I am beyond shocked that the Dolphins win total has opened at 6.5. Literally shocked. It is free money people, I promise you. Now I'm sure many people see me as a homer, but I accurately predicted the Fins record at 7-9 last year (when everyone was calling them a 1,2 or 3 win team.)
I can go off as to why this is an easy bet, and in time I will. Barring massive injuries, 7 wins is a given for this team. I expect it to end up around 8 by opening day.
I will do my best to bump this end of year, but Miami Dolphins over 6.5 wins is FREE money.
Seriously?
Miami will be lucky to be going into the bye week at 1-4.
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Quote Originally Posted by earthWake:
I am beyond shocked that the Dolphins win total has opened at 6.5. Literally shocked. It is free money people, I promise you. Now I'm sure many people see me as a homer, but I accurately predicted the Fins record at 7-9 last year (when everyone was calling them a 1,2 or 3 win team.)
I can go off as to why this is an easy bet, and in time I will. Barring massive injuries, 7 wins is a given for this team. I expect it to end up around 8 by opening day.
I will do my best to bump this end of year, but Miami Dolphins over 6.5 wins is FREE money.
Seriously?
Miami will be lucky to be going into the bye week at 1-4.
Miami will be lucky to be going into the bye week at 1-4.
Their schedule is not easy to start the year, but lucky to be 1-4 is inaccurate. You are basically saying they should be 0-5, and would lucky to win 1 game, even though they are road 'pick-em' week 1 at Cleveland. Thats false. They will be 2-3 or 3-2 at their bye. WORST CASE SCENARIO (not luckily) they are 1-4 going into their bye..No matter what happens, they will win week 7 at home vs Buffalo coming out of their bye.
After their bye, the next 11 weeks, they are face a playoff team 3 of those 11 game (Cincy, Patriots, Patriots)..Now comes the ''just because they didn't make the playoffs last year, doesn't mean they wont be good this year." True, but in that stretch they play the Bills twice, the Jets twice, SD, Car, TB. All very winnable.
Their toughest games are NE, NE, ATL, Pitt, NO...It would not suprise me if they went 2-3 in those games, 1-4 seems realistic from an outside point of view. Even if they lost all 5 of those games, they would have to lose to 4 mediocre more teams...and that would still be 7-9. Bottom line, aslong as they don't start out 0-5..or lose all 5 of those games mentioned above, they will go over.
...Did I mention Miami had one of the best run defenses in the NFL last year, and have improved their front 7 vastly. They also have 2 more receivers on the roster this year that are better than anyone they had last year...but yeah, this is a 6-10 team
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Quote Originally Posted by Bart_:
Seriously?
Miami will be lucky to be going into the bye week at 1-4.
Their schedule is not easy to start the year, but lucky to be 1-4 is inaccurate. You are basically saying they should be 0-5, and would lucky to win 1 game, even though they are road 'pick-em' week 1 at Cleveland. Thats false. They will be 2-3 or 3-2 at their bye. WORST CASE SCENARIO (not luckily) they are 1-4 going into their bye..No matter what happens, they will win week 7 at home vs Buffalo coming out of their bye.
After their bye, the next 11 weeks, they are face a playoff team 3 of those 11 game (Cincy, Patriots, Patriots)..Now comes the ''just because they didn't make the playoffs last year, doesn't mean they wont be good this year." True, but in that stretch they play the Bills twice, the Jets twice, SD, Car, TB. All very winnable.
Their toughest games are NE, NE, ATL, Pitt, NO...It would not suprise me if they went 2-3 in those games, 1-4 seems realistic from an outside point of view. Even if they lost all 5 of those games, they would have to lose to 4 mediocre more teams...and that would still be 7-9. Bottom line, aslong as they don't start out 0-5..or lose all 5 of those games mentioned above, they will go over.
...Did I mention Miami had one of the best run defenses in the NFL last year, and have improved their front 7 vastly. They also have 2 more receivers on the roster this year that are better than anyone they had last year...but yeah, this is a 6-10 team
Their schedule is not easy to start the year, but lucky to be 1-4 is inaccurate. You are basically saying they should be 0-5, and would lucky to win 1 game, even though they are road 'pick-em' week 1 at Cleveland. Thats false. They will be 2-3 or 3-2 at their bye. WORST CASE SCENARIO (not luckily) they are 1-4 going into their bye..No matter what happens, they will win week 7 at home vs Buffalo coming out of their bye.
After their bye, the next 11 weeks, they are face a playoff team 3 of those 11 game (Cincy, Patriots, Patriots)..Now comes the ''just because they didn't make the playoffs last year, doesn't mean they wont be good this year." True, but in that stretch they play the Bills twice, the Jets twice, SD, Car, TB. All very winnable.
Their toughest games are NE, NE, ATL, Pitt, NO...It would not suprise me if they went 2-3 in those games, 1-4 seems realistic from an outside point of view. Even if they lost all 5 of those games, they would have to lose to 4 mediocre more teams...and that would still be 7-9. Bottom line, aslong as they don't start out 0-5..or lose all 5 of those games mentioned above, they will go over.
