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Pure Discretionary System Plays - Week 2

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Posted: #101
went detoit +7.5 and over 23 1H.  gl
 
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Posted: #102
No more plays tonight.


Not a great day by any means; i got a little ahead of myself. That said, I felt hot and pushed accordingly. This is when you want to press, so I am not terribly dissatisfied. Just need to adjust, and get back to the game plan. 


Good night, all. See you tomorrow.


#piece
 
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Posted: #103
You are doing great AllNumbers13. Congrats!
 
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Posted: #104
For those who follow my picks, or look at this thread as a bouncing board:


Hypothetically speaking, would it be more beneficial/helpful/desirable to receive 10 plays, of which 6 are winners and 4 losers, i.e. 60%, OR 3 plays, of which 2 are winners, i.e. 67%? 
 
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Posted: #105
There are many pros to the former, despite the potential lower percentage return, so please let me know if you have an opinion. 


1st Half Detroit (Tier I) - fail 

San Fran -7 (Tier II) 
 
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Posted: #106
 
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Posted: #107
Quote Originally Posted by AllNumbers13:

For those who follow my picks, or look at this thread as a bouncing board:


Hypothetically speaking, would it be more beneficial/helpful/desirable to receive 10 plays, of which 6 are winners and 4 losers, i.e. 60%, OR 3 plays, of which 2 are winners, i.e. 67%? 

Personally I'm just a college kid looking to have fun and not lose all my money. Been following your picks for a few weeks and I want to say thanks for your hard work. I would like for you to keep it closer to 10 picks but maybe put a star or something on your top 3 for the more serious people that are serious about percentages of wins. I know you use the "tiers" which helps but please continue to post your 10 or so strong leans. Thanks again for the hard work I'll be keeping up and tailing. 
 
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Posted: #108
Quote Originally Posted by AllNumbers13:

For those who follow my picks, or look at this thread as a bouncing board:


Hypothetically speaking, would it be more beneficial/helpful/desirable to receive 10 plays, of which 6 are winners and 4 losers, i.e. 60%, OR 3 plays, of which 2 are winners, i.e. 67%? 

Personally. I think you just post what you feel are your most confident plays. If it is 3 games great. If you feel good about 10 games, even better. I would rather have your top picks, rather than "chasing", to try to get up to a certain # of picks, ie '10'

 
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Posted: #109
Very nice work so far this season!  You seem to have the rare ability to see winners that many people can't.  This is a testament to your capping talent and your efforts.   IMO I would like to see all your leans and plays using your  3 tier system.  From there people can decide which plays they tail or receive information from.  I'm pretty drunk right now and having trouble putting my thoughts into words but you are a serious asset to the forum and congratulations on your success thus far!  Keep up the great work!  I look forward to your Monday night play!
Cheers!

The drunk new guy!
 
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Posted: #110
I do NOT chase - I think I've shown that. The only play I can think of that mayyy have even suggested chasing was yesterday's Auburn 2nd half play, but that was not even chasing as I had initially downgraded the play, and proceeded to actually like it again after that score right before half time. 


This is what I'm asking: I honestly believe I could provide 2 for 3s, 3 for 4s, 3 for 5s etc... VERY consistently... but the limitation to that is, when I have an actual "really good day", i.e. something similar to last week's performance, there are only 4 or 5 games posted. 

However, on the other hand, when i have a day like today, which I consider to be a sub-par day -- you'll still be profitable, but not "that" profitable. 

Side note: I will NOT post a play for the hell of posting a play. I have developed my own strategy, and i don't need to prove it or myself to anyone. So me not randomly picking games out of a hat is a given. 

The thing is though, and today is a perfect example of it, having gone i believe 8 for 14 -- I could have definitely kept a tighter leash on my plays, and gone 3 for 5 for ex, which is a higher %. But here's the catch. If I can have a "good" day, to me, that's a 9 for 11... or 7 for 8 - and believe me, it happens more than you wish to know because that's when I've gotten stung the most, losing parlays left and right because of 1 measly stupid game losing. 


So basically, the idea here is this: I said it in my first post last week. I WILL pick more winners than losers, and I WILL do so consistently. If I pick fewer games, my pct will likely increase accordingly. However, if I post everything I, myself, am invested in - the percentage over time will likely decrease a bit, but there WILL be a few "good" days. For example, if you remove my "total" plays from the equation today, which i will do in the future, my record is 8 for 11. Not too shabby. 


I understand that my question is not very clear, so I apologize. But if someone does have a preference, and an explanation, please dont hesitate to PM me. 


Also, I'd like to mention/forewarn you that I will no longer be on Covers in the near future. I do not yet know where I will be providing my services, but I've spoken to someone from this site, as well as with a few of my close friends who have all been using my picks for the past 2 seasons or so, and I think I could make better use of my insight and analysis (not on covers). Regardless though, I am here for now, and I will continue to keep you guys posted in the meantime. Hopefully, I can demonstrate a perfect slate between now and my departure, like a nice 8-0 day or something. 


