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Week 13 Pimpin Style- 50 games over .500

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Posted: #51
3-0 up 4 units to start the week got a great Number on that over tonight looks like it moved 5 points today alone. 
 
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Posted: #52
 
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Posted: #53
congrats on the hit tonight pimp. hit on the under 59 1/2 tonight. good luck with anything you might play tomorrow
 
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Posted: #54
Quote Originally Posted by Pimpdaddy55:

Vandy -3 vs Tenn.  trap maybe only 1 unit play

looks like you are one of the only top cappers around here seeing it right... this is the trappiest trap i've seen all year... my chart has this line around (-12)... Doubleup has it at (-16.5)... he thinks that means Vandy is the play... i disagree...

the books aren't dumb... they know everyone will be on Vandy here... why post a 3 pt spread when you know a Vandy cover is going to bury you?  this is the kind of line that ensures the books have a winning week regardless of any other game on the boad... Vandy (-3)... 93% on Vandy... line hasn't budged... and you and me both know Vandy is an OBVIOUS pick...

they could have put this line at Vandy (-7) and would still get almost exclusively Vandy action... if they want people betting Vandy that bad, with such a short number, you definitely need to be cautious...

 
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Posted: #55
otherwise the card looks great!  i think Penn St runs over Mich St, but there's an outside chance you get the backdoor cover with that line...
 
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Posted: #56
I agree....

I'm likely to play TENN...I may not post it on the covers record, but by game-time I am sure I will grab it.  This was smells extremely fishy and I can see it coming the momemt Vandy beat up on UK. 



 
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Posted: #57
To be honest I had seen this line go to -4 then quickly go back to -3 this has to be the trap game of the week.  Penn St to be honest should not be favored in any game by -14.5 expecially against a Michigan St team that they have not beatin by 14 in 4 years.  I know Penn St has a great team but the number is to big in my opinion. 
 
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Posted: #58
PSU game could land right on 14 the way i see it, which is why i bought the hook down to 13.5 when it touched 14 for a few hours...
 
i see your point here... but the matchups don't favor MSU in my opinion... they will need to throw the ball, and that's where they get in trouble... if Penn St gets up by more than a TD at any point i think it's all downhill for Mich St... if they can somehow score first and stick to the gameplan they have a shot...
 
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Posted: #59
        gl this wk 
 
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Posted: #60

luckyly Gl to you as well

lobos GL to you either way you go I just have a feeling this is going to be closer than anyone thinks and these type of games have been known for weird shit happening. 

Going to post up some more picks later. 

 
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Posted: #61
Quote Originally Posted by lobosrule:

looks like you are one of the only top cappers around here seeing it right... this is the trappiest trap i've seen all year... my chart has this line around (-12)... Doubleup has it at (-16.5)... he thinks that means Vandy is the play... i disagree...

the books aren't dumb... they know everyone will be on Vandy here... why post a 3 pt spread when you know a Vandy cover is going to bury you?  this is the kind of line that ensures the books have a winning week regardless of any other game on the boad... Vandy (-3)... 93% on Vandy... line hasn't budged... and you and me both know Vandy is an OBVIOUS pick...

they could have put this line at Vandy (-7) and would still get almost exclusively Vandy action... if they want people betting Vandy that bad, with such a short number, you definitely need to be cautious...

lobos - I totally agree on the trap angle, but my lean toward Vandy is for one reason and one reason only - the Tennessee team has mailed in, they have quit.  That can be the only explanation for any SEC team that can lose at home to Wyoming.   That is the same reason I am taking Wash. St (yes you heard that right) and same reason I am taking UNLV - playing against opponents who have shown they have quit.

 
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Posted: #62
good luck pimp love your card this week
 
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Posted: #63

pele

Manifesto-  This could be a trap or that is what Vegas wants us to believe so I am still not sure on this game. 

4-0 for the week up 5 units already.  Looking at today trying to see if there is going to be any action tonight. 

 
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Posted: #64
solid card, good call on N Illinois
 
GL rest of the week pimp
 
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Posted: #65
personally, since the UT line is so bizarre i would just assume stay away... but betting against teams that have quit is a good way to go late in the season...
 
still not sure if i can lay DD with UNLV on the road... haven't covered a spread like that since 2001, and Omar Clayton isn't very healthy... line keeps dropping, so i think i can wait on it and keep thinking about this one... seeing it at (-10) at bookmaker right now...
 
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Posted: #66
Nice looking card for you as well, both on Boise and Michigan St. I see.  Best of luck this weekend!
 
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Posted: #67
Yeah I can't believe that UNLV is -10 now this line is begging for action on UNLV now for sure. 
 
