Posted: 8/7/2012 10:52:20 PM
I need your expertise, tennis reasoning skills and thoughts on this match. I am trying to improve my capping skills and here's the situation.
Why is this line like this?
At 5 dimes the line is Shahar Peer (ranked 56) -135 and Eugenie Bouchard ranked 237 is +115
Shahar Peer (age 25) has won /loss this year 15/19 Eugenie Bouchard (age 18) year to date record is 30/9 won loss however most of these matches were won playing in smaller tournaments. Peer has played far tuffer competion, has way more experience. Bouchard played in Wash, DC last week and won 2 matches against lower ranked players than Shahar Peers ranking and she loss her third match to Sloan Stevens.
So what am I missing? The line looks to good to be true, however in sports gambling this line is telling me to lay off and chose another match or to make a small play on Bouchard.
Do the bookies know something that i don't know?
Is Shahar Peer injured?
Is Peer tennis water logged and just "DONE" ? Has Peer's desire, motivation, dettermianation and fighting spirtit gone or on vacation?
advice needed on why this line is like this?