28-0 SU/ATS system for MNF

Question

Road favorites of 3.5 or less in weeks 3-16 are 0-28 SU/ATS against revenge and after a home win, if they face a team that won as road dog the week before and is not of bye week. Green Bay definatelly look like the team to beat after the first two weeks but their two wins came against winless Buffalo and Vick-less Eagles. Once Vick got into that game in week 1, the Eagles made a big run against GB. Buffalo&#x27;s starter against GB, T.Edwards, was benched after week 2 and Buffalo responded with a much better effort in week 3 against New England. The Bears defense allowed 20 yards rushing against Detroit and 36 yards rushing against Dallas. They knocked Stafford out in week 1 and then frustrated his backup Hill, and then in week 2 Romo had his worst QB rating this season against this Chicago defense. The play is Chicago &#x2B;3

DFence · Answer

Road favorites of 3.5 or less in weeks 3-16 are 0-28 SU/ATS against revenge and after a home win, if they face a team that won as road dog the week before and is not of bye week. Green Bay definatelly look like the team to beat after the first two weeks but their two wins came against winless Buffalo and Vick-less Eagles. Once Vick got into that game in week 1, the Eagles made a big run against GB. Buffalo&#x27;s starter against GB, T.Edwards, was benched after week 2 and Buffalo responded with a much better effort in week 3 against New England. The Bears defense allowed 20 yards rushing against Detroit and 36 yards rushing against Dallas. They knocked Stafford out in week 1 and then frustrated his backup Hill, and then in week 2 Romo had his worst QB rating this season against this Chicago defense. The play is Chicago &#x2B;3

XJET1 · Answer

Great stuff as always! GL bud!

Day-trader1 · Answer

love these trends...

Raidernator76 · Answer

it didn&#x27;t work for Carolina or TB today DFence. But did help with my almost All-In play with Dallas

DFence · Answer

&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;worked out for 3 and didn work out for two plays...&#xD;&#xA;the important thing is i&#x27;m on a nice streak. winning saturday, sunday, friday, saturday and sunday again. here&#x27;s to another winning day monday

Gator11 · Answer

Thanks DFence,much appreciated!

DFence · Answer

I have been looking at the statfox info a little bit and came up with this:

Both teams should be able to pass the ball effectively. Both passing defenses are good, but both passing offenses have better stats than the opponent passing defenses. Both rushing offenses struggle, and both rushing defenses appear to be very strong. The stats are showing us that Chicago has a small edge in both offense and defense thanks to their passing offense and rushing defense.

Chicago is 15-3 ATS in last 18 home games revenging at least two straight loss to the opponent. They won and covered all 6 games in this situation in last 5 years.

Maydaymalone · Answer

Great stuff, leaning Bears here

2440 · Answer

thanks very much

TampaTony · Answer

CHI is the play

RocNRose · Answer

Not so fast on the Pack! These games are extremley pyhsical between these two squads. Cutler, has been spreading the ball around very well and using Forte not just as a RB, but much more of a swing man like a tomlinson. This gives the Bears more options to open up the passing game especially now that they can rely on Chester Taylor to carry some of the RB load. Hester, Knox, Bennett, Aromashudu and Olsen should all see plenty of balls there way tonight. The only concern is this Bears Offensive Line again? If they can give Cutler just a small amount of time this will be a very close Ball game tonight. Seems the public is all over the Pack also! Going to be in the 40's tonight with chance of rain tonight. Yes, Green Bay appears to be of the Elite squads but these games are usually Brutal matchups! BOL tonight!

RNR

depeche2 · Answer

I like the Bears but I feel like you could retrofit any crazy "trend" like this to say what you want.

carls243 · Answer

Likin the bears.  Thanks for the info DFence. I like the under here too.&#xD;&#xA;Bears &#x2B;3.5/Under 45.5

Gator11 · Answer

Any opinion on the over/under DFence?

JFISH · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by DFence] &#xD;&#xA;I have been looking at the statfox info a little bit and came up with this:&#xD;&#xA;Both teams should be able to pass the ball effectively. Both passing defenses are good, but both passing offenses have better stats than the opponent passing defenses. Both rushing offenses struggle, and both rushing defenses appear to be very strong. The stats are showing us that Chicago has a small edge in both offense and defense thanks to their passing offense and rushing defense.&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;Chicago is 15-3 ATS in last 18 home games revenging at least two straight loss to the opponent. They won and covered all 6 games in this situation in last 5 years.&#xD;&#xA;[/Quote]&#xD;&#xA;Sorry to hate on your stats Dfence, but there is no way Chicago&#x27;s offense is near being as good as Green Bays. Not a chance.

gunslingers_ns · Answer

I agree they may have the edge on defense with a better secondary, run D is equal but there is no way Culter is as accurate a passer as Rodger and for that reason they dont have near the offense GB has.

DFence · Answer

11-4-1 (73.33% ytd) system bets in football&#xD;&#xA;Go Bears !&#xD;&#xA; &#xD;&#xA;Bet resposibly. Nobody can win every bet. Good luck !

FR3SH-like-UgHH · Answer

how much u goin in on this dfence?

Waytoomuch · Answer

Love your post.   Makes sense to me.   I hope I am not "drinking the Kool-aid".&#xD;&#xA;B O L

28-0 SU/ATS system for MNF

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