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Posted: #68
Quote Originally Posted by lobosrule:

looks like you are one of the only top cappers around here seeing it right... this is the trappiest trap i've seen all year... my chart has this line around (-12)... Doubleup has it at (-16.5)... he thinks that means Vandy is the play... i disagree...

the books aren't dumb... they know everyone will be on Vandy here... why post a 3 pt spread when you know a Vandy cover is going to bury you?  this is the kind of line that ensures the books have a winning week regardless of any other game on the boad... Vandy (-3)... 93% on Vandy... line hasn't budged... and you and me both know Vandy is an OBVIOUS pick...

they could have put this line at Vandy (-7) and would still get almost exclusively Vandy action... if they want people betting Vandy that bad, with such a short number, you definitely need to be cautious...

  I did not take this game please learn how to read...

My Chart does have Vandy at 16.5 .. I don't Bet everything the Chart lays out

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #69

Updated card #2

Michigan St +14.5 for 3 units   seems like too many Points !! Im staying far away from this one ... Im giving the Nittany Lions 6 Points for Home Field .  You should be on the right side but this should be close to the number..

Akron -2.5 for 2 units   Ohio sucks , The Zips should roll in this one .. I am a little afraid the Akron might be in the shitter being out of the MAC race with the Loss to U at Buffalo last week...   

Boise St -6 for 3 units    HUGE Game for the WAC.. Really looking forward to watching this one . The Broncos could roll.. I might play the Under in this one .. Thinking Boise plays a little ball control... 

La Tech -6 for 2 units    Nice Play ... Really need this game to go 7-4 with a home game vs Nevada on deck.. 7-5 gets this decent Bulldogs squad into a Bowl...

Rice -8 for 2 units    Hard to figure Marshall out .. Last week they laid a total egg , looks like they will get blown out this week

Northern Illinois -3 -120 for 2 units  Nice Hit Brother

WakeForest -1.5 for 2 units   Coin Flip but Wake should be Laying atleast 3.5 or 4 at home in this spot... 

UNLV -12.5 for 2 units (Double Up Special) Huge Play for me .. Everyone will overreact to the Clayton injury.. Mike Clausen was won his last 2 Starts and should have no Problem tearing up the Worst team in Div 1... With a Potential Bowl Bid on the Line The Rebels should win by 20+

Rutgers -16.5 -120 for 2 units  Needing this one for a Bowl Bid.. Rutgers should never take the foot off the pedal///

Adding Georgia Tech -3 for 1 unit Nice hit Brother

Pitt +5 for 1 unit   seems like alot of points here, Leaning with you on Pitt..

Vandy -3 vs Tenn.  trap maybe only 1 unit play ... Totally agree , could be a total Trap. My Chart says 16.5... What are the Vols playing for ? I think your real smart to only play it for 1 Unit

Overall I Love your Card... You are an excellent Capper.. I need to Jump on some of your Plays especially week day Games.. 

BOL this week Brother May you Double or Triple UP...

 

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #70
Pimpster....
wonderful thread as alwayz.....
Jumped on
Boise St -6
UNLV -11
BOL to you my friend...alwayz rooting you to win...
Winners hang out with Winners......Dogg
 
 
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Posted: #71
so, no totals that you fell in love with this week then? so far i locked the notre dame under in, but thats it. are there any that jump out at you pimp? whats your take on florida state at maryland? thanks for any thoughts.  

         
 
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Posted: #72
iam leaning miami ohio and fresno state tonite but cant pull the trigger. would like to hear your thoughts there if u have any. thanks bro, bol
 
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Posted: #73

Bigg

Fathomable Honestly not a big fan of the totals this week I like 3 of them but waiting to see were the lines and weather report.  FSU and Maryland could be a good game I would not go against Maryland at home this year so I am not going to play this one for sure.  Tonight I am still looking at to be honest Buffalo is starting to intrest me.  I will have my card up some time tonight

 
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Posted: #74
Tenn is the play here, dont ask why or how but lets be honest, to set this line at 3 is like rolling dirty donuts around a track and watching the kids run after them at fat camp....its TENN or NO PLAY, card looks tasty as usualy PIMP
 
 
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Posted: #75

Updated card #3

4-0 for the week so far up 5 units Great start to this week.  Not a big fan of tonights card probably going to do a teaser degenerate special

Michigan St +14.5 for 2 units (hedged 1 unit)

Akron -2.5 for 2 units

Boise St -6 for 4 units

La Tech -6 for 2 units

Rice -8 for 2 units

WakeForest -1.5 for 2 units

UNLV -12.5 for 2 units (Double Up Special)

Rutgers -16.5 -120 for 2 units

Pitt +5 for 1 unit

Vandy -3 vs Tenn.  1 unit play

Arizona -2.5 for 2 units (Non Ranked favored over ranked games are over 75% YTD)

Oklahoma and Texas Tech Over 75 for 2 units

Washington and Washington St Under 48.5 for 1 unit

UL Monroe and FIU Under 52 for 1 unit

Looking at a few more but this could be final

 

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