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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Week 11 situational plays ytd18-7 (72%) + 12.3 units
topshow send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 11/14/2012 9:55:18 PM
Got out of a hole last week going 2-3 after being 0-3 !! first losing week of the season but was bound to happen. Onto week 11 and 6 plays

Cincinatti -3 -120 (1.5 units)

My favourite play this week kc has played the afc north well this year but they must be both drained and deflated after Monday night because it's a game they should have won. How do they get up for this game off a short week ? Cincy had their best win of the season last week and this is a great spot for them to continue to roll. Kc also has Denver on deck and I think cincy wins comfortably.

Arizona +10 -110 (1 unit)

Atlanta lost a heartbreaker and their unbeaten record last week that has to have taken something out of them. They have another big divisional game next week vs Tampa and now they have to take on a rested and refreshed Arizona team who was undervalued in the early part of the season then overvalued after going 4-0 and now seems undervalued again after their poor form pre bye. 2 or 3 weeks ago the line would have +7 max so we are getting some line value as well as a good spot.

Jacksonville + 16 -110 (1 unit)

Jeez where do I begin !!!! Yes jax is dogmeat but what a bad spot for Houston. Coming off that very physical game vs Chicago they must be beat up and they have a primetime
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#2
Posted: 11/14/2012 10:07:36 PM
Thanksgiving game on deck. I think they snooze through this game in a 24-10 type game.

Carolina + 1.5 -110 (1 unit)

I'm 0-3 betting on Carolina this season but I go to the well again. This is a revenge game for them and I think they raise their game here especially as their season is effectively over. Tampa is clicking but has a bigger game on deck vs Atlanta and I think their winning run comes to an end.

Indianapolis 9.5 -115 (1 unit)

Indy off of 10 days rest in a great spot here against a new England team that has their arch enemy on deck on a short week and are coming off a divisional game which ended up being very intense. Looks like a letdown spot and a close game to me.

Oakland +4.5 -110 (1/2 unit)

Small play here cos new Orleans is clicking and Oakland is trash but it's a bad spot for the saints. They just had a very emotional win last wee
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#3
Posted: 11/14/2012 10:11:21 PM
Against their biggest rival and next week they have a huge revenge game against the 49ers who knocked them out of the play offs last year. Now they have to travel cross country to face the horrible raiders on grass. Looks a tricky spot to me !!

Considered Cleveland but Dallas really needs this game to stay in the play off race so I passed.

Good luck to all this week
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#4
Posted: 11/14/2012 10:13:47 PM
Indianapolis +9.5 obviously lol
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#5
Posted: 11/14/2012 10:16:22 PM
Bol man
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Spartacus10 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#6
Posted: 11/14/2012 10:21:54 PM
Agree with most of your plays, but I wouldn't touch the Jacksonville game. Good luck topshow
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#7
Posted: 11/14/2012 10:25:11 PM
And you mamba
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#8
Posted: 11/14/2012 10:25:58 PM
Cheers Spartacus and you
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#9
Posted: 11/14/2012 10:28:29 PM

I believe Houston is something like 5-0 or 6-0 as a DD fav over the past 2 yrs so tough to bet against them in this spot...I have no faith in the Jax offense so staying away from this one even tho we're getting a 3 score buffer.

Loving Zona +10 as they should be able to keep this to a low scoring game.

Cincy -3 is also a strong lean for me as well....KC off a short week and a tough loss.

GL with your plays!

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#10
Posted: 11/15/2012 7:35:49 AM
Cheers kraze good luck to you as well
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#11
Posted: 11/15/2012 7:41:58 AM
Good luck on your plays. 
Thanks for posting.

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#12
Posted: 11/16/2012 1:57:22 AM
Cheers pasta good luck to you too
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#13
Posted: 11/16/2012 5:36:54 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by topshow:

Got out of a hole last week going 2-3 after being 0-3 !! first losing week of the season but was bound to happen. Onto week 11 and 6 plays

Cincinatti -3 -120 (1.5 units)

My favourite play this week kc has played the afc north well this year but they must be both drained and deflated after Monday night because it's a game they should have won. How do they get up for this game off a short week ? Cincy had their best win of the season last week and this is a great spot for them to continue to roll. Kc also has Denver on deck and I think cincy wins comfortably.

Arizona +10 -110 (1 unit)

Atlanta lost a heartbreaker and their unbeaten record last week that has to have taken something out of them. They have another big divisional game next week vs Tampa and now they have to take on a rested and refreshed Arizona team who was undervalued in the early part of the season then overvalued after going 4-0 and now seems undervalued again after their poor form pre bye. 2 or 3 weeks ago the line would have +7 max so we are getting some line value as well as a good spot.

Jacksonville + 16 -110 (1 unit)

Jeez where do I begin !!!! Yes jax is dogmeat but what a bad spot for Houston. Coming off that very physical game vs Chicago they must be beat up and they have a primetime
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#14
Posted: 11/16/2012 5:39:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by topshow:

Thanksgiving game on deck. I think they snooze through this game in a 24-10 type game.

Carolina + 1.5 -110 (1 unit)

I'm 0-3 betting on Carolina this season but I go to the well again. This is a revenge game for them and I think they raise their game here especially as their season is effectively over. Tampa is clicking but has a bigger game on deck vs Atlanta and I think their winning run comes to an end.

Indianapolis 9.5 -115 (1 unit)

Indy off of 10 days rest in a great spot here against a new England team that has their arch enemy on deck on a short week and are coming off a divisional game which ended up being very intense. Looks like a letdown spot and a close game to me.

Oakland +4.5 -110 (1/2 unit)

Small play here cos new Orleans is clicking and Oakland is trash but it's a bad spot for the saints. They just had a very emotional win last wee
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#15
Posted: 11/16/2012 9:57:51 PM
Giettuino thanks for the constructive criticism very insightful !!!!
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#16
Posted: 11/17/2012 3:33:08 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by topshow:

Giettuino thanks for the constructive criticism very insightful !!!!

Jax is good after I look over again. But careful with oak and ind. good luck.
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#17
Posted: 11/17/2012 4:00:28 AM
Gl to you also
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#18
Posted: 11/19/2012 2:33:40 AM
3-3 and a small profit thanks to the main bet winning but the Carolina loss was tough to swallow !!

Ytd 21-10 (67.7%) + 13 units
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