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Author: [Pro Football] Topic: Miami at Indianapolis (11/04/2012)
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#1
Posted: 10/30/2012 12:55:53 AM

Away:  Miami [4-3 ATS]
Home:  Indianapolis [4-3 ATS]

Game Time: 1:00 PM
Stadium: Lucas Oil Stadium

Recent Meetings:
N/A

Team Leaders:

Miami:
Passing: Ryan Tannehill (1472)
Rushing: Reggie Bush (493)
Receiving: Brian Hartline (555)

Indianapolis:
Passing: Andrew Luck (1971)
Rushing: Donald Brown (319)
Receiving: Reggie Wayne (757)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

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#2
Posted: 10/30/2012 1:02:15 AM
Miami has the dirty D going. Love them here
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#3
Posted: 10/30/2012 2:33:55 AM
Miami

YTD: 38-30-1 (55.9%)
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#4
Posted: 10/30/2012 7:40:33 AM

Miami - 20                                        Indianapolis - 14

Dolphins - 1                                    under 43

Dolphins are moneymakers when playing lower level afc south teams..Worth a small play on the fish to exit Indy with a "w".

Miami - Under

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#5
Posted: 10/30/2012 12:40:08 PM
I like the job Philbin is doing in Miami but even "IF' Tannehill plays (???),I don't think they can pull this one off in Indy.Luck is showing his has more than just 'luck' and home crowd IMO will play big for them here.I'll take the points and some M/L action as well.Home dog of the week!
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#6
Posted: 10/30/2012 4:29:48 PM
Miami is going to kill them. Miami LArge.

Miami killed the Jets who killed Indy.


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#7
Posted: 10/31/2012 9:50:42 AM
[Quote: Originally Posted by mellowman7883] Miami is going to kill them. Miami LArge.

Miami killed the Jets who killed Indy.
 
I love that logic. Miami should win maybe by 10 hopefully more. The D is nasty right now and looks amazing


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#8
Posted: 10/31/2012 4:27:32 PM

So the thinking for some is...Miami should kill Indy because Miami killed the Jets who killed Indy...do I have that logic correct?

SHEEESH!!!

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#9
Posted: 10/31/2012 6:07:25 PM
Yup thats the logic. 

Remember, Indy could not score more than 13 in regulation against one of the worst defenses in the NFL  Tenn. How are they going to score more than 13 against the 'nasty' as somebody referred to it, Miami Defense?  Matt Moore looked pretty good the other day also. Whoever is under center for Miami will do fine. If the JAgs can get in the twenties against Indy then so can Miami. Miami allowing only 18 points per game on average and less wil be allowed against the anemic offense of Indy.

Loving on Miami here.
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#10
Posted: 10/31/2012 7:29:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mellowman7883:

Yup thats the logic. 

Remember, Indy could not score more than 13 in regulation against one of the worst defenses in the NFL  Tenn. How are they going to score more than 13 against the 'nasty' as somebody referred to it, Miami Defense?  Matt Moore looked pretty good the other day also. Whoever is under center for Miami will do fine. If the JAgs can get in the twenties against Indy then so can Miami. Miami allowing only 18 points per game on average and less wil be allowed against the anemic offense of Indy.

Loving on Miami here.

 

. . .that's why the spread is so low right?  Vegas has no clue. . .Betting the NFL is all about matchups not who beat who. .GL.

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#11
Posted: 10/31/2012 8:35:02 PM
Thanks for the input Forkball.  Do you have some insight on the matchups? Angle? Thinking about loading up on Miami but if there is a reason not to, I definately want to hear it. 
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#12
Posted: 10/31/2012 9:22:26 PM

    Phins trying very hard to get this team sailing in the right direction. Luke & company, still learning how to win. Miami merits the favoritism here. However, see a close game.

MIAMI   - 1

Under 43

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#13
Posted: 11/1/2012 1:20:21 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mellowman7883:

Miami is going to kill them. Miami LArge.

Miami killed the Jets who killed Indy.


That logic doesn't always work. Yes the Dolphins blew out the Jets in 1 game but they also lost to the Jets in the first meeting of the season. As good as the Dolphins have been on the road, the Colts have been equally as good at home including wins over 2 5-3 teams. Dolphins are much improved this year but I will take the home team +2.5 & the under.

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#14
Posted: 11/1/2012 2:57:36 PM

Tannehill who suffered the leg injury is out practicing with the first team today and looks like he is not limping as much but the Dolphins are still uncertain if he will start or even play on Sunday. Miami will also be without the services of DT McDaniel who is key in their front seven rotation on defense and special teams.He will be replaced by the rookie Kheeston Randall.

CB Vontae Davis who was traded to the Colts from the Dolphins is out this weekend. I'm hoping Tannehill or Moore can exploit their pass defense this weekend with the loss of Davis. The Dolphins are really struggling in their running game as of late so they need to get that going in this one for their passing game to be effective.

I'm hoping that the Dolphins continue to build on their progression and keep on focusing on getting better. I'm hoping the momentum from that BIG Jets victory will continue to grow from here on out.WR Jabbar Gaffney seen his first action as a Dolphin last week and caught 1 huge pass but dropped 1 potential TD catch. He should be getting better as time progress and will be a valuable addition to the Dolphins offense.

