Posted: 5/18/2012 3:25:43 AM
Originally Posted by snake2710:
I think you have a good reasoning but got to remember the canes have found some form lately and will be very hard to beat in the capital
Last week was, imo, a game Otago lost rather than the Canes won. But whatever one's opinion in that regard, I don't see how anyone can make the case that last week was an emphatic win by the Canes. That's not saying it wasn't a good win to get, but it could easily have gone the other way (Otago lost their way the moment they got up 14-3, that loss in squarely on them). The week before that the Canes played the horrible Blues, and yet still only pulled away in the 2nd half. Their 2 games prior to that they got the garbage hammered out of themselves.
I'm not impressed by this team. The only time they've looked good in NZ has been against South African teams a long way from home. But why Hammet would want to change a winning combination by getting rid of Barrett, well we'll have to see the wisdom of that decision.
fwiw - I missed including the Canes half-time 5 pt deficit vs Otago from last week. That means in 6 games in NZ vs non-SAF teams, they've only covered this spread once, by 1 pt, against the worst Australasian team going.