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#1
Just brushed through the scores of the 40 Wildcard games played in the past 10 years. Here's what I found
The home team won 25 of the 40 games (home team is 25-15)
The winning team won by more than 10 points in 25 of the 40 games.
Of the 25 home wins:
15 were by 10 points or more.
10 were by less than 10 points.
Of the 15 away wins
10 were by 10 points or more.
5 were by less than 10 points.
-All 4 home teams won in only 2 of the past 10 years (2000,2006).
-3 of the 4 away teams won in only 2 of the past 10 years (2004,2005).
-No away sweeps (all 4 gms) in the period from 2000-2009.
Two projections we can make for this weekend:
1 - We will probably see at least one home win of more than 10 points.
2 - There's an even to better-than-even chance that none of the games will give us an away winner of less than 10 points. It's almost guaranteed that we will not see 2 games with an away winner of less than 10 points.
What does this tell us? Most importantly, we'd better get our sides (winners) right before we worry about putting teams into teasers. Chances are if we get the side wrong, our teasers are going to lose, due to all the high-point-differential games that have taken place during Wildcard weekend over the past 10 years.
The home team won 25 of the 40 games (home team is 25-15)
The winning team won by more than 10 points in 25 of the 40 games.
Of the 25 home wins:
15 were by 10 points or more.
10 were by less than 10 points.
Of the 15 away wins
10 were by 10 points or more.
5 were by less than 10 points.
-All 4 home teams won in only 2 of the past 10 years (2000,2006).
-3 of the 4 away teams won in only 2 of the past 10 years (2004,2005).
-No away sweeps (all 4 gms) in the period from 2000-2009.
Two projections we can make for this weekend:
1 - We will probably see at least one home win of more than 10 points.
2 - There's an even to better-than-even chance that none of the games will give us an away winner of less than 10 points. It's almost guaranteed that we will not see 2 games with an away winner of less than 10 points.
What does this tell us? Most importantly, we'd better get our sides (winners) right before we worry about putting teams into teasers. Chances are if we get the side wrong, our teasers are going to lose, due to all the high-point-differential games that have taken place during Wildcard weekend over the past 10 years.
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