#piece 

 
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Posted: #111
Quote Originally Posted by football79:

Very nice work so far this season!  You seem to have the rare ability to see winners that many people can't.  This is a testament to your capping talent and your efforts.   IMO I would like to see all your leans and plays using your  3 tier system.  From there people can decide which plays they tail or receive information from.  I'm pretty drunk right now and having trouble putting my thoughts into words but you are a serious asset to the forum and congratulations on your success thus far!  Keep up the great work!  I look forward to your Monday night play!
Cheers!

The drunk new guy!


You said it perfectly, my dude. I'm exhausted myself, just re-read my post, and it makes NO sense hahah. Another important thing to note is, the more plays there are, the more you can narrow down yourself what interests you. Ok im done typing bc i cant put any of my thoughts together coherently. Long day for me starring at screens.  Ciao!
 
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Posted: #112
Quote Originally Posted by AllNumbers13:

I do NOT chase - I think I've shown that. The only play I can think of that mayyy have even suggested chasing was yesterday's Auburn 2nd half play, but that was not even chasing as I had initially downgraded the play, and proceeded to actually like it again after that score right before half time. 


This is what I'm asking: I honestly believe I could provide 2 for 3s, 3 for 4s, 3 for 5s etc... VERY consistently... but the limitation to that is, when I have an actual "really good day", i.e. something similar to last week's performance, there are only 4 or 5 games posted. 

However, on the other hand, when i have a day like today, which I consider to be a sub-par day -- you'll still be profitable, but not "that" profitable. 

Side note: I will NOT post a play for the hell of posting a play. I have developed my own strategy, and i don't need to prove it or myself to anyone. So me not randomly picking games out of a hat is a given. 

The thing is though, and today is a perfect example of it, having gone i believe 8 for 14 -- I could have definitely kept a tighter leash on my plays, and gone 3 for 5 for ex, which is a higher %. But here's the catch. If I can have a "good" day, to me, that's a 9 for 11... or 7 for 8 - and believe me, it happens more than you wish to know because that's when I've gotten stung the most, losing parlays left and right because of 1 measly stupid game losing. 


So basically, the idea here is this: I said it in my first post last week. I WILL pick more winners than losers, and I WILL do so consistently. If I pick fewer games, my pct will likely increase accordingly. However, if I post everything I, myself, am invested in - the percentage over time will likely decrease a bit, but there WILL be a few "good" days. For example, if you remove my "total" plays from the equation today, which i will do in the future, my record is 8 for 11. Not too shabby. 


I understand that my question is not very clear, so I apologize. But if someone does have a preference, and an explanation, please dont hesitate to PM me. 


Also, I'd like to mention/forewarn you that I will no longer be on Covers in the near future. I do not yet know where I will be providing my services, but I've spoken to someone from this site, as well as with a few of my close friends who have all been using my picks for the past 2 seasons or so, and I think I could make better use of my insight and analysis (not on covers). Regardless though, I am here for now, and I will continue to keep you guys posted in the meantime. Hopefully, I can demonstrate a perfect slate between now and my departure, like a nice 8-0 day or something. 


#piece 

Sorry to hear you will be leaving. I love tailing your picks. Let me know when and where you will be going

 
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Posted: #113
AN13, here your first picks and they are the same picks as mine:
Buffalo Bills ML (Tier I) // I play Bills -3
Tampa Bay +7.5 (Tier I) // I play TB +9
Baltimore +3 (Tier I) /// I play Balty +3
Carolina +3 (Tier II) // I play Car +2.5
...............
Looking forward to seeing your pick next week.
Great, man!
 
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Posted: #114
Just made my lines for Week 3 and compared to real lines - I really love what I see. I want it to be Saturday already...
 
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Posted: #115
Quote Originally Posted by AllNumbers13:

I do NOT chase - I think I've shown that. The only play I can think of that mayyy have even suggested chasing was yesterday's Auburn 2nd half play, but that was not even chasing as I had initially downgraded the play, and proceeded to actually like it again after that score right before half time. 


This is what I'm asking: I honestly believe I could provide 2 for 3s, 3 for 4s, 3 for 5s etc... VERY consistently... but the limitation to that is, when I have an actual "really good day", i.e. something similar to last week's performance, there are only 4 or 5 games posted. 

However, on the other hand, when i have a day like today, which I consider to be a sub-par day -- you'll still be profitable, but not "that" profitable. 

Side note: I will NOT post a play for the hell of posting a play. I have developed my own strategy, and i don't need to prove it or myself to anyone. So me not randomly picking games out of a hat is a given. 

The thing is though, and today is a perfect example of it, having gone i believe 8 for 14 -- I could have definitely kept a tighter leash on my plays, and gone 3 for 5 for ex, which is a higher %. But here's the catch. If I can have a "good" day, to me, that's a 9 for 11... or 7 for 8 - and believe me, it happens more than you wish to know because that's when I've gotten stung the most, losing parlays left and right because of 1 measly stupid game losing. 


