Posted: 10/13/2008 5:02:12 PM
Morning everyone - Well, Just a few hours before kick off and things have slighltly evened out. This game is a classic mind game of Vegas. I love it!! They open a certain line or a total, which at first glance looks intimidatingly quite low or high. Then the public gets carried away (or rather freaked out) and pounds the opposite of the freakish line. Hence we had over 90% last night jump on the Over, pushing the total up to 45 with some books. Then finally Late sharp money comes in for the Under from the Big Bad Boys catching it to the highest total, and balancing it back down to 42! That's where it's gonna settle now until game time I'm thinking ...
This my friends is brilliant book movement. I read many of you talking about this and that and the Giants being a high scoring team and the Browns needing to score alot and so forth.... Remember what I always crap on about? Wagering as a Sports Fan vs. Wagering as a sports Investor It is all about the gift and the ability to read the book and to try and outsmart the line maker. (often easier said than done though)
Now, This may or may not stay UNDER, but in my very humble opinion that is the right play in this particular game.
Now after all my loooooong winded speel watch this blow right in my face and fly well over the total and end up some 65pts
Nah I very highly doubt it. Best of luck to everyone with whatever you have. I'm out. Wishing everyone their best ...