...Did I mention Miami had one of the best run defenses in the NFL last year, and have improved their front 7 vastly. They also have 2 more receivers on the roster this year that are better than anyone they had last year...but yeah, this is a 6-10 team
good luck to you sir
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Quote Originally Posted by earthWake:
Their schedule is not easy to start the year, but lucky to be 1-4 is inaccurate. You are basically saying they should be 0-5, and would lucky to win 1 game, even though they are road 'pick-em' week 1 at Cleveland. Thats false. They will be 2-3 or 3-2 at their bye. WORST CASE SCENARIO (not luckily) they are 1-4 going into their bye..No matter what happens, they will win week 7 at home vs Buffalo coming out of their bye.
After their bye, the next 11 weeks, they are face a playoff team 3 of those 11 game (Cincy, Patriots, Patriots)..Now comes the ''just because they didn't make the playoffs last year, doesn't mean they wont be good this year." True, but in that stretch they play the Bills twice, the Jets twice, SD, Car, TB. All very winnable.
Their toughest games are NE, NE, ATL, Pitt, NO...It would not suprise me if they went 2-3 in those games, 1-4 seems realistic from an outside point of view. Even if they lost all 5 of those games, they would have to lose to 4 mediocre more teams...and that would still be 7-9. Bottom line, aslong as they don't start out 0-5..or lose all 5 of those games mentioned above, they will go over.
...Did I mention Miami had one of the best run defenses in the NFL last year, and have improved their front 7 vastly. They also have 2 more receivers on the roster this year that are better than anyone they had last year...but yeah, this is a 6-10 team
You don't have to agree with anything I say, for all you know I could be just like the hundreds of other people on covers who see their favorite team through rose colored glasses.
I know the Fins inside and out though. If you have any question, I'm your guy.
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Quote Originally Posted by Bart_:
good luck to you sir
And to you.
You don't have to agree with anything I say, for all you know I could be just like the hundreds of other people on covers who see their favorite team through rose colored glasses.
I know the Fins inside and out though. If you have any question, I'm your guy.
Hey OP...it's cool that you think the Ravens are not gonna win many games. But how are the Ravens clearly on decline? What's clear is that Joe Flacco is coming into his own under a new offensive coordinator. What's clear is that an old defense from last year is rejuvenated with key free agent pick ups and draft picks. It's clear that Ray Rice will in all likelihood have a productive year, with a good up and coming running back behind him in Pierce. I'm not saying they'll win 10+ games, they may have a down year as it may happen with any team on any year, but it's certainly not because they're "clearly declining". Management and Ozzie is too good to let them clearly decline. They don't go for one year super bowls, they put a contending product on the field year in and year out.
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Hey OP...it's cool that you think the Ravens are not gonna win many games. But how are the Ravens clearly on decline? What's clear is that Joe Flacco is coming into his own under a new offensive coordinator. What's clear is that an old defense from last year is rejuvenated with key free agent pick ups and draft picks. It's clear that Ray Rice will in all likelihood have a productive year, with a good up and coming running back behind him in Pierce. I'm not saying they'll win 10+ games, they may have a down year as it may happen with any team on any year, but it's certainly not because they're "clearly declining". Management and Ozzie is too good to let them clearly decline. They don't go for one year super bowls, they put a contending product on the field year in and year out.
Hey OP...it's cool that you think the Ravens are not gonna win many games. But how are the Ravens clearly on decline? What's clear is that Joe Flacco is coming into his own under a new offensive coordinator. What's clear is that an old defense from last year is rejuvenated with key free agent pick ups and draft picks. It's clear that Ray Rice will in all likelihood have a productive year, with a good up and coming running back behind him in Pierce. I'm not saying they'll win 10+ games, they may have a down year as it may happen with any team on any year, but it's certainly not because they're "clearly declining". Management and Ozzie is too good to let them clearly decline. They don't go for one year super bowls, they put a contending product on the field year in and year out.
they lost a ton brother ... will be tough to finish better than 8-8
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
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Quote Originally Posted by AfadeAday:
Hey OP...it's cool that you think the Ravens are not gonna win many games. But how are the Ravens clearly on decline? What's clear is that Joe Flacco is coming into his own under a new offensive coordinator. What's clear is that an old defense from last year is rejuvenated with key free agent pick ups and draft picks. It's clear that Ray Rice will in all likelihood have a productive year, with a good up and coming running back behind him in Pierce. I'm not saying they'll win 10+ games, they may have a down year as it may happen with any team on any year, but it's certainly not because they're "clearly declining". Management and Ozzie is too good to let them clearly decline. They don't go for one year super bowls, they put a contending product on the field year in and year out.
they lost a ton brother ... will be tough to finish better than 8-8
Good luck predicting all the invariables that are woven through an NFL season or NCAA for that matter
Would love to see/know all your preseason wagers and predictions for these football teams BEFORE the season starts Look back at all your preseason wagers for these wagers and I would say you would be lucky to break even
personally, I love your enthusiasm for the upcoming football year but NOBODY has much of a clue to what might transpire albeit ALL the things that might go down this offseason
I, for one, after Rangers preseason dismal performance(MLB BB) and all the ex-key contributers departure, were headed towards a poor year, now have the BEST record in AL WTF?
