9/10 posts here are taking Houston minus the points. The percentages I've looked at show the majority on the Jets.
The line moved from -2.5 to -3 at my book and I'm curious as to what pushed it before I make a play tonight.
If anyone has any valuable insight it would be appreciated.
No, not necessarily. I think the idea is to gather enough information to try and make the assessment because what I do believe is that spreads are designed to deceive betters. I find the majority of my winning bets are anti-logical or even hard to pull the trigger on... as if the harder decision is what wins. The bottom line is I don't believe the "books" are out to win just the juice and if I can get and edge on who they actually 'want' to win the game I will certainly consider factoring it in.
That said, I now have enough information to assess the money is on Houston. I was going to play them but now I'll just watch.
No, not necessarily. I think the idea is to gather enough information to try and make the assessment because what I do believe is that spreads are designed to deceive betters. I find the majority of my winning bets are anti-logical or even hard to pull the trigger on... as if the harder decision is what wins. The bottom line is I don't believe the "books" are out to win just the juice and if I can get and edge on who they actually 'want' to win the game I will certainly consider factoring it in.
That said, I now have enough information to assess the money is on Houston. I was going to play them but now I'll just watch.
No, not necessarily. I think the idea is to gather enough information to try and make the assessment because what I do believe is that spreads are designed to deceive betters. I find the majority of my winning bets are anti-logical or even hard to pull the trigger on... as if the harder decision is what wins. The bottom line is I don't believe the "books" are out to win just the juice and if I can get and edge on who they actually 'want' to win the game I will certainly consider factoring it in.
That said, I now have enough information to assess the money is on Houston. I was going to play them but now I'll just watch.
After hearing everyone talking about 'balanced books', I finally hear someone that makes real sense to me.
Only issue is that it's still hard to figure out which way they are steering us.
After hearing everyone talking about 'balanced books', I finally hear someone that makes real sense to me.
Only issue is that it's still hard to figure out which way they are steering us.
Yeah... well... thats the trick... but its also where the money is so figuring out that trick is worth your time. This is a way bigger industry than juice, anyone wanting to argue that is wasting their time.
I use a system based on reverse line movement. Thats really what I was getting at here... trying to identify if I have a play. Public is on Houston... line is moving with Houston... no system play.
Good luck with whatever you guys choose tonight. I will see you in the regular season.
Do you think many or most are on Houston? I would say I think like the public and my senses tell me Jets are the play so I would go opposite of that.
Everyone knows that the Jets have a strong defense that can win games for them and Leinart is trash.
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