New York at Green Bay (01/20/2008)

Game: New York Giants at Green Bay Packers (Sunday 1/20 6:30 PM Eastern)

The Giants have caught fire and surprisingly find themselves one win away from the Superbowl. They have now won and covered six of their last seven games and have a chance to be the first team in NFL history to win 10 road games in a season. The Packers are also on a roll. On the season, they are 14-3 SU and 13-3 ATS. The Giants have surprised many with their play the past three weeks. They gave New England a run for their money in week 17, leading by two scores late in the game and they won two road playoff games. Green Bay was good early in the season, but they have gotten even better with the emergence of Ryan Grant in the backfield. Grant finshed the second half of the season as the #2 running back in the NFL, behind only LaDanian Tomlinson. The Cowboys offensive line opened big holes for Marion Barber against the Giant defensive line in the first half last week but New York turned it up in the second half and shut down the Cowboys' offense. This game will be very cold, with temperatures in the single digits and wind-chill below zero. But both teams are used to the cold and each can run the ball which is essential in weather like this. No one gave the Giants much of a chance the past two weeks and they have delivered upset wins. They are getting a touchdown in this one, but they are facing Brett Favre and the Packers at home in January. The road has proven to be hospitable for the Giants this season as they not only cover, but win, posting a 9-1 SU mark away from home. The Packers offense is a force, averaging 373 yards and 28.1 points per game, but New York is 13-3 ATS the past three seasons vs. teams averaging over 350 yards of offense per game. The Packers are 7-1 ATS at home this season and they are off a destruction of their last opponent. What will give here? Is Green Bay going to win by more than a touchdown, or will the Giants again slay a favored opponent?

GB Wins Hands down at home in GB Weather.

34-13

I know what #4's record is in cold games, esp at Lambeau...

 

...but i am sick of people making it seem like if you are wearing blue jerseys its -2 degrees, but if you are wearing Green Jerseys its 70 and sunny. 

 

Eli Manning has big hands, the biggest thing the cold weather impacts is the slipperyness of the balls, but Eli is 6 foot 5 and he's got big hands which should make it fine.  Hopefully for Giants fans we'll find out he has HUGE BALLS too! 

 

Shaun O'Hara and Justin Tuck are among the guys who will be wearing no sleeves on Sunday. 

 

 

Cold weather affects EVERYBODY.  At least half of the players on both teams, if not more, grew up and played college in warm weather states.

Taking G-Men +7.5 and the OVER.

 Maybe Green Bay-4 at half, but I hate doing that.

Last foul weather game Eli played in was against Buffalo, he threw for 111 yards, completed less than 50% of his passes, threw no TD's, 2 Int's, and a QB rating of under 40....

 

On the other hand, that was the game where both of the NYG running backs went for over a hundred and dominated late in the game...

 

Farve is great in these games, no doubts about that...but all it takes is a couple of bad breaks for the game to be blown wide open by one team...

I think Farve and the boys will dumb it down big time, throw the quick  stop routes or through the jump ball up in one on one coverage...

 

I can't bet against Farve, but I don't think they will cover this for the full game...I'll take them at the first half with the smaller spread and hope they jump out quick with the home field advantage...

 

Think the Pack should win a close game, but like I said, all it takes is a DB falling down, then on the next drive for a ball to bounce off a WR's head and the score could go from 21-20 pack to 34-21 NYG in less than 2 minutes....

 

Go pack 1st half...NYG backers should be getting the money on the game!

 

 

REASON FOR PICK: PLAY ON: 4* Green Bay (-) over Ny Giants - Sun, Jan 20th 6:30 pm EST

Green Bay (-7) over New York
Sunday – 6:30 pm EST

In Green Bay’s Week 16 35-7 loss to Chicago in poor weather conditions left many doubters questioning whether the Packers could still play in bad weather. They answered that question in a big way last week in a 42-20, snow-covered win over Seattle in the second round of the playoffs. Early weather reports are calling for even colder conditions this week and that plays right into Green Bay’s hands.

Eli Manning and the Giants have proved their doubters wrong as well with back-to-back road wins at Tampa and Dallas. Both of those games came in optimal weather conditions, though. Sunday’s conditions will be much less than optimal. Manning has definitely exorcised some of his demons over the last two weeks but those demons will return in this game as he struggles to deal with the weather. Favre, on the other hand, will have no problem doing what he does.

The Giants have one of the best pass rushes in the NFL but that pass rush will be negated in this game. Favre has been sacked just 16 times in 17 games this year and he gets excellent protection from both tackles, which is where most of the pressure will be coming from.

Additionally, Favre has Ryan Grant providing him with a strong running attack that will temper the New York pass rush as well. Grant ran for 201 yards in the snow last week and has additional motivation in this game as he was traded from the Giants to Green Bay earlier this year. He’ll want to prove his former team wrong.

These two teams met earlier this year with Green Bay heading into New York and handing the Giants a 35-13 beatdown. Favre carved up the New York secondary to the tune of 286 yards and three touchdowns and could very well match those numbers again. The Giants secondary is beat up right now and it will struggle to keep Favre down.

New York went 2-2 against the NFC North this year and struggled to score in all four games. The Giants averaged just 16.8 points per game against the division and they’ll have a tough time scoring against Green Bay’s sixth-ranked scoring defense. The Packers, meanwhile, went 3-1 against the NFC East, averaging 23.8 points per game.

Green Bay has gone 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS in its last six meetings with the Giants, winning those five games by 15.6 points per game. The Packers have covered each of their last five home games, winning those contests by 24.4 points per game. They may not win by that much in this game but they’ll easily cover the spread. Take Green Bay at home minus the points to earn a trip to the Super Bowl.

Another point to remember: Giants offensive receivers and RBs have difficulties catching balls in the cold, windy weather. (ie, giants v redskins when they dropped like 12 passes). Green Bays front line is very good and should be able to keep Eli hurried most of the game. GB - 7

i'll take grant after the display he put on last week up_n_them!!

GB 38-28*

* That hi? Hey, it is 10 below in GB right now. As long as you keep moving your OK.

 

 

 

Pound The Over! GB Scored 40 Themselves in snow Last weekend, how can the 2 teams not score 40 combined!

As the predicted tempature goes dow, the spread goes up.

I see +7.5 for G-men on most on line sprtsbook. One +8 on Veags line. You may be able to get +8 from one or two on line books just before game time.

Dallas smoked Green Bay, Giants beat Dallas, Giants + 8 for me.

Over/Under is rising... just like it did last week against Seattle. Over is the bet for this week.

SRM, go to accuscore.com and click on nfl game preview. Espn.com uses it as well. it's informative to a degree. it gives you the stats but doesn't run them down like the folks in here.

Backdoor cover by the Giants and under