The Colts are on the rise as well and Luck is starting to show why he was the first pick of the draft. Offensivley the Colts has a lot more weapons than the Dolphins do but I'm hoping that the Dolphins defense can pressure Luck long enough for his weapons on offense be a non factor for this game. If Luck can capitalize on the Dolphins defensive weakness which is their pass defense it might be a long day for the Dolphins.

The Dolphins are getting better but so are the Colts. I'm not sure if the Dolphins have shown enough improvement to be giving points as a road team to a team on the rise as well but....As usual I'm hoping as a fan for a Dolphins victory.

GO DOLPHINS!!!!!!!!!

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#15
Posted: 11/1/2012 8:05:29 PM
Thanks for the info BidDaddy, Going to go light on the Dolphins. 
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#16
Posted: 11/2/2012 9:50:25 AM
my analysis here is hardly solid on the matchups, because honestly, the fins are the better team, but that is already factored into the line, leading to an inflated spread between two teams with the same record.

I put this line at fins +2.5 before the number came out, and while it's all within the 3 zone, that's a 5 point swing, making me feel like i have to ride the luck train.  Indy has beaten SU ... the browns (better than you think), vikings, packers at home this year, and the fins fall somewhere in the middle range there.  Im a fan of the fins defense, but it is vulnerable to the pass, and they don't do well against #1 receivers, which could mean a big day for reggie wayne.  When it all comes down, I just can't help but shake the feeling that luck pulls off a game winning drive if they can't put it away sooner.

COLTS +2.5
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#17
Posted: 11/2/2012 12:31:57 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by mellowman7883:

Thanks for the info BidDaddy, Going to go light on the Dolphins. 

 not a problem just trying to lay some info for all to use in any which way they decide but never in a way to sway their wager in any direction.

Both teams had very low expectations to start the season so it will be very interesting to see how both teams play with actual playoff implications on the line.

Good luck to you on all your plays

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#18
Posted: 11/2/2012 2:33:49 PM
Tannehill, Hartline and McDaniel officially ruled as Questionable and Richard Marshall is Out! 
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#19
Posted: 11/2/2012 3:37:56 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Pricetopher:

Tannehill, Hartline and McDaniel officially ruled as Questionable and Richard Marshall is Out! 

Marshall has been out for at least 4 games now. Nolan Carroll has done a decent job in his abscence....not hall of fame numbers but decent.

I would be surprised if Tannehill does not play but it would hurt the Dolphins more if Tannehill plays injured as his mobility is a big part of his game.

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#20
Posted: 11/2/2012 7:40:32 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bigdaddyhpd:

Marshall has been out for at least 4 games now. Nolan Carroll has done a decent job in his abscence....not hall of fame numbers but decent.

I would be surprised if Tannehill does not play but it would hurt the Dolphins more if Tannehill plays injured as his mobility is a big part of his game.


Yeah, I understand he's been out for the past month or so... just making it known. And, you're absolutely right - if Miami tries to play Tannehill without yet being 100%, it wouldn't bode well for the 'Phins.
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#21
Posted: 11/2/2012 9:56:02 PM

Ugh! Matt Moore?!?!       I just can't back that. Even if Tannehill plays, he's not going to be 100%. Plus Mathis coming back on one side of the line, Freeney on the other, and Angerer over the middle, this is what's going to win this game for Indy - not their offense.........

Indy M/L - sorry Big Daddy - but hey, the Phins are looking decent.....

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#22
Posted: 11/3/2012 12:49:05 PM
under 43
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#23
Posted: 11/3/2012 2:38:04 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bigdaddyhpd:

Tannehill who suffered the leg injury is out practicing with the first team today and looks like he is not limping as much but the Dolphins are still uncertain if he will start or even play on Sunday. Miami will also be without the services of DT McDaniel who is key in their front seven rotation on defense and special teams.He will be replaced by the rookie Kheeston Randall.

CB Vontae Davis who was traded to the Colts from the Dolphins is out this weekend. I'm hoping Tannehill or Moore can exploit their pass defense this weekend with the loss of Davis. The Dolphins are really struggling in their running game as of late so they need to get that going in this one for their passing game to be effective.

I'm hoping that the Dolphins continue to build on their progression and keep on focusing on getting better. I'm hoping the momentum from that BIG Jets victory will continue to grow from here on out.WR Jabbar Gaffney seen his first action as a Dolphin last week and caught 1 huge pass but dropped 1 potential TD catch. He should be getting better as time progress and will be a valuable addition to the Dolphins offense.

The Colts are on the rise as well and Luck is starting to show why he was the first pick of the draft. Offensivley the Colts has a lot more weapons than the Dolphins do but I'm hoping that the Dolphins defense can pressure Luck long enough for his weapons on offense be a non factor for this game. If Luck can capitalize on the Dolphins defensive weakness which is their pass defense it might be a long day for the Dolphins.

The Dolphins are getting better but so are the Colts. I'm not sure if the Dolphins have shown enough improvement to be giving points as a road team to a team on the rise as well but....As usual I'm hoping as a fan for a Dolphins victory.

GO DOLPHINS!!!!!!!!!




yup.2 big reasons here to take the Colts at home,especially if
Tannehill can't go. Moore has been a bench warmer to long.


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#24
Posted: 11/3/2012 2:40:39 PM
take this game low thats were the money at
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#25
Posted: 11/4/2012 12:08:47 AM

MIA DEFENCE VS COLTS OFFENCE  

MIA -3
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