Hedge this Parlay? Need help please

Forum: NFL Betting
Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Hedge this Parlay? Need help please
yogohama PM yogohama
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Posted: 12/3/2012 3:22:33 AM
In my 7team parlay, all that is left is the Redskins.
I have them at +1.

Should I hedge or will the Redskins win?
If hedge, how much?

Thanks for all input.
tthornton PM tthornton
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Posted: 12/3/2012 3:26:19 AM
Hell no! Let the house win their money back!
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NOmoose PM NOmoose
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Posted: 12/3/2012 3:27:58 AM
More info would help... How much you bet, how much you will win?
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yogohama PM yogohama
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Posted: 12/3/2012 3:31:10 AM
49.30 to win 1292.65.
tthornton PM tthornton
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Posted: 12/3/2012 3:38:39 AM
Considering its your whole bank roll, I would hedge half.... Why else would you bet $49.30 other then a Hail Mary
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Quantum_Leap PM Quantum_Leap
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Posted: 12/3/2012 3:42:53 AM
Hedge at the half for your own sanity, and don't double dip.
DollarAndaDream PM DollarAndaDream
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Posted: 12/3/2012 4:07:14 AM
I'd say hedge for $400 on the NYG.  That way you can still win $900 if Wash wins, and I think you should be rooting for Wash since it was your original pick.  Make sure when you hedge you take NYG at -1, NOT -3 as the line stands right now.  Because if NYG wins by 2, you'd have lost your hedge AND your parlay.
yogohama PM yogohama
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Posted: 12/3/2012 4:14:32 AM
Waiting closer til gametime, might just let it roll or might put 400$ on the giants -1.

Thanks for the help guys.
tkf18ny PM tkf18ny
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Posted: 12/3/2012 5:03:47 AM
why the hell are you even putting a mnf game in your parlay if youre just gonna hedge and pay extra juice?
Hileman24 PM Hileman24
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Posted: 12/3/2012 5:24:02 AM
Tkf18ny...
U put it on mnf for a reason so if the opportunity arrises you hedge. Its smart because if it comes down to the last game you are guaranteed a winner.
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yogohama PM yogohama
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Posted: 12/4/2012 3:40:25 AM
I let it ride! 




Chaka26 PM Chaka26
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Posted: 12/4/2012 11:42:02 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Hileman24:

Tkf18ny...
U put it on mnf for a reason so if the opportunity arrises you hedge. Its smart because if it comes down to the last game you are guaranteed a winner.

by not adding the last mnf game you would already be a winner with no risk of losing.  
you can still hit the MNF game for normal size play with "already in the pocket" profits

Rolling 100% of profit from 6 team parlay winner to a side on MNF would pay more than letting a 7 teamer ride.  
By adding the last mnf game in a  parlay, this is essentially what you are doing- but at worse odds

If you plan on "hedging" the last game from the time the wager is placed, why not pick a game where you could "middle" the spread or total? Try to minimize "guaranteed losses" which hedging is in most cases

Ed-Collins PM Ed-Collins
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Posted: 12/4/2012 10:02:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Chaka26:

by not adding the last mnf game you would already be a winner with no risk of losing.  
you can still hit the MNF game for normal size play with "already in the pocket" profits

Rolling 100% of profit from 6 team parlay winner to a side on MNF would pay more than letting a 7 teamer ride.  
By adding the last mnf game in a  parlay, this is essentially what you are doing- but at worse odds

If you plan on "hedging" the last game from the time the wager is placed, why not pick a game where you could "middle" the spread or total? Try to minimize "guaranteed losses" which hedging is in most cases





Yay.  Someone else who gets it.


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