It is so very very hard to predict how teams seasons will unfold Good luck with all your forecasts Just sayin........
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Funny thread
Good luck predicting all the invariables that are woven through an NFL season or NCAA for that matter
Would love to see/know all your preseason wagers and predictions for these football teams BEFORE the season starts Look back at all your preseason wagers for these wagers and I would say you would be lucky to break even
personally, I love your enthusiasm for the upcoming football year but NOBODY has much of a clue to what might transpire albeit ALL the things that might go down this offseason
I, for one, after Rangers preseason dismal performance(MLB BB) and all the ex-key contributers departure, were headed towards a poor year, now have the BEST record in AL WTF?
It is so very very hard to predict how teams seasons will unfold Good luck with all your forecasts Just sayin........
Good luck predicting all the invariables that are woven through an NFL season or NCAA for that matter
Would love to see/know all your preseason wagers and predictions for these football teams BEFORE the season starts Look back at all your preseason wagers for these wagers and I would say you would be lucky to break even
personally, I love your enthusiasm for the upcoming football year but NOBODY has much of a clue to what might transpire albeit ALL the things that might go down this offseason
I, for one, after Rangers preseason dismal performance(MLB BB) and all the ex-key contributers departure, were headed towards a poor year, now have the BEST record in AL WTF?
It is so very very hard to predict how teams seasons will unfold Good luck with all your forecasts Just sayin........
did Very Well last season as Posted
Hit Pre seasonw wager on Superbowl exacta with Ravens to Play 49ers $$$$$$$
Also Ravens in Bowl where my largest Super Bowl investment in 7+ seasons...
Who knows it a crap shoot
Injuries and Bounces define pay outs in this crazy game ....
Love betting Futures More than anything
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
0
Quote Originally Posted by Crusher13:
Funny thread
Good luck predicting all the invariables that are woven through an NFL season or NCAA for that matter
Would love to see/know all your preseason wagers and predictions for these football teams BEFORE the season starts Look back at all your preseason wagers for these wagers and I would say you would be lucky to break even
personally, I love your enthusiasm for the upcoming football year but NOBODY has much of a clue to what might transpire albeit ALL the things that might go down this offseason
I, for one, after Rangers preseason dismal performance(MLB BB) and all the ex-key contributers departure, were headed towards a poor year, now have the BEST record in AL WTF?
It is so very very hard to predict how teams seasons will unfold Good luck with all your forecasts Just sayin........
did Very Well last season as Posted
Hit Pre seasonw wager on Superbowl exacta with Ravens to Play 49ers $$$$$$$
Also Ravens in Bowl where my largest Super Bowl investment in 7+ seasons...
Who knows it a crap shoot
Injuries and Bounces define pay outs in this crazy game ....
The Ravens were a weak statistical team in the regular season, when such teams go on to win the SB there is a strong history of not making the playoffs the next season.
Only the 2007 Giants would make the playoffs the following season, 4 others failed including the 2011 Giants.
Then they lose a number of players because of Flacco's big contract and I can't see this team making the playoffs this season, they should be thankful Clev plays in the same division because that's will keep them out of the basement.
I also agree with you on Colts having a big regression to the mean and falling back
Also Falcons falling back to about 10 wins.
Also agree about Seattle having the best record or one of the top 2 best records in the league and winning the division.
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I agree with you on the Ravens.
The Ravens were a weak statistical team in the regular season, when such teams go on to win the SB there is a strong history of not making the playoffs the next season.
Only the 2007 Giants would make the playoffs the following season, 4 others failed including the 2011 Giants.
Then they lose a number of players because of Flacco's big contract and I can't see this team making the playoffs this season, they should be thankful Clev plays in the same division because that's will keep them out of the basement.
I also agree with you on Colts having a big regression to the mean and falling back
Also Falcons falling back to about 10 wins.
Also agree about Seattle having the best record or one of the top 2 best records in the league and winning the division.
I am beyond shocked that the Dolphins win total has opened at 6.5. Literally shocked. It is free money people, I promise you. Now I'm sure many people see me as a homer, but I accurately predicted the Fins record at 7-9 last year (when everyone was calling them a 1,2 or 3 win team.)
I can go off as to why this is an easy bet, and in time I will. Barring massive injuries, 7 wins is a given for this team. I expect it to end up around 8 by opening day.
I will do my best to bump this end of year, but Miami Dolphins over 6.5 wins is FREE money.
0
Quote Originally Posted by earthWake:
I am beyond shocked that the Dolphins win total has opened at 6.5. Literally shocked. It is free money people, I promise you. Now I'm sure many people see me as a homer, but I accurately predicted the Fins record at 7-9 last year (when everyone was calling them a 1,2 or 3 win team.)
I can go off as to why this is an easy bet, and in time I will. Barring massive injuries, 7 wins is a given for this team. I expect it to end up around 8 by opening day.
I will do my best to bump this end of year, but Miami Dolphins over 6.5 wins is FREE money.
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