Alright guys. Sorry about the snafu above. I am in a pick ‘em league where you pick games against the spread and weigh your confidence. The lines that we get are the beginning of the week lines or the commish’s discretion so some of them look way too good to be true. That said here are my picks and thoughts:
Games I Really Like:
GB -5.5 vs. Chicago - This is easy to me. Chicago will be resting their starters the second half if not before that and GB needs this game. Every case where Lovie has a playoff spot locked up the Bears have been smoked. I don’t see any urgency especially with the prospect of having a bye next week.
Dallas + 11.5 over Philly - Cowboys are going to be starting Stephen McGee and the Eagles Kevin Kolb. Kolb is much better but what do the Eagles really have to play for? The Cowboys have traditionally been awful the last game of the season but they are usually favored. This just reeks of too many points. I fully expect the Eagles to bounce back and be okay but I believe the Cowboys are going to try and run the ball a lot which should slow the game down. I just don't have a lot of confidence that Andy Reid will play hard the entire game so a backdoor cover is possible.
Buffalo + 3.5 over NYJ - I don't see the Jets playing hard the entire game. They have had some injuries this season and I see no reason why they will need a win. While losing 3 of 4 isn't great to end the year they will likely play hard the first half and then it is the backups. Buffalo has played well lately and was embarrassed last week. The last time they were embarrassed since they “turned the corner” they lost to MN they rebounded to beat Cleveland. They want to end the season on a good note and I see a good chance for a backdoor cover.
Oakland +4.5 over KC – I can see a situation where Todd Haley pulls starters after halftime. Oakland will be fighting hard to get to 8-8 which will be a huge accomplishment for the franchise. I don’t see a sense of urgency from KC and this is enough points where I think Oakland could lose close.
Games I am not touching -
NE - 3.5 over Miami - I don't see NE as playing hard the whole game and Miami plays well on the road but figuring out what Brady will do is tough to figure out. There are much better games than this.
Sorry again for the snafu, I type in word and paste here.
Alright guys. Sorry about the snafu above. I am in a pick ‘em league where you pick games against the spread and weigh your confidence. The lines that we get are the beginning of the week lines or the commish’s discretion so some of them look way too good to be true. That said here are my picks and thoughts:
Games I Really Like:
GB -5.5 vs. Chicago - This is easy to me. Chicago will be resting their starters the second half if not before that and GB needs this game. Every case where Lovie has a playoff spot locked up the Bears have been smoked. I don’t see any urgency especially with the prospect of having a bye next week.
Dallas + 11.5 over Philly - Cowboys are going to be starting Stephen McGee and the Eagles Kevin Kolb. Kolb is much better but what do the Eagles really have to play for? The Cowboys have traditionally been awful the last game of the season but they are usually favored. This just reeks of too many points. I fully expect the Eagles to bounce back and be okay but I believe the Cowboys are going to try and run the ball a lot which should slow the game down. I just don't have a lot of confidence that Andy Reid will play hard the entire game so a backdoor cover is possible.
Buffalo + 3.5 over NYJ - I don't see the Jets playing hard the entire game. They have had some injuries this season and I see no reason why they will need a win. While losing 3 of 4 isn't great to end the year they will likely play hard the first half and then it is the backups. Buffalo has played well lately and was embarrassed last week. The last time they were embarrassed since they “turned the corner” they lost to MN they rebounded to beat Cleveland. They want to end the season on a good note and I see a good chance for a backdoor cover.
Oakland +4.5 over KC – I can see a situation where Todd Haley pulls starters after halftime. Oakland will be fighting hard to get to 8-8 which will be a huge accomplishment for the franchise. I don’t see a sense of urgency from KC and this is enough points where I think Oakland could lose close.
Games I am not touching -
NE - 3.5 over Miami - I don't see NE as playing hard the whole game and Miami plays well on the road but figuring out what Brady will do is tough to figure out. There are much better games than this.
Sorry again for the snafu, I type in word and paste here.
GB -5.5 vs. Chicago - This is easy to me. Chicago will be resting their starters the second half if not before that and GB needs this game. Every case where Lovie has a playoff spot locked up the Bears have been smoked. I don’t see any urgency especially with the prospect of having a bye next week.
Dallas + 11.5 over Philly - Cowboys are going to be starting Stephen McGee and the Eagles Kevin Kolb. Kolb is much better but what do the Eagles really have to play for? The Cowboys have traditionally been awful the last game of the season but they are usually favored. This just reeks of too many points. I fully expect the Eagles to bounce back and be okay but I believe the Cowboys are going to try and run the ball a lot which should slow the game down. I just don't have a lot of confidence that Andy Reid will play hard the entire game so a backdoor cover is possible.
I wish I could get these lines!!!
GB -5.5 vs. Chicago - This is easy to me. Chicago will be resting their starters the second half if not before that and GB needs this game. Every case where Lovie has a playoff spot locked up the Bears have been smoked. I don’t see any urgency especially with the prospect of having a bye next week.
Dallas + 11.5 over Philly - Cowboys are going to be starting Stephen McGee and the Eagles Kevin Kolb. Kolb is much better but what do the Eagles really have to play for? The Cowboys have traditionally been awful the last game of the season but they are usually favored. This just reeks of too many points. I fully expect the Eagles to bounce back and be okay but I believe the Cowboys are going to try and run the ball a lot which should slow the game down. I just don't have a lot of confidence that Andy Reid will play hard the entire game so a backdoor cover is possible.
I wish I could get these lines!!!

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