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***NFL WEEK 11 PLAYS WITH TRENDS***

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Posted: #1
Had a decent week 10 with the Texans & the Raiders ML helping me out alot. As for Sanchez, talk about one of the most over rated qb's ever, haha! Packers -13 pending for Monday night...........


Here are my leans as of now & they can obviously change:


Miami -2.5

Panthers +6.5

Skins +7.5

49ers -9.5

Chargers +4

Patriots -12


Will have trends coming up...................


 
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Posted: #2

Here's a very nice trend....Titans have won 13 of 14 games vs. NFC teams. They are a +6.5 vs Atl......

 
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Posted: #3
When I start seeing Chargers +pts....I don't ask against who, I just hit it.
 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by choiOi:

Here's a very nice trend....Titans have won 13 of 14 games vs. NFC teams. They are a +6.5 vs Atl......



I typed the Titans on my list but took it off, & may add it in after looking at the trends. Thanks for the information..............
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by choiOi:

When I start seeing Chargers +pts....I don't ask against who, I just hit it.


Not only that, but the whole world will be on the Bears after what the Raiders did to the Chargers on Thursday. I was all over the Raiders but now is when you take the Chargers................
 
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Posted: #6
Adding as a lean:

Titans +6.5


Titans are 10-0 ATS in November on the road vs .500 or better opponent off a division game.

Titans are 9-1 ATS in November as dogs vs opponents off a home game.

As mentioned above by Choi, the Titans have won 13 out of 14 games vs NFC teams.
 
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Posted: #7

WOw bro you got some quick picks there,

 

I am looking at Philly right now over the Giants, I know Philly sucks right now just loss to Arizona with a back up QB, 

but the oddsmakers I think gave us a tip, by putting the eagles at just +3 ..... That is what you call bait money for Giants

 

Hard Lean on Philly may be a big play ,  Giants have a tough time with VIck, and Philly should be hungry after all the shit talking going on about Philly right now

 

 

 
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Posted: #8
 
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Ravens are 12-2 ATS .500 or better at home off a non-division game in November.

Coach Harbaugh is 7-0 ATS off an NFC game vs opponents off a SU loss.
------------------------------------------------------------------------

Marvin Lewis is 7-1 ATS vs opponent off a SU NFC favorite loss.

Bengals are 12-1 ATS on the road off a home game vs opponent off a SU loss in November.

Bengals are 6-0 ATS as a dog of 7 or more points vs opponent off a SU favorite loss.


Both teams have strong trends above so its a tough game to get a feel for............I am leaning Bengals.


 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by Gavinnick:

WOw bro you got some quick picks there,

 

I am looking at Philly right now over the Giants, I know Philly sucks right now just loss to Arizona with a back up QB, 

but the oddsmakers I think gave us a tip, by putting the eagles at just +3 ..... That is what you call bait money for Giants

 

Hard Lean on Philly may be a big play ,  Giants have a tough time with VIck, and Philly should be hungry after all the shit talking going on about Philly right now

 

 



If Eagles dont win this game, they are definitely done, even tho if they win, I still think they need a miracle to win the division.
 
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Posted: #11

PTB whay the Redskins again   you have silently talked me out of betting against these guys once this yr. i think the 49ers game?  lol i scaled back my hammer play on the 49ers becasue you picked wash. '''you cost me "''''

 

this team has been the best fade besides Colts,  it seems like they are not even trying to win the game

 

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #12

  MIAMI!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

      hitting it large my freind  

 

 

 
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Posted: #13
(Lions -6.5 vs Panthers)

Lions are 1-11 ATS at home vs opponent off a double digit SU loss in November.

Lions are 1-10 ATS vs less than .500 opponent off a double digit SU loss in November.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

(Bears -4 vs Chargers)


Lovie Smith is 1-7 ATS off back to back SU wins vs opponent off a home SU loss.

Bears are 1-13 ATS off back to back wins vs opponent off back to back SU losses.

Bears are 0-7 ATS in 2nd of back to back home games.

Bears are 1-8 ATS off back to back SU & ATS wins & last game by double digits.

Chargers are 10-1 ATS as road dogs off a favorite role in November.

Chargers are 0-8 ATS in November vs .500 or better opponent off a double digit ATS win.

Chargers are 8-0 ATS off back to back SU losses vs opponent off back to back SU & ATS wins.




