Well the Monday nighter couldn't have been any easier...I wish they were all that easy!
Week 10: 5-1
YTD Record: 25-16-2 (60%)
Week 11
Locked In
Green Bay -3
Leans:
Miami, Baltimore, Cleveland, Tennessee, Atlanta
At first glance, I'm not loving the lines this week. May look at some O/U's.
Let me know what plays you like this week and why?
Houston@Jets- Houston+7
Chicago@Miami- Chicago+3
Buffalo@Cincinnati- Cincinnati-5
Cleveland@Jacksonville- Jacksonville-1
Oakland@Pittsburgh- Depending on line changes I'll take Pittsburgh at anything -7 or below.
Washington@Tennessee- Washington+7 All Day.
Atlanta@St.Louis- Atlanta-3 with the OVER LARGE!!!
TampaBay@SanFrancisco- Tampa Bay+3 with the OVER
Seattle@NewOrleans- Seattle+12..Just too many points too give to Seattle..Have gut feeling they may start clicking now that Hasslebeck has returned.
Indianapolis@NewEngland- Indy+3.5 ..For no other reason but Peyton is in my opinion the most elite QB in the league and New England can afford a letdown in this spot.
I am with you on GB & also taking the Texans +pts. I like the Texans getting all those points and they are a much better team on the road base on Win/Loss record.
I am looking at the ATL/RAMS game...and I am starting to lean the Rams at home. Call it a gut/situational play for me. I think the Rams are tough to beat at home and they are going to be fired up vs. the hot Falcons who will be landing this weekend.
Good luck.
ONE spread stinks to high heaven and jumped off the page at me SUNDAY nighter Egles won 59 -28 as a 3 point fav Giants lost
33 - to 20 as a 12.5 chalk at home now Eagles are only a 3 point favorite at HOME ???
and gaints lost two top wr's possibly for season NEW Guy Baeden and #1 WR Smith OMFG here we go folks all those records set by Eagles and VICKS game Jersey was shipped to hall of fame for NFL HISTORY scoring as a Road team YDS TD's running everything virtually a ONE man wrecking machine
and Wash now takes over bottom spot in defense ranked 32 in all catergories
ummmmmmmmmmmmmmmm i see a perform,ance correction profile coming in VICK and eagles team huge emotional revenge WIN for what MC Naab said after beating them in Philly about Eagles made a mistake when they traded me away
they replayed that clip all week long and really really were on fire to make a fool of MC naab
Gianst win it s/u with thier vaunted 3 headed monster defense
eagles - 3 oooooooooo boyyyyyyyyy does this line stink
I am with you on GB & also taking the Texans +pts. I like the Texans getting all those points and they are a much better team on the road base on Win/Loss record.
I am looking at the ATL/RAMS game...and I am starting to lean the Rams at home. Call it a gut/situational play for me. I think the Rams are tough to beat at home and they are going to be fired up vs. the hot Falcons who will be landing this weekend.
Good luck.
I'm leaning ATL here, but I was also looking at the UNDER in this game. STL plays much better defense at home but ATL has been scoring a bunch recently.
Any thoughts?
I'm leaning ATL here, but I was also looking at the UNDER in this game. STL plays much better defense at home but ATL has been scoring a bunch recently.
Any thoughts?
As covers.com stated, the Overs have cashed 11-3 L14 so I think the Over trends looking good. The Falcons offense have been pretty consistance at putting up 25ppg and their defense are not as strong on the road. This game has a making of a shootout so I would lean Over but probably no play for me.
Miami -1.5
Last Sunday night when I heard about Henne and Pennington being out for this Thursdays game and with the Bears beating the Vikes, I knew that I would be on Miami come Thursday.
Why? Well, first off I don't think the Bears are a good team. They don't protect the QB well, they don't run the ball well, Cutler puts his defense on short fields and likes to turn the ball over in the redzone. Also, the Bears are the 2nd worst team in the league right now converting on 3rd down at only 29%. This biggest thing for me is that they rank so low in so many statistical categories, yet they have played one of the easiest schedules.
On the other side, Miami has one less win than Chicago (not really because the Bears really lost to Detroit in week 1) yet they've played a much tougher schedule. The only thing that scares me in this game is Devin Hester on special teams. However, Miami is 3rd in the league in converting on 3rd down this year and I'm hoping that they will move the ball enough that if they need to punt, they can kick it into the endzone or cause a fair catch. As far as Thigpen goes, I don't think he's all that bad. It's not like Henne was lighting it up before he got hurt. Thigpen has experience starting in this league. People want to point to his 1-10 record with the Chiefs, but he did all he could on a bad team. In those 11 Starts he threw 17 TD vs 11 INT's.
I think they simplify the playbook tonight, run some bubble screens to get Marshall (who only has 1 TD this year) involved and the Defense shows up and causes a turnover or 2 to get the win at home.
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