First week of the second half of the season is here! Time to be super selective and buckle down on the amount of plays. What's everyone lovin this week?
I see some underdogs that look offely juicy right now
A lot of teams with look ahead tough games comin up. Other teams with lines that make you go hmmmm. (Broncos -3?) (Ravens -3.5?)
Excited for week 9 is an understatement. Really likin two teams already. Anyone have an idea on whom they might be?
First week of the second half of the season is here! Time to be super selective and buckle down on the amount of plays. What's everyone lovin this week?
I see some underdogs that look offely juicy right now
A lot of teams with look ahead tough games comin up. Other teams with lines that make you go hmmmm. (Broncos -3?) (Ravens -3.5?)
Excited for week 9 is an understatement. Really likin two teams already. Anyone have an idea on whom they might be?
Ravens -3.5 is a bit odd. I tell you what - a lot of these @ HOME (Browns) game of late with these oddball lines have seen the Browns cover...
They've won back-to-back home games as +DOGS
Yup, browns have been better than most would think this year. Their 4-3-1 ATS with one of their losses being that loss to the Giants where they blew a 14 point lead. Another loss was to the Colts where Gordon dropped a wide open touchdown which would have won them the game. There riding a little underrated if you ask me
Ravens -3.5 is a bit odd. I tell you what - a lot of these @ HOME (Browns) game of late with these oddball lines have seen the Browns cover...
They've won back-to-back home games as +DOGS
Yup, browns have been better than most would think this year. Their 4-3-1 ATS with one of their losses being that loss to the Giants where they blew a 14 point lead. Another loss was to the Colts where Gordon dropped a wide open touchdown which would have won them the game. There riding a little underrated if you ask me
Falcons line looks to low, Wrong team IMO favored in the Tampa/Raiders game. Bears line also looks to be off. I had the panthers last week, line has already dropped to Bears-3.5 against the Titans
Falcons line looks to low, Wrong team IMO favored in the Tampa/Raiders game. Bears line also looks to be off. I had the panthers last week, line has already dropped to Bears-3.5 against the Titans
This week's card is lookin quite juicy. I havn't delved into the games just yet, but at first look, I can say with a good amount of certainty that one of the Teams you are looking at is Buffalo & maybe Tennessee.. No wait, what about Dallas or Pitt?
This Det @ Jax game is a bit fishy.. Line opened at DET-4, nearly everyone jumps on DET, and the line drops a half a point. Lions looking ahead to revenge matchup vs Vikes.. hmm.. Jacksonville, Nah...
Oh boy... can't wait to see what your cookin up this week LC!
This week's card is lookin quite juicy. I havn't delved into the games just yet, but at first look, I can say with a good amount of certainty that one of the Teams you are looking at is Buffalo & maybe Tennessee.. No wait, what about Dallas or Pitt?
This Det @ Jax game is a bit fishy.. Line opened at DET-4, nearly everyone jumps on DET, and the line drops a half a point. Lions looking ahead to revenge matchup vs Vikes.. hmm.. Jacksonville, Nah...
Oh boy... can't wait to see what your cookin up this week LC!
Loving Dallas, liking Pitt and Philly. I would prolly tease all 3 and that over on Philly/saints game is juicy $$.
I like Houston but not at -10. DD fav have not fair well last 2wks. Jets @ pats and jags @ packers. Both didn't cover and Mario's homecoming too. I already tease texans to pickem.
Good week for teasing IMO - texans, boys, Pitt, den = $$$$$$
Loving Dallas, liking Pitt and Philly. I would prolly tease all 3 and that over on Philly/saints game is juicy $$.
I like Houston but not at -10. DD fav have not fair well last 2wks. Jets @ pats and jags @ packers. Both didn't cover and Mario's homecoming too. I already tease texans to pickem.
Good week for teasing IMO - texans, boys, Pitt, den = $$$$$$
First week of the second half of the season is here! Time to be super selective and buckle down on the amount of plays. What's everyone lovin this week?
I see some underdogs that look offely juicy right now
A lot of teams with look ahead tough games comin up. Other teams with lines that make you go hmmmm. (Broncos -3?) (Ravens -3.5?)
Excited for week 9 is an understatement. Really likin two teams already. Anyone have an idea on whom they might be?
If I had to take a couple of guesses on the two teams you like, I would say one of the following:
1. San Diego - (They have been horrible as of late, but this seems like a great spot for them to take out some frustrations on perhaps the worst team in the league).
2. Cleveland + (Baltimore continues to remain overrated right now. I could see them losing this one straight up with all of the injuries they currently are dealing with.)
3. Tampa + (Not sure why Oakland would be favored here, even at home. Tampa is getting better and better every week.)
4. Atlanta - (This is probably a suckers bet, but that was a really tough one to swallow for the Boys this past weekend after coming all the way back from 23 down against their hated rivals, only to lose. I expect them to be deflated.)
First week of the second half of the season is here! Time to be super selective and buckle down on the amount of plays. What's everyone lovin this week?
I see some underdogs that look offely juicy right now
A lot of teams with look ahead tough games comin up. Other teams with lines that make you go hmmmm. (Broncos -3?) (Ravens -3.5?)