 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by Gavinnick:

PTB whay the Redskins again   you have silently talked me out of betting against these guys once this yr. i think the 49ers game?  lol i scaled back my hammer play on the 49ers becasue you picked wash. '''you cost me "''''

 

this team has been the best fade besides Colts,  it seems like they are not even trying to win the game

 

 

 

 



Grossman is rusty & should never have been taken out earlier in the year. Remember, these are only my leans & can change.
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by Gavinnick:

PTB whay the Redskins again   you have silently talked me out of betting against these guys once this yr. i think the 49ers game?  lol i scaled back my hammer play on the 49ers becasue you picked wash. '''you cost me "''''

 

this team has been the best fade besides Colts,  it seems like they are not even trying to win the game

 

 

 

 



Remember, these are only my leans, they could change................also, Grossman is a bit rusty & should never have been taken out earlier in the year.
 
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Posted: #16
Now the Giants/Eagles game is off the board....................
 
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Since the NFL realigned its divisions in 2002, the Titans own a 26-10 record against NFC opponents, giving them the league’s third best inter-conference mark during that span. With one exception, they have gone .500 or better against the NFC every season since 2002 (1-3 in 2005). Their success against the NFC includes a franchise-best 12-game winning streak from 2007 to 2010.


 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

Now the Giants/Eagles game is off the board....................

It was up at NYG -3 on my book, not its at a pk.

I'm confused.
 
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Posted: #19
(Dallas -7.5 vs Skins)


Dallas is 11-2 ATS as a favorite vs opponent off a double digit SU loss in November.

Dallas is 1-7 ATS on the road vs less than .500 opponent w/revenge in November.

Dallas is 10-2 ATS at home vs division opponent off an AFC game.

Dallas is 9-2 ATS as a division favorite vs less than .500 opponent off a double digit non-division ATS loss.

Dallas is 2-9 ATS as a division road favorite off double digit SU win vs division opponent off a SU loss.



Like Gavin mentioned, this Skins team is bad & they look like they have given up............I may just lay off this game or take Dallas ML in parlays & do some teasers.




 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by its_stan:


It was up at NYG -3 on my book, not its at a pk.

I'm confused.


I saw the same thing at 2 books, a Pk but now its off the board because I think Vick might not play but the line shouldnt have dropped.
 
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Posted: #21

The MF Fix is in peeps take Philly to the MF bank and put my rep. at stake on this game

 

I smelled this shit out already .....somebody F^*&^* knows

 
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Posted: #22
(Giants -? vs Eagles)


Giants are 1-16 ATS off a SU & ATS loss vs opponent off back to back favorite roles in November.

Giants are 1-7 ATS at home vs opponent off a double digit ATS loss.

Andy Reid is 17-4 ATS off SU & ATS loss vs opponent off a non-division SU loss.

Eagles are 8-1 ATS on the road off non-division game w/revenge in November.

Eagles are 15-2 ATS on the road w/revenge vs opponent off a road game in November.

Eagles are 13-1 ATS vs division with revenge off double digit ATS loss.

Eagles are 18-4 ATS on the road off a SU loss vs NFC opponents.




^^^^^^^^^^^

Trends really favor the Eagles here, wow!









 
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Posted: #23
big supporter of dal, tenn, and mia this week.  gl  
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:



Not only that, but the whole world will be on the Bears after what the Raiders did to the Chargers on Thursday. I was all over the Raiders but now is when you take the Chargers................


I will agree with you on 1 condition.  The Chargers must play better on both sides of the line of scrimmage.  The Raiders won because they dominated them on both sides of the ball at the line.

Also, advantage Chargers getting the little bit of extra rest.
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

Ravens are 12-2 ATS .500 or better at home off a non-division game in November.

Coach Harbaugh is 7-0 ATS off an NFC game vs opponents off a SU loss.
------------------------------------------------------------------------

Marvin Lewis is 7-1 ATS vs opponent off a SU NFC favorite loss.

Bengals are 12-1 ATS on the road off a home game vs opponent off a SU loss in November.

Bengals are 6-0 ATS as a dog of 7 or more points vs opponent off a SU favorite loss.


Both teams have strong trends above so its a tough game to get a feel for............I am leaning Bengals.



More food for thought...

Bengals are 2-9 ATS after they play the Steelers.  Teams this year are 4-6 ATS the following week after playing the Steelers.
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