units

Hit college game of the year with Bama against ND for 30 units

 

Now, just hit 3rd biggest bet of the year with SF -3 for 20 units

 

Too bad football is almost over....

 

11-8 during the playoffs up +2410....not too shabby after being up 13k during the year

 

Lets go Ravens,.....close it out for another 10 units tonight

turtleboy PM turtleboy
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Posted: 1/20/2013 6:13:36 PM
Hey Pack. Good luck my friend
Turtle 
LETGOPACK1234 PM LETGOPACK1234
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Posted: 1/20/2013 6:20:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by turtleboy:

Hey Pack. Good luck my friend
Turtle 

 

Thanks Turtle....good luck to you as well

LETGOPACK1234 PM LETGOPACK1234
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Posted: 1/20/2013 6:33:40 PM

Should have done it earlier in the week when the line was 9.5.....

But, just sprinkled 4 units on the Balt ML +285.....

Balt will score very easily tonight.....hope the D can make a few stops

Macwestie1 PM Macwestie1
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Posted: 1/20/2013 6:34:51 PM
BOL LetsGoPack
LETGOPACK1234 PM LETGOPACK1234
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Posted: 1/20/2013 6:40:15 PM
Thanks Mac
LETGOPACK1234 PM LETGOPACK1234
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Posted: 1/20/2013 9:38:20 PM

What a great night....what a great playoff...what a great profitable nfl year

 

11-8 during the playoffs up +2410....not too shabby after being up 13k during the year

 

Ravens +9.5 +1000

Ravens ML +1140

13-8 +4550 for the playoffs   Up over 17k in football

LETGOPACK1234 PM LETGOPACK1234
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Posted: 1/20/2013 9:49:23 PM
Joe Flacco just made MILLIONS and MILLIONS on his contract next year
LETGOPACK1234 PM LETGOPACK1234
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Posted: 1/20/2013 9:54:49 PM

Will be playing SF for the superbowl as soon as the line is out on my book.....

 

NFC is far superior than the AFC

LETGOPACK1234 PM LETGOPACK1234
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Posted: 1/20/2013 10:16:57 PM

Won $4140 today

Just booked SF -5 for $2000  

Will have write-up later in the week....

SF is just too talented everywhere....

Balt is used to playing QBS who cant move around....

AFC is just not good enough against the NFC

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