sift that flour, roll that dough, buttermilk biscuits good to go!

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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: sift that flour, roll that dough, buttermilk biscuits good to go!
CHARLOTTEsports PM CHARLOTTEsports
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Posted: 1/14/2012 11:46:57 AM
3-3 nfl playoffs

The most exciting weekend of the NFL season is here, I'm really looking forward to these match ups today and of course, getting sauced and betting on them, hahaha.  I'm going to the Tilted Kilt in Charlotte to watch the games today, kind of like a hooters but with better food.  Let's go to work:

I hope no one is putting too much stock in that pre-season game where the saints defense tee'd off on SF offensive line, b/c this group is certainly much more prepared, confident and will not be dealing with incessant crowd noise.  Alex Smith led the NFL with the fewest interceptions thrown by a starter with five. He's not going to try to compete with Brees for obvious reasons, but he should continue to protect the ball and continue to let the confidence between him, davis, crabtree manifest itself throughout this game. Much talk about NO run game, but let's not forget about the gore/hunter 1-2 punch either.  The saints defense has been pretty good stopping the run late in the season as well, so I don't see gore ripping off tons of yardage.  NO offense is what it is, dynamic and complex, luckily, SF has a ferocious front 7 to contend with NO superior O line.  SF can take the ball away and they aren't 13-3 b/c they went out every weekend and said - "Hey Alex - go outscore these guys".  So let's address the elephant in the room - the Saint's on grass.  So - let's simply take a look at what they have done on the road, on grass:  8 point loss to GB (only 9 more points scored in that one than the total posted today???), 13 point win at Jax (33 points), 6 point loss at TB (46 points), 3 point win at my Panthers (57 points), 5 point win at Tenn (39 points).  So, they scored 34,23,30,20,26 - average of 26 ppg - and I'm sure i don't need to point out that those defenses do not even come close to the caliber of SF.  So - I think SF will muddy this game up, give up some yards, not a ton of points, do enough on offense to posses the ball and stay in it until the end.  Oh by the way:  Teams that score 40-plus in the playoffs are 3-18 ATS the following week since 1996.
So, therefore:

SF +4
UNDER 47.5



I'm pretty sure Mr. Brady is not going to stand for a shitty performance at home in the playoffs again, but I'm not sure how much his defense is going to help him.  The game a few weeks ago was pretty close until the bronco's lost 3 fumbles in the 2nd quarter and Brady capitalized on every one of them.  Point is, the bonco's can move the ball on the pats garbage defense and like it or not, Tebow puts stress on the defense with linebackers/corners having to make multiple reads with the read option look the bronco's give.  The pats were only laying a TD in denver and now it's double that?  I think there is a bit of value here.  The pats have started rather slowly in games here lately and Tom Brady isn't exactly bullet proof in this position - He is 16-23 ATS as a home favorite of -9 or more (6-16 ATS since November 2007).  I'm not going against Tebow or John Fox - Fox is 7-2ats in the playoffs and I remember quite vividly the last time Fox met the Pats in the playoffs - We, yes i said we, were a kasay kick out of bounds from shocking the world.  I think the pats are just a bit over-valued here laying 2 td's, at any rate - i'll take 'em.  Teams on a five-game winning streak entering the playoffs are 1-7 ATS as home favorites off a bye since 2002.  I also like the probability of these two putting up some points on each other. 

Denver +15
OVER 50


Good luck all -
Area51 PM Area51
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Posted: 1/14/2012 11:50:30 AM
Stifflersmom PM Stifflersmom
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Posted: 1/14/2012 12:03:16 PM
I gotta disagree with you on that first game
CHARLOTTEsports PM CHARLOTTEsports
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Posted: 1/14/2012 12:11:04 PM
that's what makes the world go 'round stiffler....health to you - BOL on the rest!
The-iLLuminati PM The-iLLuminati
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Posted: 1/14/2012 12:13:08 PM
Denver can stop the double TE's on the field .
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The-iLLuminati PM The-iLLuminati
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Posted: 1/14/2012 12:13:27 PM
I mean CANT. But bol to you
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WilliamMunny PM WilliamMunny
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Posted: 1/14/2012 12:20:20 PM
I have all 4...GL to US!!!
snowman76 PM snowman76
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Posted: 1/14/2012 12:21:16 PM
I love N.O. too and i pick the losers, so im goin big on SF,  best of luck to all!
Guy_2U PM Guy_2U
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Posted: 1/14/2012 12:40:42 PM

Spot on CS !

