Good start to the playoffs last week hitting the NO Spread and the Over. Have to go against them in SF this time.
Alot of people are saying SF's offense won't be able to match NO. If we look closer SF makes 7.3 yards per pass attempt at home compare to 5.8 away, a significant difference showing a big improvement at home. N.O away makes 7.6 yards per attempt, only slightly ahead.
On rushing offense we see these teams matching up evenly, on the road N.O makes only 3.9 yards per attempt, this is compared to the 5.7 they make on their own home ground. SF makes 3.9yards per attempt at home.
Rush defense SF obviously has the huge advantage limiting teams to only 3.2 yards where as N.O conceds 5.1 away.
Pass defense N.O is slightly ahead with 6.2 yards per attempt conceded away from home compared to SF's 6.5.
N.O has a great Red Zone Scoring TD % at home at 69.39% however on the road this drops to 43.75%, a huge difference. This is still however ahead of SF who sits at 38.24% at home.
SF has an amazing Red Zone Scoring Defense at home, by far the best in the league. They have only allowed 25% in Opponent Red Zone Scoring TD Percentage. N.O has terrible Red Zone Defense on the road, in Opponent Red Zone Scoring TD Percentage they have given up 73.68%.
Both QBs are low when it comes to interceptions thrown per pass attempt. SF is the second lowest at home with 1.4% and N.O isn't far ahead on the road at 2.23%, not a huge difference.
Overall the big differences you see in the two sides if you are comparing their home/away stats are SF's dominant rushing defense. SF's incredible ability to not give up TD's when teams are in the redzone compared to N.O's 2nd worst Red Zone Defense in the league on the road. I agree N.O offense is better on the road then SF is at home however i think this is only very slight and these other points will more than make up for it. They have also had a week off to prepare.
$320 to win $290 SF +3.5
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
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NFL DIVISIONAL WEEK
Good start to the playoffs last week hitting the NO Spread and the Over. Have to go against them in SF this time.
Alot of people are saying SF's offense won't be able to match NO. If we look closer SF makes 7.3 yards per pass attempt at home compare to 5.8 away, a significant difference showing a big improvement at home. N.O away makes 7.6 yards per attempt, only slightly ahead.
On rushing offense we see these teams matching up evenly, on the road N.O makes only 3.9 yards per attempt, this is compared to the 5.7 they make on their own home ground. SF makes 3.9yards per attempt at home.
Rush defense SF obviously has the huge advantage limiting teams to only 3.2 yards where as N.O conceds 5.1 away.
Pass defense N.O is slightly ahead with 6.2 yards per attempt conceded away from home compared to SF's 6.5.
N.O has a great Red Zone Scoring TD % at home at 69.39% however on the road this drops to 43.75%, a huge difference. This is still however ahead of SF who sits at 38.24% at home.
SF has an amazing Red Zone Scoring Defense at home, by far the best in the league. They have only allowed 25% in Opponent Red Zone Scoring TD Percentage. N.O has terrible Red Zone Defense on the road, in Opponent Red Zone Scoring TD Percentage they have given up 73.68%.
Both QBs are low when it comes to interceptions thrown per pass attempt. SF is the second lowest at home with 1.4% and N.O isn't far ahead on the road at 2.23%, not a huge difference.
Overall the big differences you see in the two sides if you are comparing their home/away stats are SF's dominant rushing defense. SF's incredible ability to not give up TD's when teams are in the redzone compared to N.O's 2nd worst Red Zone Defense in the league on the road. I agree N.O offense is better on the road then SF is at home however i think this is only very slight and these other points will more than make up for it. They have also had a week off to prepare.
Quit talking yourselves into betting against the hottest offense and quarterback in football. I know football season is almost over but it won't kill you to take this one off.
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Quit talking yourselves into betting against the hottest offense and quarterback in football. I know football season is almost over but it won't kill you to take this one off.
lots on SF, lots know about the saints stinking it up on the road, I gotta believe Brees, being the great leader that he is doesn't let this happen this time.
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lots on SF, lots know about the saints stinking it up on the road, I gotta believe Brees, being the great leader that he is doesn't let this happen this time.
Quit talking yourselves into betting against the hottest offense and quarterback in football. I know football season is almost over but it won't kill you to take this one off.
I had the saints and the over last week. Funny thing is because of all the media talk about offense, not many think defense is important
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Quote Originally Posted by LayThaPoints:
Quit talking yourselves into betting against the hottest offense and quarterback in football. I know football season is almost over but it won't kill you to take this one off.
I had the saints and the over last week. Funny thing is because of all the media talk about offense, not many think defense is important
this will be the best defense the saints have faced all year this defense knows how to go on the road and shut down a high powered offense ask detroit and philly. Their at home and the saints run defense is the weakness i wanna take the niners but i think brees might pull out the win in a close on i like the
under 47.5
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this will be the best defense the saints have faced all year this defense knows how to go on the road and shut down a high powered offense ask detroit and philly. Their at home and the saints run defense is the weakness i wanna take the niners but i think brees might pull out the win in a close on i like the
Going against Drew? I won't I will go with him and his offense, rather than the Niners and their defense. But I have to say that this game is the hardest to predict of all 4 - I will bet on Drew only out of respect and because the Saints are red hot and made me loads of bucks this year. Not really sure about them winning, but I will bet them, eventually.Maybe ML only
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Going against Drew? I won't I will go with him and his offense, rather than the Niners and their defense. But I have to say that this game is the hardest to predict of all 4 - I will bet on Drew only out of respect and because the Saints are red hot and made me loads of bucks this year. Not really sure about them winning, but I will bet them, eventually.Maybe ML only
Lots of love for the 9ers on covers these days. To me this is the easiest game to cap.........NO Saints cruise to a relatively easy victory. SF not ready for prime time quite yet, and the bye week will hurt not help them
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Lots of love for the 9ers on covers these days. To me this is the easiest game to cap.........NO Saints cruise to a relatively easy victory. SF not ready for prime time quite yet, and the bye week will hurt not help them
that should be a red flag right there !!!! SF played in weak NFC West.
True their Red Zone Scoring offense at home is low at 38.24% but if you compare it to N.O they only have 43.75% on the road. These pointless though IMO if you don't compare them to Red Zone TD Defense (25% for SF at home, 73.68% for N.O on the road)
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Quote Originally Posted by ooquockyoo:
redzone scoring 38.24% at home ???
that should be a red flag right there !!!! SF played in weak NFC West.
True their Red Zone Scoring offense at home is low at 38.24% but if you compare it to N.O they only have 43.75% on the road. These pointless though IMO if you don't compare them to Red Zone TD Defense (25% for SF at home, 73.68% for N.O on the road)
GB passing Offfense just too good at home even better than N.O, 9.3 yards per pass attempt. 74.29% Red Zone TD Scoring %. I think this could be a similar score to the N.O/Det Game. Both teams pass often instead of rush. NYG also good on passing offense, GB just a level higher.
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Adding
$170 to win $159 GB -8 (Normal Play)
$220 to win $206 GB/NYG OVER 52.5
GB passing Offfense just too good at home even better than N.O, 9.3 yards per pass attempt. 74.29% Red Zone TD Scoring %. I think this could be a similar score to the N.O/Det Game. Both teams pass often instead of rush. NYG also good on passing offense, GB just a level higher.
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