All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

WHY IS EVERYBODY ON DENVER?

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 4609
Posts: 84
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 2041
Posted: #1
I'm a bit perplexed as to why everybody is on Denver, and would like some feedback from you Denver backers.  I have not decided who to take, but I am leaning with TB +3.
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 19509
Posted: #2
I showed a huge discrepancy when I worked my formulas.  I ahd Denver winning by 7 1/2 without taking any other factors into consideration; ie home field, trends and situations etc. Oh and I almost forgot.......12th man! 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 2041
Posted: #3
But I dont think Denver is better than TB.  TB has played and defeated better teams than Denver, not to mention how fierce TB defense is.  If KC can pick off Cutler, than I KNOW TB will.  It seems Denver struggles against teams that use the Cover 2 scheme.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2006
Posts: 7937
Posted: #4
Tony look at my reasoning  (other thread)
 
It's a good spot
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 19509
Posted: #5
Tampa Bay could also be looking ahead to next week when they play division rival Carolina.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 2041
Posted: #6
Tampa Bay does not look ahead.  They take one game at a time.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 116
Posted: #7
TT, so if the line is looking better than it should, doesn't that tell you all you need to know? ,,,,,<meaning if you think TB should be the one everyone should be following, than go the opposite>
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 2041
Posted: #8
Nah, the opposite is going TB off of Denver
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 19509
Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by TampaTony:

Tampa Bay does not look ahead.  They take one game at a time.

Thanks for that insight Tony, are you a personal friend of John Grudens?

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 116
Posted: #10
I'm on Denver, doesn't mean squat to people here, but to me it's a fit pick.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2006
Posts: 7937
Posted: #11
He's right there is no way the Bucs are looking ahead.
 
And I'm sure John Gruden is the reason why
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2003
Posts: 3722
Posted: #12
I like Tampa Bay but Denver has the best home field advantage in the League, TB +3.5 and up  I'm on it.  I don't see that number moving off 3 points though. 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2006
Posts: 793
Posted: #13
My numbers have Tampa favored. I posted them as my only selection on Sunday.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2007
Posts: 1022
Posted: #14
I really like Tampa Bay here.  Denver seems to me a public team.  On top of that Tampa has shown they can rise to the occasion and knock off good teams like Green Bay last week.  Though it was at home and this is on the road.  I have watched every Denver game, and I cant say that I was impressed by any of their wins, and in fact they should have lost 2 of those games.  San Diego and to the Saints.  Just some sketchy stuff going on there.  None the less Denver has a weak run defense, and just not enough weapons in my opinion to fool a touch Tampa Bay D.  I think that is enough reason to take Tampa even at Mile High.  
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 1854
Posted: #15
gotta go with denver here. large play this week with denver.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 132
Posted: #16
IM ON BUCS. BUT IM ALSO A FAN. I THINK THE BUCS DOMINATE THE LINE OF SCRIMMAGE HERE ON BOTH SIDES OF THE BALL. BRANDON MARSHALL CAN DEFINITELY GET OPEN ON RHONDE, BUT THOSE 5-7 STEP DROPS THAT DENVER LIKES TO EMPLOY, WILL BE HARD TO DO AGAINST A MORE SPEEDY PASS RUSH THAN THEY HAVE FACED ALL YEAR. ADAMS IS COMING INTO HIS OWN AS A PASS RUSH SPECIALIST, AND THE ROTATION ON THE DLINE HAS KEPT THE PLAYERS FRESH. THE DENVER RUN GAME WONT BE A BIG FACTOR HERE. THE LINE BACKING CREW IN TAMPA HAS BEEN PLAYING AT A HIGH LEVEL. SHEFLER MIGHT HAVE A BIG GAME. ITS BEEN PROVEN THAT PHILLIPS IS A LIABILITY IN COVERAGE. BRYANT AND THE REST OF THE RECIEVERS HAVE HAD THEIR TROUBLES GETTING OPEN, BUT BAILEY IS PLAYING ALOT SOFTER WITH LESS PRESS COVERAGE, AND BLY HAS BEEN A LIABILITY SINCE HE GOT TO MILE HIGH. THOSE FACTORS SHOULD PLAY INTO THE STRENGTHS OF THE TAMPA SHORT PASSING GAME. IF THE BRONCOS D RUSHES 3 LIKE THEY DID AGAINST THE SAINTS, THE BUCS WONT HESITATE TO GO RUN HEAVY. THE IMPROVED YOUNG OFFENSIVE LINE FOR THE BUCS SHOULD CREATE PLENTY OF LANES FOR GRAHAM AND DUNN.
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 19509
Posted: #17
Tampa Bay will not be able to run once they fall behind.  They will have to depend on the arm of Greasy (6 int, 4 td).  The Tampa D is not exactly great at stopping the pass (ranked 13th).
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2004
Posts: 52429
Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by TampaTony:

Tampa Bay does not look ahead.  They take one game at a time.

