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#1
Wednesday 3-1: Could almost taste a perfect day but Broxton had other plans letting the Reds lead slip away in the 8th. The Yankees/Rangers both made it a sweat but ended up victorious. Lastly the U7 in the Padres/Cubs game hit without much of a sweat. Even though I barely missed the sweep, ill gladly take the profitable day.
48-28 Last 76 (63.1%)
25-11 Last 36 (69.4%)
Season: 145-138-3
ML: 79-74
RL: 23-14
Totals: 32-37-2
Props: 11-13-1
Thursday's Plays
Mets/Marlins U6.5 (100): I usually try and avoid playing an under when the total is below 7, but I just don't see how I skip over this one. Marlins starter Josh Johnson is enters this game as one of the hottest pitchers in all of baseball. The comforting factor is this isn't a rare thing. Johnson imo has always been one of the more elite pitchers in all of baseball. He is one of those guys you probably don't think of right away and that's probably due to the fact he plays for the Marlins. His stats are hard to ignore and they are definitely standing out lately. He enters this game 2-0 with a 0.92 era in his last 3 starts. Even more impressive is his 0.87 WHIP, 0 home runs allowed, 22-6 K to Walk ratio in those 3 starts. In this game he will be facing a Mets team that has struggled against Johnson. In his career he is 8-1 with a 2.59 era vs the Mets. He also has some pretty good ownage on the Mets biggest (quite possibly only) real offensive threat David Wright. In 32 at bats lifetime Wright is 7-32 for a .219 average to go with 1 home run and has struck out 8 times. Some of the other notables, Ike Davis is 1-9 and Scott Hairston is 0-5 lifetime. Johnson will be making his 2nd start this season vs the Mets and his 1st one was a success. Back in April, Johnson went 6 innings, allowing 1 run on 3 hits, walking 1 and striking out 9 batters. Seeing how enters this game pitching the best he has all year, he should have a very good chance of a similar, if not better outing. Meanwhile on the other the Mets will be sending RA Dickey to the mound. Dickey is coming of 2 of his better starts in quite sometime. The knuckleballer has a 2.70 era in his last 3 outings with a WHIP of 1.19. He has had success in home starts with a 2.86 era and a WHIP of 1.00. He will face a Marlins line up who rank near the bottom in the league against right handed pitching at #28. The Marlins line up features lots of young new players filling in spots on the roster just to finish off the season. This will give Dickey a nice advantage in terms of familiarity, even more so the fact he is a knuckleballer. Most knuckleballers tend to have much higher success against opponent batters that aren't too familiar with this type of pitching. Also working in Dickey's favor is some good #s vs the Marlins biggest threat Giancarlo Stanton. In 13 at bats Stanton is just 3-13 for a .231 average, just 1 homer, and 5 strike outs. Jose Reyes is 2-12 for a .167 average. The biggest threat #s wise vs Dickey would seem to be Carlos Lee, just looking at the numbers. Lee is 8-21 with a .381 average, but it should be noted that Lee is just 2 for his last 14 vs Dickey, with most of his success coming in his prime years. On the year both teams have struggled in the bullpen department, but they have been on the up rise lately. The Mets are ranked #5 (compared to #28 seasonal) and the Marlins are ranked #19 (compared to #22 season) in terms of bullpen production in each teams last 7 games. I also feel much more comfortable with these two teams bullpens since they are facing each other and both teams don't exactly light up the scoreboard too often. I also feel Dickey and Johnson will go deep in this game and limit the # of innings we will see bullpen action. Full game it is for me, but I fully understand and respect all of those who will be on this play for the 1st 5 only.
Red Sox ML (-126): Well this will be the third game in a row that I have a bet placed in a game that involves the Red Sox. The only difference is this time I will finally be backing them. After a wild high scoring series against the Rangers, the Sox probably feel a little disheartened that they weren't able to win the series. They have been scoring at will lately and ending up on the losing end due to there pitching. The starting lefty for the Sox in this one will be Felix Doubront whose is a tough pitcher to figure out. Looking through his previous outings, he has quite a little pattern going. His last outings in terms of runs allowed looks like this, 5 runs, 1 run, 6 runs, 1 run, 3 runs, 1 run, 5 runs... so if the pattern continues it would be time for another 1 run performance... okay sign me up!! I am just kidding, I would never make this play on that alone of course, but it is an interesting trend he has going on. I do like his chances of having a good outing against a Tribe team that ranks near the bottom in league vs lefties at #25 overall. Doubront overall has fared well on the road with a respectable 3.57 era. The play in this game is more a play on the Red Sox offensive splurge being able to take advantage of the Indians Ubaldo Jimenez who is fading fast. Jimenez is has a 5.60 era in his last 3 outings and has allowed 5 runs or more in 4 out of his last 5 outings. His career #s vs the Red Sox isn't something he brags about to his teammates either. It's a small sample size but a very powerful one at that. In 2 starts, Jimenez has pitched last just 10 innings total and he has allowed 13 runs on 19 hits. The Red Sox offense is averaging 6 runs per game in there last 6 outings and will pose a serious threat to a slumping Jimenez. I expect the hot Red Sox offense to come out flying in search of a much needed motivational win.
