BCS Trend

Forum: College Football
Author: [College Football] Topic: BCS Trend
Mack05 PM Mack05
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4397
 
Mack05
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Posted: 1/7/2013 7:50:39 PM
Bowl dogs of 7 points or more are a PERFECT 7-0 ATS if they won more than 92% of their games and allowed fewer than 15 points per game...The Irish are 12-0 and have allowed around 10. Not only that all 7 won SU....

I agree that Bama looks too good to be true but it's VERY hard to cover in 3 BCS matches in 4 years. History tells us each win gets more and more difficult. At some stage you figure they will end up in a close one.Maybe tonight's the night? 

Also 40 years ago the Irish won 24-23 and history has a strange way of repeating itself. The cappers that point out the Tide are better on both sides of the ball are correct, but games are not played out on paper. All the pressure is on Alabama tonight and while they have won big games before its still very difficult as I said to win 3 out of 4 titles. The longer the Irish can hang the more pressure the Tide will feel. 

Not only that if the Irish go up early Bama may panic Afterall their players and Nick Saban are human...Lot of respected cappers on Bama and I see why but I am playing the Irish. I think 10 points is a lot to give a decent defence....
bookiekilla PM bookiekilla
Joined: Apr 2001
Posts: 2613
Texas
 
bookiekilla
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Posted: 1/7/2013 7:56:52 PM
You make some great points, but if BAMA is losing, they will not panic.  Please see LSU game and GEO game.  Both games they were losing and found a way to win.  I agree 10 is a lot of points, but I am going to give them.  Good luck anyways! 
ho9529 PM ho9529
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 390
Mississippi
 
ho9529
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Posted: 1/7/2013 8:02:14 PM
PANIC.. NOT BAMA!.. Tide wins by Double Digits ... ANY TEAM that went 3 Overtimes with  PITT can't stay with BAMA.. Ole MISS hammered PITT just this Weekend .. GL!
Mack05 PM Mack05
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4397
 
Mack05
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Posted: 1/7/2013 8:14:11 PM
Ho you may be right and the 'proven' Tide roll here but you shouldn't judge ND on one game. They had a tough schedule this year beating 10 Bowl teams. They play tough and find a way to hang in there. 

Also this is the third BCS title game ever to have a spread in the double-digit range. The first two double-digit favorites (FSU in 2001 and Miami in 2003) both lost the game outright. It's not wise to just ignore this trends and to ignore history. 

I see the confidence behind Bama backers but in my opinion this is the poorest of the Bama teams that have won the BCS over the past few years. When I add everything up and when I think just how hard it is to win 3 out of 4 I have to take the points. I think this could end up being a nail biter and here's hoping 10 points looks very generous...
Mack05 PM Mack05
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4397
 
Mack05
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Posted: 1/7/2013 8:34:28 PM
Good luck to all. here we go! 
Forum: College Football
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