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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Layin' the big points in this game-
mrusso
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mrusso
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#1
Posted: 12/9/2012 11:59:12 AM

I'm always looking to take points first, or laying small numbers (less than 7) with good value, hate laying DD points in the NFL. But on occasion when the matchup calls for it, I'll jump right on that ship. And it will be in port today in San Francisco folks.

Miami quite frankly at 5-7 has overchieved this year. Credit to the coaching there. But while Ryan Tanneyhill has shown potential and could be the future in Miami, he's still a rookie, prone to making critical mistakes. And kudos to Reggie Bush, who's shown flashes of brilliance this year but continues to be inconsistent and still puts the ball on the ground. This 28th ranked offense will struggle mightily against one of the best defenses in the league in their backyard coming off a disappointing loss @ STL last week. Fact is, unless your name is Luck or Marino, history says your rookie QB will struggle against a top flight defense, especially on the road. And with all pro LT Jake Long out for the year, Tanneyhill may think he's running wind sprints @ practice today. 

Defensively, the 'Fins have been respectable but you can throw on them especially if your QB can get outside the pocket. Enter Colin Kapernick. He's going to have a big game today although it really wouldn't matter who QB'd for the Niners today. They would cruise with almost anyone at the helm today short of Mark Sanchez.

Miami played anothe very good  "D" o.t.r. this year, the Texans, albeit the first game of the year, Miami was soundly throttled. More of the same in a city where I once fell in love with a California beauty. Not hard to do in San Francisco. They'll be no love for Miami, coming or going. 49ers roll. A big play for me-

SF -10, -110

the line is @ 10.5 now at most places, matters not

Also playing,

CAROLINA +3.5,  Falcons win close games, Panthers lose them.

TENN +5, rematch of O.T. win for Colts. Chris Johnson and Locker will make enough plays with their legs to keep this one close.

I'll also be looking for 2nd half plays today, I believe I am 6-1 on "2nd Half Gifts" posted plays this year.

As always good luck to all!

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mrusso
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#2
Posted: 12/9/2012 12:26:00 PM
Adding NYG -4.5. The Saints could get pounded
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AAY
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#3
Posted: 12/9/2012 12:39:34 PM
Good Luck
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mrusso
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#4
Posted: 12/9/2012 12:42:33 PM

I locked this total right out of the gate, as I did my other plays in fact this week. Makes a difference-

Under 37.5, AZ @ SEA

these 2 teams are a combined 8-16 O/U's this season and the under is  4-0 the last 4 meetings in Seattle.

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mrusso
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#5
Posted: 12/9/2012 1:43:13 PM
I'm seeing AZ/SEA under 35.5 now. I got 37.5 earlier this week. Big difference. While you never know what crazy things may happen, I'm feeling real good about anything north of key number 37.
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mrusso
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#6
Posted: 12/9/2012 4:46:55 PM

CAR +3.5

TENN +5

2ND half gift TB -6.5, I'm sure you got that in my post, "2nd half gifts" 

Niners for the big $$$!

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mrusso
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#7
Posted: 12/9/2012 7:36:47 PM

49ers  

NYG

Sea/under

I know there were alot of winners out there today. Great job!

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#8
Posted: 12/9/2012 7:41:20 PM
good job!
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#9
Posted: 12/9/2012 8:02:28 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mrusso:

49ers  

NYG

Sea/under

I know there were alot of winners out there today. Great job!



Never would have thought the 'Hawks would put up all those points! I didn't play the game, but if I did, I think the UNDER was the pick. Don't worry...good job for today bro!
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mrusso
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#10
Posted: 12/9/2012 8:18:28 PM

Sungod

six5

Thanks, been on a good run. Hope you are too 

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