| Author: |
[NFL Betting] Topic: WEEK 5's SUCKER BET BROUGHT TO YOU BY TOOTSIE POP |
|
demapples |
 View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2002
Posts: 1206
Location: Pennsylvania |
#1 Posted: 10/4/2012 2:12:41 PM  "A pleasant good morning to everyone and welcome to Week 5's SUCKER BET brought to you by the fine folks at Tootsie Pop! For
those of you who are unfamiliar
with the SUCKER BET, each week I identify the games where the public
seems to be heavily favoring one side. Typically there are 3 or 4
choices each week. From those games, I choose one unpopular pick as
the SUCKER BET. Last week was not a good one for the SUCKER as the Raiders plus the points never had a chance. That brings our season tally to 3-1 ATS. This week is not an easy one to select a SUCKER BET. Ultimately we have 3 home dogs (IND, KC, JAX) to choose from. This won't be a popular pick, but I'm taking the Colts +7 hosting the Packers. There isn't a ton out there to support this pick. I'm thinking the Colts will be playing with raw emotion as coach Chuck Pagano was suddenly diagnosed with Leukemia. The Packers have been progressively getting better as the year goes on which doesn't trend nicely for my pick. But I look at their victory last week vs. the Saints and I can help but think what the outcome would have been if the Saints could only tackle. We've all seen those games where the Packers defense looks awful. I'm hoping that defense shows on Sunday along with the most penalized defensive unit in the league. The Colts have followed up their past 4 SU loses with an ATS win. They are well rested coming off their bye week in which they are 4-1 ATS L5. The Pack are both 1-4 ATS L5 overall and their L5 vs. a team with a losing record. I'm hoping a low scoring under game takes place here. Colts are 7-0 Under in their last 7 home games and 6-1 Under in their last 7 overall. Neither team has a lot of familiarity with each other which may or may not support my pick. One match-up I like is Colts D-Line vs. Pack O-Line. There you have it, Colts +7 hosting the Pack. Good luck to everyone this week and see you next week for Week 6's SUCKER BET brought to you by Tootsie Pop!"
|
|
quote |
|
cisco |
RSI  |
All-Star
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 11652
Location: Mexico |
#2 Posted: 10/4/2012 2:30:01 PM Nice writeup demapples. I like the play.
Indy +7
|
|
quote |
|
FadeOnly |
RSI |
All-Star
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 11583
Location: Pennsylvania |
#3 Posted: 10/4/2012 3:13:37 PM  |
|
quote |
|
choiOi |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 4337
Location: Wyoming |
#4 Posted: 10/4/2012 3:23:14 PM I thought 9ers/Vikings and Atl/Car were trapped games...I don't think Packers are it this week. Look at the Saints w/out a HC this season.....the sucker should be Skins +3 but you've done well so I would hate to bet against you this week.
GL bud. |
|
quote |
|
WilliamMunny |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Feb 2005
Posts: 1762
Location: Maryland |
#5 Posted: 10/4/2012 3:58:44 PM |
|
quote |
|
|
|
greenfield |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Jan 2005
Posts: 336
Location: |
#6 Posted: 10/4/2012 4:04:03 PM |
|
quote |
|
SportsFreak69 |
RSI  |
Legend
Joined: Aug 2008
Posts: 34217
Location: United States |
#7 Posted: 10/4/2012 4:47:58 PM  |
|
quote |
|
NinjaJuice |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 31
Location: |
#8 Posted: 10/4/2012 7:16:28 PM |
|
quote |
|
demapples |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2002
Posts: 1206
Location: Pennsylvania |
#9 Posted: 10/5/2012 9:18:31 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by choiOi: I thought 9ers/Vikings and Atl/Car were trapped games...I don't think Packers are it this week. Look at the Saints w/out a HC this season.....the sucker should be Skins +3 but you've done well so I would hate to bet against you this week.
GL bud.
The Redskins weren't an option. I can only chose from the 3 or 4 most lopsided consensus picks. Simply being an underdog doesn't qualify...I like to make it hard on myself.
|
|
quote |
|
redskinsnut |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 1841
Location: Virginia |
#10 Posted: 10/5/2012 11:44:39 AM |
|
quote |
|
luckyly |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Jun 2007
Posts: 2738
Location: Indiana |
#11 Posted: 10/5/2012 11:46:01 AM CROSS OVER GAME,,IF THIS GAME WAS IN WISC I WOULD BE ON THE OTHER SIDE<BUT..UR RIGHT ON THE MONEY>
THE JAX GAME IS TEMTIM... |
|
quote |
|
frumundercheeze |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Captain
Joined: Aug 2006
Posts: 5567
Location: United States |
#12 Posted: 10/7/2012 11:45:04 AM |
|
quote |
|
raychard |
RSI  |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 1387
Location: Ontario |
#13 Posted: 10/7/2012 11:48:23 AM |
|
quote |
|
halofan |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: May 2012
Posts: 2761
Location: |
#14 Posted: 10/7/2012 11:48:35 AM |
|
quote |
|
charlielo55 |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 1637
Location: Texas |
#15 Posted: 10/7/2012 11:49:01 AM |
|
quote |
|
Pitt94 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 300
Location: Tennessee |
#16 Posted: 10/7/2012 11:54:54 AM |
|
quote |
|
Theslickerone28 |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Sep 2010
Posts: 56
Location: |
#17 Posted: 10/7/2012 11:56:40 AM |
|
quote |
|
Foots1974 |
RSI  |
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 69
Location: Virginia |
#18 Posted: 10/7/2012 12:00:06 PM  |
|
quote |
|
sdsufred7 |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 460
Location: Philippines |
#19 Posted: 10/7/2012 12:00:55 PM
|
|
quote |
|
vetdrm |
RSI |
Captain
Joined: Nov 2003
Posts: 8102
Location: Antarctica |
#20 Posted: 10/7/2012 12:02:58 PM |
|
quote |
|
MEGALOCKS |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 | |
All-Star
Joined: Dec 2003
Posts: 10232
Location: Ontario |
#21 Posted: 10/7/2012 12:38:32 PM |
|
quote |
|
rosshuff |
RSI  |
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 768
Location: Idaho |
#22 Posted: 10/7/2012 12:45:53 PM
|
|
quote |
|
Speirs |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Jul 2012
Posts: 622
Location: Tennessee |
#23 Posted: 10/7/2012 12:58:51 PM |
|
quote |
|
FrankFunk |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Feb 2010
Posts: 214
Location: |
#24 Posted: 10/7/2012 5:09:44 PM Bam!
|
|
quote |
|
rr207 |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 1894
Location: |
#25 Posted: 10/7/2012 5:10:46 PM |
|
quote |