Posted:
#1
Call me nuts, call me crazy, call me whatever the hell you want, I can just feel a monumental upset happening this Sunday in Motown. The best way I can describe it... this game is too perfect.
Minnesota drew in a lot of gamblers in Week 1 thanks to the signing of Brett Favre. The Vikings had major QB issues last year which prevented them from making any sort of serious run in the post season. With addition of #4 late into training camp, the problem was solved and the Minnesota was ready to be serious a contender. They went out and proved so as they steamrolled Cleveland on opening day. The Vikings were easily able to cover the generous -4 spread thus making Minnesota backers everywhere happy as a clam. This was the highest bet on game in Week 1.
Over in New Orleans, the Lions continued on with the crappiness that they were last year by turning in yet another awful performance. Drew Brees had himself a record-tying 6TD performance as he shredded the Detroit defense all day long. Despite the Lions inability to contain the Saints offense, they did have a fairly productive day on offense as they managed to rack up 27 points. The spread for the game hit -14.5 by game time, and New Orelans was easily able to cover... thus proving to bettors that betting against the Lions will be easy money all season long. Again.
Now to the pleasure of many, the big bad Vikings head into Detroit to face the Lions. Not only does Minnesota have the option of using the air attack, they also have a vicious ground game. Minnesota also has much better defensive team then the Saints so it shouldn't be as easy for Mr. Stafford this weekend. Considering Detroit was/is the worst defensive team in the league, this game looks like it's going to be a cakewalk for the Vikings.
Like I said, it's just too perfect.
Let's take a look back at last year. Minnesota played Detroit twice. In both games, the Vikings were favorites by at least 10 points or more. They failed to cover either spread.
Detroit @ Minnesota - Week 6 - 2008
Spread: Minnesota -13.5
Final Score: Minnesota wins 12-10
Minnesota @ Detroit - Week 14 - 2008
Spread: Minnesota -10.5
Final Score: Minnesota wins 20-16
Those are some pretty damn tight games for such high spreads. No?!
Another interesting note, Detroit was underdog of 10 points or more eight times last year. They covered 7 times, losing these games by an average of 6.57 points. The only time Minnesota was a favorite of 10 points or more last season was against Detroit, and as you read, they failed to cover both games.
I just think people are way too high on the Vikings right now and are willing to take them at any spread. It only helps that they are facing arguably the crappiest team in the league this week. You have a fairly weak spread considering the circumstances and people are going to pounce on it.
There is just so much negativity surrounding the Lions these days that bettors will easily jump on what they think is are solid oppertunities to bet against them. The books aren't stupid, they know this. They are going take advantage of all these losers who follow ESPN etc. by juicing the lines up because they know that no matter what, no casual NFL gambler in their right mind would be confident in betting on Detroit these days.
Just head over to Yahoo and see what I mean... Lions heading for history? Our experts examine whether the Lions will have the longest losing streak in NFL history.
Larry Biel: "Detroit has lost 18 straight, doesn't get any easier this weekend as they play the Vikings... might as well put the 19 up right now".
Don't be another public chump.
Detroit spread is a solid play. But even more so, I think the Lions will come out and win this Sunday.
GL all!
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Last year Minnie won both by small amounts. 12-10 & 20-16.
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