Thursday Night Easy

Forum: NFL Betting
Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Thursday Night Easy
tripjokerz1966 PM tripjokerz1966
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 106
West Virginia
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Posted: 12/17/2008 9:26:01 PM
Hey all in looking at the last game Jacksonville had a pick return for TD which happens but rarely returned the distance for the touch so minus -7 for Jacksonville (now at 16). Fred Taylor (not playing )broke a run of 34 yards to set up Scobbes 51 yard game winning field goal for the game winner. Given the fact Taylor's out and 51 yarders are not that common, I'll deduct another 3 points (now at 13), I leave Jacksonville there because I figure they'll be good for a touchdown and a couple field goals. Now to Indianapolis..the last game they only had the ball approximately 18 minutes and still put up 21 points. If we split it which wont happen because with Taylor out and Jacksonville's poor 3rd down efficency, I see Indy having a lot more time on the offensive  ....I see at least another 7-10 pts for Indy
(now at 28-31) so Indy covers this game easily. The O/U is not so easy. I see a couple different scenairios happening.....with Taylor and Matt Jones out for Jacksonville they will probably attempt to control the clock best they can with short passes and a heavy dose of Jones-Drew thus trying to keep the ball out of Indys hands, but given the poor 3rd down coversion rate and the absence of a couple key offensive players I dont see them being very successful soooo.....Indy may try to mix it up in which I see that happening given Jacksonsville 25th ranked run defense thus keeping Jacksonville nearly out of the game. Folks I simply see a Indy blowout coming here  probably 31-10 it wont fall far under the 44 line soon the under. Given the combined last 3 totals it looks like 37-38 range as the Colts D seems to be stiffining, well enough jibbering Im riding the UNDER but it will be a  all the way!  
dragon4lucky PM dragon4lucky
Joined: Oct 2006
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Posted: 12/17/2008 10:01:29 PM
I think it make more sense to play Indy with your write-up then playing the under.
21 points win by Indy vs. 4 points on the over/under
GL trip
42dave PM 42dave
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Posted: 12/17/2008 10:04:54 PM
i like Jax +6 at home i think INDY is way to overrated for a tough D like Jax
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Posted: 12/17/2008 10:13:28 PM
tough d??? 2008 Jags ???? really???
sKy777 PM sKy777
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Posted: 12/17/2008 10:27:40 PM

Jags D

Since they lost their big D-line, they havnt been the same.  Theres no pressure on the QB, Payton will pick them apart.  The important question is, how will the Colts Defense play?

I think Jags can get 16 against IND defense, Porter/Jones/Taylor are out which means, pound Jones-drew and kick FG's.

score prediction IND-27 JAC-13

RedDog54 PM RedDog54
Joined: Oct 2008
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Posted: 12/17/2008 11:45:49 PM
Tough  D??  The Browns beat Jax. at their place!
Indy rolls  34-13!
BigWinner888 PM BigWinner888
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United States
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Posted: 12/17/2008 11:51:48 PM
3angryinches PM 3angryinches
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United States
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Posted: 12/18/2008 12:00:49 AM
Jax d too tough? Indy put up 24 on Pittsburgh and 31 on Baltimore for those wins.
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Posted: 12/18/2008 12:28:55 AM
Vuudooo PM Vuudooo
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Posted: 12/18/2008 12:40:24 AM
insatiable PM insatiable
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Posted: 12/18/2008 12:56:50 AM
gomer49 PM gomer49
Joined: Dec 2007
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Posted: 12/18/2008 1:10:27 AM
Like to think the under will happen ???
I will bet on it .
Scooter23 PM Scooter23
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Posted: 12/18/2008 1:39:59 AM
Jax D tough
Chezman PM Chezman
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Posted: 12/18/2008 2:08:17 AM
Like a-holes, we all have an opinion and a pick on this game.
JAX +6
bill603 PM bill603
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 294
New Hampshire
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Posted: 12/18/2008 3:36:13 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dragon4lucky:

I think it make more sense to play Indy with your write-up then playing the under.
21 points win by Indy vs. 4 points on the over/under
GL trip
My thoughts exactly.You're saying its going to be a 21 pt Indy blowout but but your taking the iunder that you think will be a nail biter??        BOL though
bander16 PM bander16
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Posted: 12/18/2008 7:29:29 AM
no blowout here wise up and take jacksonville
WildBill2009 PM WildBill2009
Joined: Dec 2008
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Posted: 12/18/2008 7:32:35 AM
After a close call with Detroit, Indy will not let this needed win stay close. Indy covers.

Rennick out
D-Town PM D-Town
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Posted: 12/18/2008 8:57:37 AM
Forum: NFL Betting
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