I might add a play at some point during the day, but all I got time for right now before falling asleep on my keyboard is these 2. Got 1 more daily grind at work before the weekend and much more time. Best of Luck everyone
48-28 Last 76 (63.1%)
25-11 Last 36 (69.4%)
Season: 145-138-3
ML: 79-74
RL: 23-14
Totals: 32-37-2
Props: 11-13-1
Thursday's Plays
Mets/Marlins U6.5 (100): I usually try and avoid playing an under when the total is below 7, but I just don't see how I skip over this one. Marlins starter Josh Johnson is enters this game as one of the hottest pitchers in all of baseball. The comforting factor is this isn't a rare thing. Johnson imo has always been one of the more elite pitchers in all of baseball. He is one of those guys you probably don't think of right away and that's probably due to the fact he plays for the Marlins. His stats are hard to ignore and they are definitely standing out lately. He enters this game 2-0 with a 0.92 era in his last 3 starts. Even more impressive is his 0.87 WHIP, 0 home runs allowed, 22-6 K to Walk ratio in those 3 starts. In this game he will be facing a Mets team that has struggled against Johnson. In his career he is 8-1 with a 2.59 era vs the Mets. He also has some pretty good ownage on the Mets biggest (quite possibly only) real offensive threat David Wright. In 32 at bats lifetime Wright is 7-32 for a .219 average to go with 1 home run and has struck out 8 times. Some of the other notables, Ike Davis is 1-9 and Scott Hairston is 0-5 lifetime. Johnson will be making his 2nd start this season vs the Mets and his 1st one was a success. Back in April, Johnson went 6 innings, allowing 1 run on 3 hits, walking 1 and striking out 9 batters. Seeing how enters this game pitching the best he has all year, he should have a very good chance of a similar, if not better outing. Meanwhile on the other the Mets will be sending RA Dickey to the mound. Dickey is coming of 2 of his better starts in quite sometime. The knuckleballer has a 2.70 era in his last 3 outings with a WHIP of 1.19. He has had success in home starts with a 2.86 era and a WHIP of 1.00. He will face a Marlins line up who rank near the bottom in the league against right handed pitching at #28. The Marlins line up features lots of young new players filling in spots on the roster just to finish off the season. This will give Dickey a nice advantage in terms of familiarity, even more so the fact he is a knuckleballer. Most knuckleballers tend to have much higher success against opponent batters that aren't too familiar with this type of pitching. Also working in Dickey's favor is some good #s vs the Marlins biggest threat Giancarlo Stanton. In 13 at bats Stanton is just 3-13 for a .231 average, just 1 homer, and 5 strike outs. Jose Reyes is 2-12 for a .167 average. The biggest threat #s wise vs Dickey would seem to be Carlos Lee, just looking at the numbers. Lee is 8-21 with a .381 average, but it should be noted that Lee is just 2 for his last 14 vs Dickey, with most of his success coming in his prime years. On the year both teams have struggled in the bullpen department, but they have been on the up rise lately. The Mets are ranked #5 (compared to #28 seasonal) and the Marlins are ranked #19 (compared to #22 season) in terms of bullpen production in each teams last 7 games. I also feel much more comfortable with these two teams bullpens since they are facing each other and both teams don't exactly light up the scoreboard too often. I also feel Dickey and Johnson will go deep in this game and limit the # of innings we will see bullpen action. Full game it is for me, but I fully understand and respect all of those who will be on this play for the 1st 5 only.
Red Sox ML (-126): Well this will be the third game in a row that I have a bet placed in a game that involves the Red Sox. The only difference is this time I will finally be backing them. After a wild high scoring series against the Rangers, the Sox probably feel a little disheartened that they weren't able to win the series. They have been scoring at will lately and ending up on the losing end due to there pitching. The starting lefty for the Sox in this one will be Felix Doubront whose is a tough pitcher to figure out. Looking through his previous outings, he has quite a little pattern going. His last outings in terms of runs allowed looks like this, 5 runs, 1 run, 6 runs, 1 run, 3 runs, 1 run, 5 runs... so if the pattern continues it would be time for another 1 run performance... okay sign me up!! I am just kidding, I would never make this play on that alone of course, but it is an interesting trend he has going on. I do like his chances of having a good outing against a Tribe team that ranks near the bottom in league vs lefties at #25 overall. Doubront overall has fared well on the road with a respectable 3.57 era. The play in this game is more a play on the Red Sox offensive splurge being able to take advantage of the Indians Ubaldo Jimenez who is fading fast. Jimenez is has a 5.60 era in his last 3 outings and has allowed 5 runs or more in 4 out of his last 5 outings. His career #s vs the Red Sox isn't something he brags about to his teammates either. It's a small sample size but a very powerful one at that. In 2 starts, Jimenez has pitched last just 10 innings total and he has allowed 13 runs on 19 hits. The Red Sox offense is averaging 6 runs per game in there last 6 outings and will pose a serious threat to a slumping Jimenez. I expect the hot Red Sox offense to come out flying in search of a much needed motivational win.
I might add a play at some point during the day, but all I got time for right now before falling asleep on my keyboard is these 2. Got 1 more daily grind at work before the weekend and much more time. Best of Luck everyone
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Sharky 
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