Excited for week 9 is an understatement. Really likin two teams already. Anyone have an idea on whom they might be?
If I had to take a couple of guesses on the two teams you like, I would say one of the following:
1. San Diego - (They have been horrible as of late, but this seems like a great spot for them to take out some frustrations on perhaps the worst team in the league).
2. Cleveland + (Baltimore continues to remain overrated right now. I could see them losing this one straight up with all of the injuries they currently are dealing with.)
3. Tampa + (Not sure why Oakland would be favored here, even at home. Tampa is getting better and better every week.)
4. Atlanta - (This is probably a suckers bet, but that was a really tough one to swallow for the Boys this past weekend after coming all the way back from 23 down against their hated rivals, only to lose. I expect them to be deflated.)
I'm a bucs fan and gonna take the +1.5pts, the only thing that worries me is that another one of their starting corners got suspended. Meaning an already shaky pass defense got even shakier.
I'm a bucs fan and gonna take the +1.5pts, the only thing that worries me is that another one of their starting corners got suspended. Meaning an already shaky pass defense got even shakier.
"Ever since the start of Thursday Night Football, road teams travelling farther than 1,500 miles for a game if they just played on sunday are 0-14 ATS and 0-14 SUALL TIME"
(now 1-14 ATS & SU after TB beat Minni)
roughly 1600 miles from KC to Qualcomm stadium.
Pick: SD ?
"Home teams going into their bye week with a spread of 0 to -6 this year are 0-8 ATS and 15-43 (25.8%) ATS the past 14 years."
(0-9 now after NYJ loss. made me $$$ last week. Thanks )
Pick CAR & BAL ?
(Baltimore is on a run of 9-1 ATS over its last ten post-bye week games. & dogs are 9-1 ATS in Car & Was games)
Teams who are losing by 10 or more points after the 3Q and win the game are 4-12 ATS the following week the past 5 years. In road games that drops to just 2-7 ATS
"Ever since the start of Thursday Night Football, road teams travelling farther than 1,500 miles for a game if they just played on sunday are 0-14 ATS and 0-14 SUALL TIME"
(now 1-14 ATS & SU after TB beat Minni)
roughly 1600 miles from KC to Qualcomm stadium.
Pick: SD ?
"Home teams going into their bye week with a spread of 0 to -6 this year are 0-8 ATS and 15-43 (25.8%) ATS the past 14 years."
(0-9 now after NYJ loss. made me $$$ last week. Thanks )
Pick CAR & BAL ?
(Baltimore is on a run of 9-1 ATS over its last ten post-bye week games. & dogs are 9-1 ATS in Car & Was games)
Teams who are losing by 10 or more points after the 3Q and win the game are 4-12 ATS the following week the past 5 years. In road games that drops to just 2-7 ATS
I think the Bears lose SU this week looking ahead to the Texans.................
Bears just barely escaped from a home loss to the Panthers, I wouldn't be looking ahead to anyone. I think Matt hasselback did all he could, but he's not a savior. Also, titans just came off a divisional overtime loss to the Colts. A lot of factors working against these titans.
I think the Bears lose SU this week looking ahead to the Texans.................
Bears just barely escaped from a home loss to the Panthers, I wouldn't be looking ahead to anyone. I think Matt hasselback did all he could, but he's not a savior. Also, titans just came off a divisional overtime loss to the Colts. A lot of factors working against these titans.
was at charles tillman foundation dinner last night with alot bears D players & they said they were just flat after quick turn after MNF game against hated division foe detroit. They are well aware of stacking wins against teams they are suppose to beat with November schedule coming...houston, 49ers, vikes. if there is loss coming its 49ers, where they typically play very poorly out there.
was at charles tillman foundation dinner last night with alot bears D players & they said they were just flat after quick turn after MNF game against hated division foe detroit. They are well aware of stacking wins against teams they are suppose to beat with November schedule coming...houston, 49ers, vikes. if there is loss coming its 49ers, where they typically play very poorly out there.
As a starting point, I use a system that charts a team's offensive rhythm. It's worked pretty well. It helped me go 5-2 last weekend, and I've won my last 5 "Best Bets"
Anyway, my system gives me these early leans
Chiefs Bengals Dolphins Seahawks Cowboys Eagles
Based on my numbers, the last 2 teams are definite plays, and I'll continue thinking about the others
A couple random thoughts
Broncos haven't done well in the 2 games they've played in the Eastern Time Zone, and now they'll play the Bengals in an early game
Who will the Fins QB be?
Hawks have a huge HFA. Russell Wilson's home field QBR is 116.9, that might be the best in the NFL.
As a starting point, I use a system that charts a team's offensive rhythm. It's worked pretty well. It helped me go 5-2 last weekend, and I've won my last 5 "Best Bets"
Anyway, my system gives me these early leans
Chiefs Bengals Dolphins Seahawks Cowboys Eagles
Based on my numbers, the last 2 teams are definite plays, and I'll continue thinking about the others
A couple random thoughts
Broncos haven't done well in the 2 games they've played in the Eastern Time Zone, and now they'll play the Bengals in an early game
Who will the Fins QB be?
Hawks have a huge HFA. Russell Wilson's home field QBR is 116.9, that might be the best in the NFL.
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