KC better WTF are u talking about? What do I care? I dont fucking care. This is a gambling forum and I'm asking a poster why the SF/Col game is a play of his career and so far I've got "sit back, shut up, and enjoy the winners" I just wanted to see how quickly I could find out he's full of shit. It took less than 5 posts. Now I know I never have to read one of his threads or take anything he says seriously. GL
Then there's no need to come back into his threads right? But you keep coming back again and again. Or are you the one full of shit?
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Quote Originally Posted by VegasMaxx:
KC better WTF are u talking about? What do I care? I dont fucking care. This is a gambling forum and I'm asking a poster why the SF/Col game is a play of his career and so far I've got "sit back, shut up, and enjoy the winners" I just wanted to see how quickly I could find out he's full of shit. It took less than 5 posts. Now I know I never have to read one of his threads or take anything he says seriously. GL
Then there's no need to come back into his threads right? But you keep coming back again and again. Or are you the one full of shit?
When a handicapper post a career play #3 that has a 65% winning rate YTD in MLB baseball, I would probably bet that play blind. However, when Mr. H, post a play, and doesn't give his YTD MLB record, I will be very hessitant to play his career play #3. Simply, because I haven't heard of him, along with other degenerates looking to pick some winners for the day.....
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Quote Originally Posted by rss500:
When a handicapper post a career play #3 that has a 65% winning rate YTD in MLB baseball, I would probably bet that play blind. However, when Mr. H, post a play, and doesn't give his YTD MLB record, I will be very hessitant to play his career play #3. Simply, because I haven't heard of him, along with other degenerates looking to pick some winners for the day.....
I like Kan, Det,Min. but ur play of ur career im taking COL, reason: better batting, obs, pitching is about the same for both sides, yet col doesnt have a high gidp like sf. i like col but good luck and im sure youll cash in on 3 outa 4!!! Keep up the great capping and take a look at Atl&Bal, they should win!! GOOD LUCK 2 ALL!!
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I like Kan, Det,Min. but ur play of ur career im taking COL, reason: better batting, obs, pitching is about the same for both sides, yet col doesnt have a high gidp like sf. i like col but good luck and im sure youll cash in on 3 outa 4!!! Keep up the great capping and take a look at Atl&Bal, they should win!! GOOD LUCK 2 ALL!!
When a handicapper post a career play #3 that has a 65% winning rate YTD in MLB baseball, I would probably bet that play blind. However, when Mr. H, post a play, and doesn't give his YTD MLB record, I will be very hessitant to play his career play #3. Simply, because I haven't heard of him, along with other degenerates looking to pick some winners for the day.....
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Quote Originally Posted by rss500:
When a handicapper post a career play #3 that has a 65% winning rate YTD in MLB baseball, I would probably bet that play blind. However, when Mr. H, post a play, and doesn't give his YTD MLB record, I will be very hessitant to play his career play #3. Simply, because I haven't heard of him, along with other degenerates looking to pick some winners for the day.....
I like Kan, Det,Min. but ur play of ur career im taking COL, reason: better batting, obs, pitching is about the same for both sides, yet col doesnt have a high gidp like sf. i like col but good luck and im sure youll cash in on 3 outa 4!!! Keep up the great capping and take a look at Atl&Bal, they should win!! GOOD LUCK 2 ALL!!
thanks....bol to you as well
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Quote Originally Posted by prophet4profit:
I like Kan, Det,Min. but ur play of ur career im taking COL, reason: better batting, obs, pitching is about the same for both sides, yet col doesnt have a high gidp like sf. i like col but good luck and im sure youll cash in on 3 outa 4!!! Keep up the great capping and take a look at Atl&Bal, they should win!! GOOD LUCK 2 ALL!!
I played 5 games today and they might go 0-5 but thats ok because about 1% of my bankroll is riding on them. Play of the years and plays of my career are for guys that go bust.
Would you mind sharing them with us? Please don't wait until any one team is winning.
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Quote Originally Posted by VegasMaxx:
I played 5 games today and they might go 0-5 but thats ok because about 1% of my bankroll is riding on them. Play of the years and plays of my career are for guys that go bust.
Would you mind sharing them with us? Please don't wait until any one team is winning.
already posted. I'm not gonna post my plays in some other guys thread.
wouldn't mind...in fact...it would be great entertainment if we went head to head in a capping contest...if you have matchbook we can do it on there for money, but if you dont want to do that, we can just do it for fun.
