WEEK 5 lines ...situational stuff and leans.....

Some nice angles this week....

strong leans....

Texas A&M -14 or so vs Arkansas
      *Hogs off 3 terrible losses with road game at Auburn on deck...Aggs have lost (SU/ATS) last 3 vs Ark...are a rested hot team (off S Caro St and SMU)

N Caro -21 vs Idaho
     *UNC with Hokies next....Idaho already tough road games at LSU and Bowling Green..(just off Wyoming)....with 2 winnable games on deck
they should mail this one in and take the ass whoopin'

TEXAS P or so at Okie St
     *Horns the better team with much better D....but OSU rested off bye with Kansas on deck...Horns win this one

NC ST +3' or more at Miami
     *NCSU with Fla St on deck...but rested off S Alabama and the freakin Citadel....Miami off HUGE upset with Notre Dame on deck

not bad

USF +13' or so...off loss at home vs Fla St...off huge home win with road game at NC St next
BYU -23 or so...off loss and rested (played Thurs) ....Hawaii sucks and traveling on short week
UCF+ 3 or so at home vs Mizzou....UCF off bye with 2 home games on deck...Mizzou beat up...off Georgia...Ariz St and S Caro...with Vandy and Bama on deck
TCU -17 or so at SMU...revenge game....Frogs prolly with crowd edge...whip sorry Ponies ass
B College +14 or so at home vs Clemson...off bye with Army next...Dabo's off TOUGH road game with Ga Tech on deck
WKU.....COVERED 13 games in a row.....getting points yet again at Ark St?
Baylor +16' or so at W Virg...Bears with extra rest with a bye next...Couch Burners at Texas next
Duke +4 or more at Wake...rested off Memphis and NC Central...WF off tough games with Army (yes)... Fla St.. and N Caro
Tenn +14 or so at Georgia...Vols off Akron with bye next...Dawgs off feel good home romp with huge game with S Caro next      
Wazzu??....getting 30 or so at home (in Seattle actually) vs the Ducks...off a BADDD loss...Cougs have played Ducks well the last couple of years    




