Posted: 1/13/2013 9:35:32 PM
Was going to wait a few days to see if I get better lines, but I locked in before I think my lines go the wrong way....
10-8 +410 for the playoffs
Would like to have done better, but profit is profit.....
I will be making my 3rd and 4th biggest plays of the year next weekend. I am 2-0 with 50 unit play on GB@ Chic and 30 units on Bama against ND.
I am taking the points here. Believe it or not, I think the team is rallying around Ray retiring. Many thought they would fold in Denver because they are old and the air. They actually played very, very well. Denver got 14 points not against that D. The D gets an extra day of rest here. Balt plays NE tough in the redzone and without Gronk I think that will be a huge plus. But, I am not taking Balt because of their defense and stopping Brady. Brady will score, and he will probably score often. I dont think NE will stop Balt. NE D look good at times tonight, but they left ALOT of open WRs. NE is good up front, but one thing they struggle with is the Deep ball and big plays. I think Flacco will hit many big plays to Smith, jones and Boldin. This will open up the tight ends over the middle and screen passes to Ray and Pierce. Houston missed some easy chance tonight that I think Balt will take advantage of. These teams are beyond familiar with each other already, so no suprises. Balt should have beat them last year, and while they are older and maybe not as good as D, I think they are better on offense. As long as Flacco doesnt lay a complete egg, I think they have a good chance at a SU win, and cover the number for sure. I think this is way too many points, for a team with the talent all over the field that Balt has.
10 units Balt +9.5
Will sprinkle ML when it comes out on my book
SF -3@ Atl
First of all....darn you SF I think Kaep just picked up 3 more 1st downs on 3rd and 10 runs My gosh, what the heck was GB gameplan on D
Anyways, I learned my lesson last week betting against this team. They put the smack down. And I believe they do the same this week. SF also has an extra day of rest. We have a very similar game going to be played that was played today, except against a better offense and a better defense. SF is just alittle better at pretty much every spot than Seattle. In my opinion, Sea beat themselves with that first half they were sleep walking in. They left off an easy 6 points by not kicking field goals, and possible 14 if they execute better. But, once Sea stopped beating themselves they did whatever they wanted to do. Atl has very, very poor numbers against Car, Wash and Sea this year. Now, they play an offense with more options and weapons. Rice, Tate and Miller(i think thats the TE name, Im drawing a blank right now) were wide open all over the field today. Crab, Davis, Moss and company will do the same. One thing that I noticed during the game that Sea never took advantge of, is when they ran the QB read, Atl CRASHED the middle EVERYTIME. Wilson never kept the ball and took it outside. Obviously, Kaep loves to do it. If they play the same way next week, which is why Im betting Sf, I think kaep will rush for 120+ yds again. Atl has good weapons on offense, but I think SF will be able to muscle them around and give Ryan many, many problems.
I think today, Atl played the best possible game they could play as a team, and needed a last second fg to win. Even if they play a great game next week, I dont think they have the skill to compete with SF.
20 units SF -3
Best of luck to all Only 3 more games left....then its time to focus on the diamond!!!!