I know this is a hypothetical and it ended up not mattering in the end. I'm also fairly certain Shanahan would have followed traditional NFL strategy, but I still wondered to myself why Collinsworth and Michaels treated as a given that the Redskins would have kicked on fourth down if it came to it. I believe an intelligent and logical coach (ie probably not any current NFL coach except Belichick) would have went for it on fourth down.
Think about it this way, you kick the field goal and you get a 6 point lead but you also need to kick off. Romo would probably need to get 70 yards to get a touchdown and win the game in 30 seconds. Not likely but certainly within the realm of possibility. What about if you go for it? First, obviously Dallas would need to stop the fourth down play. But what if they did? They would then get the ball back with 99 yards to go. They'd still have to go 70 yards just to tie the game. Assuming they did, they'd also have to make sure they made it out of bounds on the last play. Without any timeouts, this would be absolutely mandatory. Finally, they would need to win the game in overtime.
I'd argue that its actually easier to go 70 yards to score a touchdown than to make it into field goal range from 99 yards out with 30 seconds to go and no timeouts. At the very least, the two would have roughly the same probability. That would mean that the Redskins would have had to go for it, because going for it would have given them 3 distinct ways of winning a) score on 4th down b) Stop Dallas c) Win in OT, while kicking the field goal gave only one a) Stop Dallas.
I find it to be a fairly sad state of affairs that Collinsworth and Michaels didn't even acknowledge this possibility. Its also really sad that they are probably right that Shanahan would have kicked without a second thought. Its pretty simple math and logic.
I know this is a hypothetical and it ended up not mattering in the end. I'm also fairly certain Shanahan would have followed traditional NFL strategy, but I still wondered to myself why Collinsworth and Michaels treated as a given that the Redskins would have kicked on fourth down if it came to it. I believe an intelligent and logical coach (ie probably not any current NFL coach except Belichick) would have went for it on fourth down.
Think about it this way, you kick the field goal and you get a 6 point lead but you also need to kick off. Romo would probably need to get 70 yards to get a touchdown and win the game in 30 seconds. Not likely but certainly within the realm of possibility. What about if you go for it? First, obviously Dallas would need to stop the fourth down play. But what if they did? They would then get the ball back with 99 yards to go. They'd still have to go 70 yards just to tie the game. Assuming they did, they'd also have to make sure they made it out of bounds on the last play. Without any timeouts, this would be absolutely mandatory. Finally, they would need to win the game in overtime.
I'd argue that its actually easier to go 70 yards to score a touchdown than to make it into field goal range from 99 yards out with 30 seconds to go and no timeouts. At the very least, the two would have roughly the same probability. That would mean that the Redskins would have had to go for it, because going for it would have given them 3 distinct ways of winning a) score on 4th down b) Stop Dallas c) Win in OT, while kicking the field goal gave only one a) Stop Dallas.
I find it to be a fairly sad state of affairs that Collinsworth and Michaels didn't even acknowledge this possibility. Its also really sad that they are probably right that Shanahan would have kicked without a second thought. Its pretty simple math and logic.
he would have kicked the field goal, squid kick the kick off. and force homoception to throw... then again just my opinion. tony ception is horrible. i saw him yell at lik 3 or 4 different receivers. get a clue man... you're the problem.. not them... he throws the ball up and expects the receivers to go get it everytime. just looking at him gets me angry
he would have kicked the field goal, squid kick the kick off. and force homoception to throw... then again just my opinion. tony ception is horrible. i saw him yell at lik 3 or 4 different receivers. get a clue man... you're the problem.. not them... he throws the ball up and expects the receivers to go get it everytime. just looking at him gets me angry
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