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[NFL Betting] Topic: sift that flour, roll that dough, buttermilk biscuits good to go! |
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CHARLOTTEsports |
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#1 Posted: 1/14/2012 11:46:57 AM
The most exciting weekend of the NFL season is
here, I'm really looking forward to these match ups today and of course,
getting sauced and betting on them, hahaha. I'm going to the Tilted
Kilt in Charlotte to watch the games today, kind of like a hooters but with better food. Let's go to work:
I
hope no one is putting too much stock in that pre-season game where the
saints defense tee'd off on SF offensive line, b/c this group is
certainly much more prepared, confident and will not be dealing with
incessant crowd noise. Alex Smith led the NFL with the fewest
interceptions thrown by a starter with five. He's not going to try to
compete with Brees for obvious reasons, but he should continue to
protect the ball and continue to let the confidence between him, davis,
crabtree manifest itself throughout this game. Much talk about NO run
game, but let's not forget about the gore/hunter 1-2 punch either. The
saints defense has been pretty good stopping the run late in the season
as well, so I don't see gore ripping off tons of yardage. NO offense is
what it is, dynamic and complex, luckily, SF has a ferocious front 7 to
contend with NO superior O line. SF can take the ball away and they
aren't 13-3 b/c they went out every weekend and said - "Hey Alex - go
outscore these guys". So let's address the elephant in the room - the
Saint's on grass. So - let's simply take a look at what they have done
on the road, on grass: 8 point loss to GB (only 9 more points scored in
that one than the total posted today???), 13 point win at Jax (33
points), 6 point loss at TB (46 points), 3 point win at my Panthers (57
points), 5 point win at Tenn (39 points). So, they scored
34,23,30,20,26 - average of 26 ppg - and I'm sure i don't need to point
out that those defenses do not even come close to the caliber of SF. So
- I think SF will muddy this game up, give up some yards, not a ton of
points, do enough on offense to posses the ball and stay in it until the
end. Oh by the way: Teams that score 40-plus in the playoffs are 3-18
ATS the following week since 1996.
So, therefore:
SF +4
UNDER 47.5
I'm
pretty sure Mr. Brady is not going to stand for a shitty performance at
home in the playoffs again, but I'm not sure how much his defense is
going to help him. The game a few weeks ago was pretty close until the
bronco's lost 3 fumbles in the 2nd quarter and Brady capitalized on
every one of them. Point is, the bonco's can move the ball on the pats
garbage defense and like it or not, Tebow puts stress on the defense
with linebackers/corners having to make multiple reads with the read
option look the bronco's give. The pats were only laying a TD in denver
and now it's double that? I think there is a bit of value here. The
pats have started rather slowly in games here lately and Tom Brady isn't
exactly bullet proof in this position - He is 16-23 ATS as a home
favorite of -9 or more (6-16 ATS since November 2007). I'm not going
against Tebow or John Fox - Fox is 7-2ats in the playoffs and I remember
quite vividly the last time Fox met the Pats in the playoffs - We, yes i
said we, were a kasay kick out of bounds from shocking the world. I
think the pats are just a bit over-valued here laying 2 td's, at any
rate - i'll take 'em. Teams on a five-game winning streak entering the
playoffs are 1-7 ATS as home favorites off a bye since 2002. I also
like the probability of these two putting up some points on each other.
Denver +15
OVER 50
Good luck all - |
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Area51 |
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#2 Posted: 1/14/2012 11:50:30 AM  |
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Stifflersmom |
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#3 Posted: 1/14/2012 12:03:16 PM
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CHARLOTTEsports |
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#4 Posted: 1/14/2012 12:11:04 PM 
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The-iLLuminati |
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#5 Posted: 1/14/2012 12:13:08 PM |
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Posted using a mobile device.quote |
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The-iLLuminati |
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#6 Posted: 1/14/2012 12:13:27 PM |
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Posted using a mobile device.quote |
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WilliamMunny |
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#7 Posted: 1/14/2012 12:20:20 PM |
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snowman76 |
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#8 Posted: 1/14/2012 12:21:16 PM |
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#9 Posted: 1/14/2012 12:40:42 PM Spot on CS !
If both teams play to form, 49ers are the play!
BOL!
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Guy_2U |
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#10 Posted: 1/14/2012 12:43:54 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Stifflersmom:
I gotta disagree with you on that first game
Simply mind with no explaination and no reasoning.
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CHARLOTTEsports |
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#11 Posted: 1/14/2012 12:52:11 PM
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#12 Posted: 1/14/2012 12:55:14 PM i have 3 out of 4, not betting the TOTAL on NE/DEN
lets get that cash! |
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#13 Posted: 1/14/2012 12:59:40 PM
SF +4
UNDER 47.5
Denver +15
OVER 50
Good luck all
GOOD LUCK TO YOU ALSO CHARL......but you cant honestly think that both dogs will cover today?.....i take it u bought 1.5 pts on broncs to get +15?.....good luck either way but i feel both favs cover with ease!! |
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onebrokebloke |
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#14 Posted: 1/14/2012 12:59:51 PM Definately like the bet's except NE ATS....but I love even more the getting sauced part!!.... ...just place the bet's FIRST!!!...GL |
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CHARLOTTEsports |
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#15 Posted: 1/14/2012 1:01:40 PM
let's roll goodfella
wizard - 5dimes is at 15 -135
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CHARLOTTEsports |
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#16 Posted: 1/14/2012 1:02:35 PM
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kamphil |
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#17 Posted: 1/14/2012 1:04:15 PM
Obviously Seattle didnt cover in Divisional round last yr., but then GB covered in NFC Championship. It shouldn't lose two in a row...
CHARLOTTEsports, thanks for sharing
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kamphil |
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#18 Posted: 1/14/2012 1:04:26 PM
Obviously Seattle didnt cover in Divisional round last yr., but then GB covered in NFC Championship. It shouldn't lose two in a row...
CHARLOTTEsports, thanks for sharing
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CHARLOTTEsports |
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#19 Posted: 1/14/2012 1:20:13 PM
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#20 Posted: 1/14/2012 1:39:17 PM
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VGPOP |
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#21 Posted: 1/14/2012 3:18:03 PM |
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#22 Posted: 1/14/2012 3:23:33 PM |
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#23 Posted: 1/14/2012 3:25:54 PM |
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#24 Posted: 1/14/2012 3:26:44 PM  |
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#25 Posted: 1/15/2012 9:55:25 AM Say it loud and say it proud! Start the chant early and often! 
"Let's go Ra-vens! Let's go Ra-vens!" 
"Fuku-Payme! Fuku-Payme!"
RAVENS and UNDER!
Good luck all!
FUPM 2X   |
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