 

Yeah, right.  That's why they have an absolutely brutal non-divisional road ATS record under Jon Gruden when they have a divisional game the following week.  Denver -3 -120 for me (big rebound off the embarrassment in Kansas City).

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2007
Posts: 1034
Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

 

Yeah, right.  That's why they have an absolutely brutal non-divisional road ATS record under Jon Gruden when they have a divisional game the following week.  Denver -3 -120 for me (big rebound off the embarrassment in Kansas City).

wow, i thought this would be a tough call, but it now appears to be an easy one. 

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 304
Posted: #20
Tampatony.....oddsmakers are telling you something here. They are either telling you that they dont think very fondly of denver as a team or they think very highly of tampa.
 
lets look now more carefully.
denver was a 1 pt fav at home against the chargers. the fucking chargers! the team many think will go to superbowl. denver beat them. is there any question here which team is better between the bucs and chargers? I think not as we all know the chargers are the superior team between the 2.
 
denver was a 5 pt fav at home against no. which team is better between no and the bucs? they are about even right? Maybe no is slightly better, imo.
 
The bucs beat atlanta at home(atlanta playing a rookie qb), the bears away(last minute drive..basically they were lucky) and the packers at home(good win).
 
yes the broncos lost to the shit chiefs on the road..i throw that game away.
 
Bottom line......if the broncos were a 1 pt fav against a great team like the chargers and a 5 pt fav against a mediocre team like the saints, and the saints and bucs are relatively the same, than how the fuck do the odds makers make denver ONLY a 3.5vpt fav?
This line should be at least 5 to 5.5, like it was with the saints however id say it should be at least 6- 6.5 cause its at mile high.
 
This line is cheap. Not too too cheap but cheap which spells trap for the squares. Play......BUCS!!!!
Me not saying im betting them, just the Bucs is the play if there is any play on this game.
bol man whatever u decide jus make sure u slam the eagles
 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2006
Posts: 4719
Posted: #21
I liked TB last week, but noticed how weak and erratic Griese's arm is. Long road trip. Mile High air. Big home field advantage for Denver and Cutler and his WRs are hot! However Denver's D is bad so TB will try ball control. Denver -3 is the pick but I wouldn't take -3.5.

GL
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 19509
Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by baccaratonly:

Tampatony.....oddsmakers are telling you something here. They are either telling you that they dont think very fondly of denver as a team or they think very highly of tampa.
 
lets look now more carefully.
denver was a 1 pt fav at home against the chargers. the fucking chargers! the team many think will go to superbowl. denver beat them. is there any question here which team is better between the bucs and chargers? I think not as we all know the chargers are the superior team between the 2.
 
denver was a 5 pt fav at home against no. which team is better between no and the bucs? they are about even right? Maybe no is slightly better, imo.
 
The bucs beat atlanta at home(atlanta playing a rookie qb), the bears away(last minute drive..basically they were lucky) and the packers at home(good win).
 
yes the broncos lost to the shit chiefs on the road..i throw that game away.
 
Bottom line......if the broncos were a 1 pt fav against a great team like the chargers and a 5 pt fav against a mediocre team like the saints, and the saints and bucs are relatively the same, than how the fuck do the odds makers make denver ONLY a 3.5vpt fav?
This line should be at least 5 to 5.5, like it was with the saints however id say it should be at least 6- 6.5 cause its at mile high.
 
This line is cheap. Not too too cheap but cheap which spells trap for the squares. Play......BUCS!!!!
Me not saying im betting them, just the Bucs is the play if there is any play on this game.
bol man whatever u decide jus make sure u slam the eagles
 
Strange post...sound like you were making a case for Denver, then at the end you say the Bucs are the play.  Can I have a toke?
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 304
Posted: #23
Bigunit......exactly my point. the oddsmakers are begging u to take denver, they want u to take denver. they want u to believe denver at home can beat this scrubby team because they beat the chargers who are much better. in the end, lets see what happens but if i were to bet id take bucs and be in same side as oddsmakers on this
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2007
Posts: 7630
Posted: #24
Denver has been released by many touts as a Game of the Year.
 
We all know what happens when the touts line up on one side.
 
Look at Toledo last night.  That was the GOY for a lot of touts last night.
 
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 19509
Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by baccaratonly:

Bigunit......exactly my point. the oddsmakers are begging u to take denver, they want u to take denver. they want u to believe denver at home can beat this scrubby team because they beat the chargers who are much better. in the end, lets see what happens but if i were to bet id take bucs and be in same side as oddsmakers on this
  Maybe its me but ?????????????????
All Forums | NFL Betting Forum
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.