THURSDAY,
SEPTEMBER 27, 2012

103 Stanford  -7    
P: 5:00PM C: 7:00 E: 8:00
104 Washington    
 
101 CLEVELAND BROWNS
P: 5:20PM C: 7:20PM E: 8:20PM NFL
102 BALTIMORE RAVENS  -13'    
 
FRIDAY,
SEPTEMBER 28, 2012

 
105 HAWAII
P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM ESPN
106 BYU  -23'     
 

SATURDAY,
SEPTEMBER 29, 2012    
 
107 CINCINNATI
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM  at Fed Ex Field
108 VIRGINIA TECH  -7'    
 
109 BUFFALO
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
110 CONNECTICUT  -16'    
 
111 PENN STATE  -4
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
112 ILLINOIS    
 
113 MINNESOTA
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
114 IOWA -7    
 
115 TEXAS TECH
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
116 IOWA STATE  -5    
 
117 CLEMSON  -13'
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
118 BOSTON COLLEGE    
 
119 LOUISIANA TECH  -2'
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
120 VIRGINIA    
 
121 OHIO  -28
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
122 MASSACHUSETTS    
 
123 BALL STATE  -2'
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
124 KENT STATE    
 
125 IDAHO
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
126 NORTH CAROLINA  -21    
 
127 INDIANA
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
128 NORTHWESTERN  -15    
 
129 MARSHALL
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
130 PURDUE  -12    
 
131 DUKE
P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM
132 WAKE FOREST  -6'    
 
133 SOUTH CAROLINA  -18'
P: 9:20AM C: 11:20AM E: 12:20PM
134 KENTUCKY    
 
135 COLORADO STATE
P: 11:00AM C: 1:00PM E: 2:00PM
136 AIR FORCE  -17    
 
137 TCU  -16'
P: 11:00AM C: 1:00PM E: 2:00PM
138 SMU    
 
139 CENTRAL MICHIGAN
P: 11:00AM C: 1:00PM E: 2:00PM
140 NORTHERN ILLINOIS  -16'    
 
141 UCLA  -21
P: 12:00PM C: 2:00PM E: 3:00PM
142 COLORADO    
 

143 SAN JOSE STATE
P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM CBSC
144 NAVY  P

145 OREGON  -30
P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM  in Seattle
146 WASHINGTON STATE

147 TEXAS  -1'
P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM
148 OKLAHOMA STATE  

149 ARKANSAS
P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM
150 TEXAS A&M  -14

151 BAYLOR
P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM
152 WEST VIRGINIA  -14

153 OHIO STATE  -1' ??
P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM ABC
154 MICHIGAN STATE  

155 TENNESSEE
P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM CBS
156 GEORGIA  -15

157 ARIZONA STATE
P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM
158 CALIFORNIA  -2'

159 OREGON STATE
P: 3:30PM C: 5:30PM E: 6:30PM
160 ARIZONA  -6

161 MISSISSIPPI
P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM
162 ALABAMA  -30

163 MIAMI OHIO  -12
P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM
164 AKRON

165 MISSOURI  -3
P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM
166 CENTRAL FLORIDA

167 UTEP
P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM
168 EAST CAROLINA  -5

169 NC STATE
P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM
170 MIAMI FLORIDA  -5

171 FLORIDA STATE  -13'
P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM
172 SOUTH FLORIDA

173 TOLEDO
P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM
174 WESTERN MICHIGAN  -2'

175 NEVADA  -21
P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM
176 TEXAS STATE

177 LOUISVILLE  -14
P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM
178 SOUTHERN MISS

179 TEX SAN ANTONIO
P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM
180 NEW MEXICO STATE  -5

181 WISCONSIN
P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM ABC
182 NEBRASKA  -12

183 TULSA  -18'
P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM
184 UAB

185 UNLV
P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM
186 UTAH STATE  -21

187 HOUSTON  -6'
P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM  at Reliant Stadium
188 RICE


189 BOISE STATE  -32
P: 6:00PM C: 8:00PM E: 9:00PM
190 NEW MEXICO

191 SAN DIEGO STATE
P: 7:00PM C: 9:00PM E: 10:00PM
192 FRESNO STATE  -6

193 WESTERN KENTUCKY
P: 2:00PM C: 4:00PM E: 5:00PM
194 ARKANSAS STATE  -1

195 TROY  -13
P: 2:00PM C: 4:00PM E: 5:00PM
196 SOUTH ALABAMA

197 FLORIDA INTL
P: 2:00PM C: 4:00PM E: 5:00PM
198 UL - LAFAYETTE  -5

199 NORTH TEXAS  -9'
P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM
200 FLORIDA ATLANTIC

201 MID TENNESSEE STATE
P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM
202 GEORGIA TECH  -25

203 UL - MONROE  -14
P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM
204 TULANE



*no you cannot bet these as I will not be taking action.......so they are not (real)

A (close enuff) top 25.....
    *not 'rankings'....based on entitlement factors....but POWER RANKINGS based on what team would win by how much on a neutral field.....sorry if left someone out
     *this is more how oddsmakers see it than how I see it.....(I would drop OU outta top 40 )


1   ALABAMA    100    
2   OREGON      95
3   LSU         94
4   FLA ST      92
5   GEORGIA     91
6   USC         90
7   S CARO      90
8   FLORIDA     89
9   OU          87      
10  TEXAS       86
11  W VIRG      86
12  CLEMSON     85
13  OKIE ST     84
14  STANFORD    83
15  NOTRE DAME  82
16  KANSAS ST   82
17  NEBRASKA    82
18  VA TECH     81
19  TEX A&M     81
20  TCU         81
21  OHIO ST     81
22  MICHIGAN    80
23  MICH ST     79
24  LOUISVILLE  78
25  MISS ST     78


* Ga Tech...Tenn...La Tech...UCLA...BYU...Boise...

Thanks Bookie, Good Stuff.
Question for you. what was your assessment of the Arizona /
Oregon game last night ?

there he is....


