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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: fade mlb 70% pulic plays?
BigA524
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BigA524
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#1
Posted: 5/27/2012 4:41:19 PM
read somewhere else about it.

Fade the 70% or more public play when the line drops.

I checked for the month of may so far and its up 8u. 
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Lippsman
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#2
Posted: 5/28/2012 5:33:46 PM
Think you will end up a 50-50 here.
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BigA524
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#3
Posted: 6/3/2012 4:46:53 PM
record is 50/50 the units are up close to 10.
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#4
Posted: 6/3/2012 7:13:23 PM
What do you use for public percentages? And how much must the line drop?
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#5
Posted: 6/3/2012 11:33:11 PM
i tried something similar to this it does ok.... with baseball the big underdogs (under 30%) tend to hit more often on weekends.  or so it seems.  
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Lippsman
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#6
Posted: 6/4/2012 9:29:24 AM

It would be nice if you listed the plays before the game starts, where everyone can track.

Also where are you getting the percentages.  Here, sportsinsights, sportsbook ?

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BigA524
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#7
Posted: 6/5/2012 12:18:02 PM
I'm getting the numbers from here. 2 potential plays tonite.
Also it seems like they win more when the line drops 20 or more.
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Lippsman
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#8
Posted: 6/9/2012 10:10:40 AM

Guessing things are about even unit wise now.

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BigA524
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#9
Posted: 6/9/2012 7:21:54 PM
there havent been any plays since i posted this..lol.
nothing over 70%
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BigA524
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#10
Posted: 6/15/2012 5:29:21 PM
we have a play.

72% on Det. Play is Colorado.
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BigA524
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#11
Posted: 6/18/2012 9:47:53 PM
1-0 +1.36 on posted plays.

San Diego +156 tonite.


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SUPEREAGLE43
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#12
Posted: 6/19/2012 10:40:22 PM
I think u missed the cubs opener against the white sox.
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BigA524
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#13
Posted: 6/20/2012 6:36:39 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SUPEREAGLE43:

I think u missed the cubs opener against the white sox.


Line didnt drop in that game.

Tonite

SD +168
record 1-1 +.36
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