Posted: 12/9/2012 11:59:12 AM
I'm always looking to take points first, or laying small numbers (less than 7) with good value, hate laying DD points in the NFL. But on occasion when the matchup calls for it, I'll jump right on that ship. And it will be in port today in San Francisco folks.
Miami quite frankly at 5-7 has overchieved this year. Credit to the coaching there. But while Ryan Tanneyhill has shown potential and could be the future in Miami, he's still a rookie, prone to making critical mistakes. And kudos to Reggie Bush, who's shown flashes of brilliance this year but continues to be inconsistent and still puts the ball on the ground. This 28th ranked offense will struggle mightily against one of the best defenses in the league in their backyard coming off a disappointing loss @ STL last week. Fact is, unless your name is Luck or Marino, history says your rookie QB will struggle against a top flight defense, especially on the road. And with all pro LT Jake Long out for the year, Tanneyhill may think he's running wind sprints @ practice today.
Defensively, the 'Fins have been respectable but you can throw on them especially if your QB can get outside the pocket. Enter Colin Kapernick. He's going to have a big game today although it really wouldn't matter who QB'd for the Niners today. They would cruise with almost anyone at the helm today short of Mark Sanchez.
Miami played anothe very good "D" o.t.r. this year, the Texans, albeit the first game of the year, Miami was soundly throttled. More of the same in a city where I once fell in love with a California beauty. Not hard to do in San Francisco. They'll be no love for Miami, coming or going. 49ers roll. A big play for me-
SF -10, -110
the line is @ 10.5 now at most places, matters not
CAROLINA +3.5, Falcons win close games, Panthers lose them.
TENN +5, rematch of O.T. win for Colts. Chris Johnson and Locker will make enough plays with their legs to keep this one close.
I'll also be looking for 2nd half plays today, I believe I am 6-1 on "2nd Half Gifts" posted plays this year.
As always good luck to all!