All Forums | Website Promotions

College Basketball Handcapping tool (updated)

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 962
Posts: 19
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 243
Posted: #1
The Excel workbook I've created to auto-populate and compare key team stats has now been updated to include user preference.

A key element in the "predictive" feature of the worksheet is Points Per Possession. The workbook keys on Season to Date PPP, and Match-up based Adjusted PPP.

I've now made the PPP weightings user definable. You're free to place a value of 1-99% weighting on whichever of the PPP's you deem more important.

For more info on the spreadsheet, please see the following Covers forum chat:

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=12&sub=101253013
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 243
Posted: #2
Tuesday projection:

Michigan St (72) Illinois (62)

Michigan St (-2)

Keys stats :

MSU True Shooting % Off/Def (.566/.474)
ILL True Shooting % Off/Def (.537/.504)


 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 243
Posted: #3
North Carolina @ Wake Forest

North Carolina (92) Wake Forest (67)

North Carolina (-16)

Key stats :

Wake Forest averages (22.6) FTA/gm and scores 24% of its Points from the Line.

North Carolina's Opponents average just (11.4) FTA/gm.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2002
Posts: 1562
Posted: #4
good stuff man thanks for posting this!


 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2006
Posts: 7963
Posted: #5
Or people can just pay for kenpom? 

LOL

What you're selling is illegal, unless where you're drawing your stats from gave you permission to redistribute for commercial use, which I can't see happening.

GL


 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 243
Posted: #6
Youngstown St. @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee

Over/Under (126)

Wisc-Mil (65) Youngstown St. (55) - Total (120)

Under
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 243
Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by Maddiesdad:

Youngstown St. @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee

Over/Under (126)

Wisc-Mil (65) Youngstown St. (55) - Total (120)

Under


Wis-Milw averages (65.8) Poss per game, and YSU comes in at (66.9). Expecting the two to play at the (63-64) Poss pace and score at approx (.94-.96) Pts per Possession.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 243
Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by Maddiesdad:

Tuesday projection:

Michigan St (72) Illinois (62)

Michigan St (-2)

Keys stats :

MSU True Shooting % Off/Def (.566/.474)
ILL True Shooting % Off/Def (.537/.504)




Also like the OVER (128) here. Illinois (68) and MSU (69.1) should put together in the neighborhood of (134-136) total Possessions. At that pace we're looking at just (.95) PPP to get above the (128). Spartans come in averaging an efficient (1.10) PPP and IU in with a decent (1.0) PPP. Crossing the needed (.95) shouldn't be an issue.

Michigan St @ Illinois OVER (128)
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 688
Posted: #9
I love illegal give me more I think gambling is illegal to but I wont stop yea baby I am illegal great stuff man thanks like em both...even the overs..!!!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 181
Posted: #10
gl with your system... im going to follow up on it
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2003
Posts: 584
Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by nropp11:

Or people can just pay for kenpom? 

LOL

What you're selling is illegal, unless where you're drawing your stats from gave you permission to redistribute for commercial use, which I can't see happening.

GL




Im confused - if youre saying that its unlikely a website will give permisison to use its stats for commercial use, how does KenPom do this?

  How do you know KenPom got permisison for the same? and why do you care?
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 1717
Posted: #12
yea I am sure you this system will shock the gambling world; there are people at MIT who can't predict anything as far as gambling especially when it comes to college basketball and 19 year old kids its why you see half the underdogs win straight up every night
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 1717
Posted: #13
can it predict let downs; look ahead and injuries and hidden injuries; i want that model
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2006
Posts: 7963
Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by banshee826:



Im confused - if youre saying that its unlikely a website will give permisison to use its stats for commercial use, how does KenPom do this?

  How do you know KenPom got permisison for the same? and why do you care?

Honestly, I could care less. Just thought that the guy might want to know that what he's doing is theft, unless of course he has the rights to distribute other's information and profit from it.

Kenpom has an agreement with the Sports Network stat's - says it right on his site. 

GL
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 243
Posted: #15
If you don't care, why chime in? Strikes me a a serious punk move on your part.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2006
Posts: 7963
Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by Maddiesdad:

If you don't care, why chime in? Strikes me a a serious punk move on your part.

Just thought I'd help you out. 

Good Luck.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 243
Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by nropp11:


Just thought I'd help you out. 

Good Luck.


Spare everyone the "holier than thou" rhetoric. I'd rather read more on your straight over the edge of the cliff, Play of the year....
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 554
Posted: #18

it wasnt 'holier than thou.'  it was 'hey, just a heads up.'  grow up.

 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2011
Posts: 243
Posted: #19
After a rough day yesterday, today the Excel picks came back with a vengeance.

WON: INTERNET: 6 Team Parlay risk 25 win 1175 WON: TOT OVR 769 Memphis/S Mississippi over 134½ (-110) (NCAA Men) Score: 72-75
WON: 775 Wichita St -5 (-110) (NCAA Men) Score: 74-67
WON: TOT OVR 775 Wichita St/Missouri St over 133 (-110) (NCAA Men) Score: 74-67
WON: 798 Kansas -17 (-110) (NCAA Men) Score: 84-62
WON: TOT OVR 797 Oklahoma/Kansas over 137 (-110) (NCAA Men) Score: 62-84
All Forums | Website Promotions
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.