*Zona ......(appeared)......to play better than I thought they would....> their DL gave Ducks some problems....with penetration and closed some running lanes.....BUT somehow lost by 49 points....wtf?
    *never bet against Ducks at home...esp at night
    *always look to play Ducks 2H...(vs a tough opponent)

Ducks miss LaMichael James (Barner good but not as close as most think)....LMJ a tougher runner that got BETTER as game wore on.....and was a fiery leader

A team with a strong defensive front will (once again) give Ducks problems.....> you don't have one ? (strong DL/LB) .....> you are prolly gonna get killed

 who ya like this week?

Bookie - I think it may be good to add Clemson in a let down spot against B.C. For several reasons... I think that ANY team not just Clemson, but any team coming off a big profile loss comes out flat the next week. Most people think teams will come back fired up, that's simply never the case. I think Clemson will win against B.C, they just will have a hard time doing it. Plus add in the fact they never play well up there. Clemson 38 B.C 30?

got 'em man....thanks for stopping by.....

hope you have this shit figured out better than I do so far......yeah BC with time to get healthy should stay close ....I'm hoping it opens close to 2 TD's...gonna hit it early if so....

agreed your boys don't appear to be a great 'bounceback' team....dangerous as hell otherwise...esp off a nice win ....with momentum...........BOL.....

You have ECU as a faovrite, or is that a typo?

Arizona was down in the Red zone many times and had the chance
to put points on the board either via FG or rush and failed to score.
Zona's QB had at least 3 picks and I saw a number of dropped
passes.Zona's D was up to the task as the score was 13 -0 at
halftime.The 3-3-5 did their job, but Zona's QB wasn't up to the
task.
Lines are just coming out, as soon as I get them I'll perform my
due diligence.I should know who I like by tomorrow morning.Since
the lines jump around today,I want to "overpay' by locking them in
tonight.I'll let you know as soon as I get them calculated out.It
looks like we've got a few good matchups this week.

 

Yeah man ECU should be favored by a few

Teams are roughly the same....plus HF

Oops, I meant to say I DON'T want to overpay by locking them
in early.

Bookie,  I know this is way off the map but how do you feel about Tx. San Antonio?  I'll probably risk a unit if they get some pts. @N.Mx. St.  Hell, maybe ML.

[Quote: Originally Posted by Pecador] Bookie,  I know this is way off the map but how do you feel about Tx. San Antonio?  I'll probably risk a unit if they get some pts. @N.Mx. St.  Hell, maybe ML.

    *tough to say....their schedule just TOO weak..
2 Dll schools.....1 FCS and S Ala.....they should be getting 5-6 or so...are a decent running team (43X/game....4.8/rush and 204 yds)...and NMSU has not stopped the run at all (5.0/rush...215 yds/g)....> New Mexico ran all over 'em....might be worth a shot
    I can tell you that Texas A&M Commerce and NWestern Okie St (2 UTSA wins).... are terrible Dll schools  

*Frogs are off a poor (for them and Patterson) effort
and Ponies look weak.....especially OL > uh-oh...
Patterson will be killing them in practice all week....
    *one thing to consider here.....Frogs get ZERO support and attention from Dallas folks and media...and are largely under appreciated  around here...they are trying to get their due respect .....so need a big win here
    $$$$....and another thing....last year Patterson was SUPER PISSED....at June Jones for (what he thought) were disrespectful comments made before their game....promise you he REALLY wants to beat their ass bad....and will NOT call off the dogs
   

good to hear from you....BOL man.........

good stuff bookie apreicate your insights ...TCU was my best and biggest play of the day 220 to win 200 and i was like this on the final drive to get the cover...its almost like they were shaving points the last 2 wks vs the jayhawks and saturday...may consider because the ponies and june jones are not to good ..thanks again for the good info........

yeah all JJ said was Frogs are easy to prepare for...
     *because they basically do the same stuff every year...> tough very aggressive D.....wide open O that  always runs very well....Patterson prides himself on keeping things simple....so players can simply react and not be slowed down by thinking too much...so comment was not out of line at all...