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Quote Originally Posted by VegasMaxx:
already posted. I'm not gonna post my plays in some other guys thread.
wouldn't mind...in fact...it would be great entertainment if we went head to head in a capping contest...if you have matchbook we can do it on there for money, but if you dont want to do that, we can just do it for fun.
wouldn't mind...in fact...it would be great entertainment if we went head to head in a capping contest...if you have matchbook we can do it on there for money, but if you dont want to do that, we can just do it for fun.
No thaks, not interested, just wanted to hear some kind of reasoning or math for the play, that is all.
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Quote Originally Posted by MrHeadache:
wouldn't mind...in fact...it would be great entertainment if we went head to head in a capping contest...if you have matchbook we can do it on there for money, but if you dont want to do that, we can just do it for fun.
No thaks, not interested, just wanted to hear some kind of reasoning or math for the play, that is all.
No thaks, not interested, just wanted to hear some kind of reasoning or math for the play, that is all.
well here is what I can give you for right now...
Like I said I have stuff that creates my own lines...I dont have too many lines that are that off to be honest...3 plays a day is about average...that comes and goes...
San Francisco +110 for me today....1/2.1=47%
My line has san francisco at -126....1.26/2.26=55%
8% different winning probability is significant for my type of lines...usually 6% is a big gap, but 8% has happened before....with that being said, I expect this game to be really close still...
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Quote Originally Posted by VegasMaxx:
No thaks, not interested, just wanted to hear some kind of reasoning or math for the play, that is all.
well here is what I can give you for right now...
Like I said I have stuff that creates my own lines...I dont have too many lines that are that off to be honest...3 plays a day is about average...that comes and goes...
San Francisco +110 for me today....1/2.1=47%
My line has san francisco at -126....1.26/2.26=55%
8% different winning probability is significant for my type of lines...usually 6% is a big gap, but 8% has happened before....with that being said, I expect this game to be really close still...
Like I said I have stuff that creates my own lines...I dont have too many lines that are that off to be honest...3 plays a day is about average...that comes and goes...
San Francisco +110 for me today....1/2.1=47%
My line has san francisco at -126....1.26/2.26=55%
8% different winning probability is significant for my type of lines...usually 6% is a big gap, but 8% has happened before....with that being said, I expect this game to be really close still...
ok now how do you make your line. I know how to convert % into ML thank you.
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Quote Originally Posted by MrHeadache:
well here is what I can give you for right now...
Like I said I have stuff that creates my own lines...I dont have too many lines that are that off to be honest...3 plays a day is about average...that comes and goes...
San Francisco +110 for me today....1/2.1=47%
My line has san francisco at -126....1.26/2.26=55%
8% different winning probability is significant for my type of lines...usually 6% is a big gap, but 8% has happened before....with that being said, I expect this game to be really close still...
ok now how do you make your line. I know how to convert % into ML thank you.
So once again, the real line is -106 and your line is -126.
That is a 51.5% chance of winning at -106, and a 55.5% chance of winning at -126.
That is a 4% difference in your line and the real line.
That makes it a "career play"????? HUH???
Let be serious here. Its great that you are doing well, its great that you are posting plays, its great that people want to discuss it with you. But forgive those of us that have been around the block at covers - we have all seen this 10,000 times before - someone gets hot - they use all kinds of words like "career plays" - and on and on and on.
Like I said, good luck to you - its funny how your method (and even your wording of how you do it) is a direct rip off of my method (which is fine) - but lets be serious here - a 20 cent line difference for me is a 1 unit play, and for you it is a "career play" (3 in the last 2 weeks).
Stop the drama, and the drama wont follow you.
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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Quote Originally Posted by MrHeadache:
My line I have for this game is -126
So once again, the real line is -106 and your line is -126.
That is a 51.5% chance of winning at -106, and a 55.5% chance of winning at -126.
That is a 4% difference in your line and the real line.
That makes it a "career play"????? HUH???
Let be serious here. Its great that you are doing well, its great that you are posting plays, its great that people want to discuss it with you. But forgive those of us that have been around the block at covers - we have all seen this 10,000 times before - someone gets hot - they use all kinds of words like "career plays" - and on and on and on.
Like I said, good luck to you - its funny how your method (and even your wording of how you do it) is a direct rip off of my method (which is fine) - but lets be serious here - a 20 cent line difference for me is a 1 unit play, and for you it is a "career play" (3 in the last 2 weeks).
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was wondering when you would lose it and start cussing profane names towards me...
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