Week 11 Forecast 89-54-1 ATS YTD for NFL

Last week wasn't the best of weeks for Forecastin Floyd, but after looking over the card for Week 11, I am confident the storm has past and bright and blue skies with a sunny forecast is in our future for this weeks games.

It's been a solid NFL season overall going 89-54-1 ATS. And I look to better that record this week as NFL teams from top to bottom are looking to cover spreads, cause headaches, and bring money into all of our pockets this weekend.  I have been analyzing this card since late Sunday night when they were first released and have been studying my plays ever since. 

Forecastin Floyd's Week 11 Plays

Indianapolis -1
Dallas -10.5
Cleveland +4
Green Bay -6.5
Jacksonville -9
Pittsburgh -10
Seattle +11
Atlanta +6.5
New Orleans -11.5
Arizona -9
New England -10.5
Oakland +9.5
Philadelphia -3
Houston -4.5

Some of you may be asking, Why so many plays?  Well, I have been trying something a little different this season.  I have been wagering the same amount of units per game across the board this year with the exception of the opening game and have been running solid ever since.  I don't foresee that changing anytime soon.

I had a little free time tonight, so I wanted to get my initial plays on the table.  I plan on adding a three team parlay before Sunday nights games, which will include my three strongest plays of the week.

It certainly looks like there has been some good banter for the match ups this week on the forums.  I will post my three strongest plays (with more than likely write ups) in a parlay sometime before Sunday and include the San Diego/Denver play as well.  The line on that game is still pending.  Again, all of these plays have been extensively researched and I feel strong about each and every one of them.  I am still going to invest more time and $ in a 3 team parlay to hopefully bring in a nice Week 11.

Best of luck to every one on their plays.  It should be another exciting week of NFL football!

Forecastin Floyd

Been following you for awhile Floyd.....you've rarely let us down. Keep up the great work and best of luck in the Covers contests. I see you're hitting the bookie right in the mouth. I highlighted the games that are on my card as well! Best of luck

Three strongest plays of the week

Indianapolis Colts -1    31-17    Baltimore Ravens

Pittsburgh Steelers -10    28-13    Kansas City Chiefs

Arizona Cardinals -9    38-20    St. Louis Rams


These plays are my three strongest plays for Week 11, and will be parlayed separately from the card.  I do not play totals, however, the above is how I see each of these individual match ups playing out.

Glad to see you back TCK, and certainly looking forward to more of your insight. Nice Jacksonville writeup, btw .  Overall, it's been a great year with plenty of action still left on the table these next 7 weeks in NFL.  I will gradually make my way over to the College basketball forums before too long, still doing my homework.  The contests have been more recreational, but I like to having my plays more documented this season. 

Nice to see we are on the same side on the majority.  Should be a fun weekend

FF

BOL Floyd

Thanks, Jagerbomb   BOL to you as well this week.  I think it's going to be a profitable day!

With ya Floyd...loving Indy, Pitt!!!!!  BOL this week !

Glad to see you are on board with few, Billy BOL

I really like this Indy play this week.  I think it should be really hard for anyone to invest too much into a potential Baltimore play.  This is a Baltimore team that hasn't scored an offensive TD in the first half since Week 4 against New England.  And usually Indianapolis does that and more out of the gate.  Manning dismantles Baltimore's overrated defense again and their offense won't be able to figure out a way to keep up in this one.  Want to see how Baltimore's own thinks about this outcome?  Every single one of the Baltimore Sun sports writers picked Indy over their Ravens.  I will take their word for it. I am sure they have watched them more than some of the individuals on their bandwagon this week. More fantasy than reality is being looked into with this match up.

The Arizona play is another one I am confident in. The Rams only have 15 sacks all season and Warner should have plenty of time to have his way with what could be his last game in his old home. A home he is very familiar winning at.  Warner wants to win this game, and win big. Other than the Panthers game after the bye, the Cardinals are putting up roughly 30pts a game.  Expect this trend to continue this week. The Cardinals are playing much better on the road.  Don't let the Rams game last week against the Saints fool you.  The Saints were depleted in their secondary and down to 2nd-3rd stringers by the end of the game. Let's not forget, they also had two weeks to prepare for the Saints.  Last years scores between these two teams were AZ 34 STL 13, AZ 34 STL 10.  I think it falls more in the 16-20pt range this time around.  Beanie Wells is finally being implemented in the offense and running the ball well and Anquan Boldin is finally near full strength.  The playmakers come through in this one, and don't be surprised to see Matt Leinart possibly throw a touchdown pass at the end if that tells you anything ;)

The Steelers will run first and pass second as the Chiefs rush D is near the bottom. Ben is usually pretty consistent and effective in his passing game when the running game is effective and I expect the Steelers to have many opportunities to exploit a weak Kansas City defense this Sunday.  The Steelers defense will give the offense plenty of possessions to get back on track here and pull away with a nice whopping in KC.  This one won't be close.  With Bowe out, KC just doesn't have enough in the tank to stay close to a hungry Steelers team after last weeks loss to the Bengals.

GREAT ! 

SOME NICE DOOGY'S..WASH..ALT..OAK..

anyone confident that NE will cover that spread?

I still have no line on my end for the San Diego/Denver game.  So, no play there this weekend.  The rest of the card is locked and loaded.

Best of luck to everyone tomorrow.  Off to get a little sleep before all the action tomorrow!

FF

BOL Floyd.

Thanks, occy.  Looks like you are off to a nice start in CBB I will make it over there before too long.

Good info.  I'm with you on most picks although I'm concentrating my forces on a few key teams, 3 of them being the ones you mentioned.  I've got a 4 teamer I was able to put together since Station Casinos have had a line on SD/Denver all week.

Road Warriors 4-teamer
Steelers -10
Colts -1
Cards -8.5
Chargers -3            

BOL 

BOL

Looking like clear skies at the cash window!!!

Best of luck double F...

 

 

Good luck with your card today -

Pretty good job today, Forcasting Floyd...

7-7 overall for week 11 and 96-60-1ATS is not up to Forecastin Floyd's standards.  I will bounce back next week and produce better results.  Warner out with injury early, and Pittsburgh laying a goose egg with turnovers in the red zone surprised me this week. But, no excuses. Sometimes it works out, sometimes it doesn't. Next week, it will all work out

Updated ATS record,

Week 1  11-4
Week 2  11-5
Week 3  11-5
Week 4   9-5
Week 5   8-6
Week 6   9-5
Week 7   8-5
Week 8   6-7
Week 9   8-5
Week 10 8-7

Week 11 7-7 Pending Houston -4.5

Congratulations to everyone that had a great weekend !  FF will be back again next week for week 12.

thank you sir

i actually came out 9-5 with ur plays because i bought points on Gmen down to -5.5 and zona -7.5

A few close one's this week.  Nice work buying points on Gmen and Zona!  Week 12 can't get here soon enough.