So basically, the idea here is this: I said it in my first post last week. I WILL pick more winners than losers, and I WILL do so consistently. If I pick fewer games, my pct will likely increase accordingly. However, if I post everything I, myself, am invested in - the percentage over time will likely decrease a bit, but there WILL be a few "good" days. For example, if you remove my "total" plays from the equation today, which i will do in the future, my record is 8 for 11. Not too shabby. 


I understand that my question is not very clear, so I apologize. But if someone does have a preference, and an explanation, please dont hesitate to PM me. 


Also, I'd like to mention/forewarn you that I will no longer be on Covers in the near future. I do not yet know where I will be providing my services, but I've spoken to someone from this site, as well as with a few of my close friends who have all been using my picks for the past 2 seasons or so, and I think I could make better use of my insight and analysis (not on covers). Regardless though, I am here for now, and I will continue to keep you guys posted in the meantime. Hopefully, I can demonstrate a perfect slate between now and my departure, like a nice 8-0 day or something. 


#piece 


Haha - You've got them all fooled tout.  We can't wait for the announcement of where you will be providing your services in the near future.

One good week and you are setting the groundwork for suckering people in.  Where have you been since last January when your NBA picks went to shit....




 
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Posted: #116
Hey Allnumbers appreciate your work and sad to see you leave bro!

Im excited to see wk3 projections you think you can post your lines?

 
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Posted: #117
What does touting even mean? That word is everywhere and i still dont know. Anyways, it took 2 weeks and over 20,000 views before someone tried talking shit.. I can handle that. 

ps. note that i wrote "tried" talking shit. 
 
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Posted: #118
Quote Originally Posted by LabbyKing:


Haha - You've got them all fooled tout.  We can't wait for the announcement of where you will be providing your services in the near future.

One good week and you are setting the groundwork for suckering people in.  Where have you been since last January when your NBA picks went to shit....


although I don't completely agree with this statement, but yes it seems this guy is going tout...  Been on this site for years and seen great cappers come and go... Don't ever buy picks gents... 

Attn Allnumbers 13.... its PEACE, not piece.... 




 
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Posted: #119
D-T1, I tried getting into day-trading as a senior in college but was advised against it from many reliable sources. To me, sportsbetting = day trading more or less, and I still have a passion for trading. 


Do you currently trade, D-T1? I am looking for a job in finance, specifically trading. Haven't yet met anyone who shares the dual-interest, so would be very interested in hearing your thoughts on it. 

(#piece is my personal thing) 
 
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Posted: #120
Quote Originally Posted by mikesomoney:

Hey Allnumbers appreciate your work and sad to see you leave bro!

Im excited to see wk3 projections you think you can post your lines?



My lines shouldn't mean much to you, especially because i have very little knowledge about football, but sure, why not:


Carolina +1**, under***
Dallas -8
Indy -3.5
Buffalo -3
Miami -3**
KC +7**
Cinci +4***
Chicago -11**, over**
San Fran -6.5***
Detroit -3, over***
SD -3
Arizona +3.5***, under**
Oak +4, under*
Denver -3.5*
New England pk 
Seattle +4.5***, under**
 
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Posted: #121
The games that stand out right off the bat, are those that I've capped accurately, starred**, and I assume will not be public plays, i.e. Carolina +1, Cinci +4, Az +4, Seattle +3.5. 


Will be back later for tonight's game. 
 
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Posted: #122
Quote Originally Posted by AllNumbers13:

D-T1, I tried getting into day-trading as a senior in college but was advised against it from many reliable sources. To me, sportsbetting = day trading more or less, and I still have a passion for trading. 


Do you currently trade, D-T1? I am looking for a job in finance, specifically trading. Haven't yet met anyone who shares the dual-interest, so would be very interested in hearing your thoughts on it. 

(#piece is my personal thing) 

No longer day-trading sir... sorry...
 
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Posted: #123
What up AN13, I jus like to add that you are doing a hella of a job with the sides the only reason where u got hammered is from totals! If u ask me, that's still one hell of a job you doing! Don't worry about dem haters, jus keep doing what u doing! Like always, let's get it! 
 
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Posted: #124
You aren't going tout are you? I don't do touts. I don't pay for picks. I'd rather burn my money
 
 
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Posted: #125
Quote Originally Posted by AllNumbers13:

 
Also, I'd like to mention/forewarn you that I will no longer be on Covers in the near future. I do not yet know where I will be providing my services, but I've spoken to someone from this site, as well as with a few of my close friends who have all been using my picks for the past 2 seasons or so, and I think I could make better use of my insight and analysis (not on covers). Regardless though, I am here for now, and I will continue to keep you guys posted in the meantime. Hopefully, I can demonstrate a perfect slate between now and my departure, like a nice 8-0 day or something. 


#piece 


This is classic hook line and sinker covers material right here.  I know there will be a good number of people that will agree with me when I say I saw this coming a mile away.  Happens every year to start football season and usually basketball as well.  Nothing personal, almost comical now these days to see these paragraphs put out.  Congrats on the nice run to start the season.  Good luck with your tout career. 
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