But Patterson ripped him all week...."we will NEVER help them again!".....we have done so much for them" +++  (evidently SMU came to them for advice)

Ponies were once on the way up yes....
but keep in mind JJ has been trying to leave for 2 years.....his players know it and they are not (haven't been) playing well........very lucky in bowl game to be facing a team even more screwed up ......(PITT)
                              

ok good stuff did not know this will consider and take a closer look.....keep up the good work bookie....

Hey Bookie, Just got back from a collection tour.While I was
out, I got some Stanford - 7.I couldn't resist at that price.

Book,   Yeh, I wanted to mention that SMU deal with Jones trying to find other jobs but didn't want to get long winded. He has been frustrated with lack of fan support for a long time. He has done good things at SMU since day one but things may be headed in the other direction.

A few others I'm looking at are;

BYU -28 ( hoping that # will come to me ).

No. Ill.-10

Tex A&M - 13 

ASU  + 2 

UGA  - 13

I'm still doing my matchups so I'll probably lock these in later
in the week.

Best of Luck this Week,Bud. 

I had forgotten about the Patterson comments.  What a psycho.  This is one year I don't have any interest in the Ponies in this game.

Also like UCLA to bounce back as well but probably will not
bet this one.I want to see how UCLA's young QB handles
himself on the road after a loss.

Opening line on 5dimes has PSU +1.5? 

yeah the damn lines moved way outta my favor by the time 5Dimes finally decided to release them.......
   *guess it's BetOnline around 3:00p or so....then Bookmaker 5:30-6:00 ish?.....Texas opened as a 5' pt dog ....2' pt favorite 1st time I saw it

So gonna wait on several....
locked in Horns at 2'.....Frogs at 17....Toledo +3

small stuff on Aggs -13'....BColl +10....Duke +3'....USF +15'....

Thinkin' about....
ULA -3 or so ....FIU is beat up ...off UCF and Louisville....with Ark St in 5 days....
    Cajuns off a bye with Tulane on deck....they have
    covered 15 of last 20 and 7 of 8 vs FIU....they got destroyed at Okie St but OSU off Zona loss > so should get some line value (not up yet)

N Caro
NC St....RB's all out maybe?....so might rise
Marshall?
Zona
TTech
BYU
UCF.....a 3 pt favorite wtf
Boise 1H as always.....
Wazzu ??....you watch they cover this one

INJURIES.....
    *meaning check status.....?? means we have no idea...may be 100%...may play at 50%....may sit....recall they don't have to say > OK to lie 

QB 
W MIch......Carder has busted/broken? finger....
FIU....Rice.....Okie St....NW.....IDAHO.....MInny
OHIO

OTHER
 FIU...RB's Rhodes and Harden
Wisky....RB Ball
WV.....RB Alston
Wash..RT Riva out....RG and LG are ??
WF....2 WR's and NT (best player on D)
La Tech....RB KIng
Buffalo....RB Oliver
NC St......all 3 RB's sound doubtful.....Greene suspended....Creecy and Washington maybe out too
Mich St.....DE Gholston



WG.....what's a 'collection tour' ?.....guessing a charitable type thing and not something seedy that I might do..........
    *kinda sorta like Tennessee...maybe Washington ?
hate to fade the weekday home dog .....rest I like...

danmcc....those lines look about right....stay away for me maybe...> PSU has cost me both ways...for some reason La Tech doesn't look good there.....
watch em win by 30..........


MWS  ......good man.....
    *yeah for some reason I've never liked Patterson much.....huge whiner when they do lose....lots of finger pointing / excuses......

RL .....yeah that WG knows what he's doing but I would lean to the weekday (explosive) home dog.....ex- Boise/Tenn DC Wilcox.....you gotta figure...will get the D going sooner or later .....(Huskies have a ton of injuries tho as always)........ 


ULAKID....Frogs are just VERY young....so inconsistent....and will look very shaky at times.......

A collection tour is when u ask a guy '' you got that thang for me?''

Bookie, That's when you take those "potentially worthless"
tickets that the sports books give you and convert them into
cash and more "potentially worthless " tickets.