If both teams play to form, 49ers are the play!

BOL!

Guy_2U PM Guy_2U
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Posted: 1/14/2012 12:43:54 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Stifflersmom:

I gotta disagree with you on that first game

Simply mind with no explaination and no reasoning.

CHARLOTTEsports PM CHARLOTTEsports
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Posted: 1/14/2012 12:52:11 PM
lol, my goal is certainly to win'em all but a 3-1 i will gladly take, i really like the over in the pats/bronco's game but the wind threat is keeping me from it being an ooooooooo weeeeeeeeeeee panty dropper.  now baltimore tomorrow might be a different story.
TheGoodfella PM TheGoodfella
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Posted: 1/14/2012 12:55:14 PM

i have 3 out of 4, not betting the TOTAL on NE/DEN

lets get that cash!

dawizard2011 PM dawizard2011
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Posted: 1/14/2012 12:59:40 PM
[Quote: Originally Posted by CHARLOTTEsports] 3-3 nfl playoffs



SF +4
UNDER 47.5





Denver +15
OVER 50


Good luck all 


GOOD LUCK TO YOU ALSO CHARL......but you cant honestly think that both dogs will cover today?.....i take it u bought 1.5 pts on broncs to get +15?.....good luck either way but i feel both favs cover with ease!!
onebrokebloke PM onebrokebloke
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Posted: 1/14/2012 12:59:51 PM
Definately like the bet's except NE ATS....but I love even more the getting sauced part!!.......just place the bet's FIRST!!!...GL
CHARLOTTEsports PM CHARLOTTEsports
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Posted: 1/14/2012 1:01:40 PM
lol - onebroke -

let's roll goodfella

wizard - 5dimes is at 15 -135
CHARLOTTEsports PM CHARLOTTEsports
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Posted: 1/14/2012 1:02:35 PM
why can't both dogs cover??????
kamphil PM kamphil
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Posted: 1/14/2012 1:04:15 PM
GREAT angle with teams that scored 40+ points in previous game.
Obviously Seattle didnt cover in Divisional round last yr., but then GB covered in NFC Championship.   It shouldn't lose two in a row...
CHARLOTTEsports, thanks for sharing
kamphil PM kamphil
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Posted: 1/14/2012 1:04:26 PM
GREAT angle with teams that scored 40+ points in previous game.
Obviously Seattle didnt cover in Divisional round last yr., but then GB covered in NFC Championship.   It shouldn't lose two in a row...
CHARLOTTEsports, thanks for sharing
CHARLOTTEsports PM CHARLOTTEsports
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Posted: 1/14/2012 1:20:13 PM
GL today kamp
smallbet07 PM smallbet07
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Posted: 1/14/2012 1:39:17 PM
SF and Ne myself .  BOL Char
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Posted: 1/14/2012 3:18:03 PM
JJsLocks PM JJsLocks
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Posted: 1/14/2012 3:23:33 PM
docterd597 PM docterd597
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Posted: 1/14/2012 3:25:54 PM
TRAIN69 PM TRAIN69
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Posted: 1/14/2012 3:26:44 PM
fupm PM fupm
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Posted: 1/15/2012 9:55:25 AM

Say it loud and say it proud!  Start the chant early and often!

"Let's go Ra-vens!  Let's go Ra-vens!" 

"Fuku-Payme!  Fuku-Payme!"

RAVENS and UNDER!

Good luck all! 

FUPM 2X

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