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Author: [College Football] Topic: NCAA FOOTBALL week 6 (36-22 YTD)
jdnmoney send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#1
Posted: 10/1/2012 1:46:39 AM
week 5 thread : http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=41&sub=101426657

was boxed for whatever reason but posted 5-2 LW including my monster play of SAN JOSE STATE +1.5

will update you all tomorrow! 


really good to be back



week 6 
KENT ST -2
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#2
Posted: 10/1/2012 4:44:07 AM
 got it locked in early
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#3
Posted: 10/1/2012 10:19:13 AM
LAST WEEK RECORD:    5-2          (71.42%)
YTD SEASON RECORD:   36-22-1   (62.07%)
YTD FUTURES RECORD:  0-0-0                  
YTD SIDES RECORD:    21-15-1      (58.33%)

YTD O/U RECORD:      14-6             (70.00%)     
MONSTER PLAYS YTD:   4-1                 (80.00%)

YTD units:                                   +17.89   
Units Last Week:                     +3.80
   

previous thread: http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=41&sub=101426657


                                                                      WEEK 5 RECAP
La Tech -2.5
Nevada -20
Washington +8
rice v Houston over 76
San Jose St +1.5        BIG 2u
Oregon vs Washington state o70.5
UL Lafayette -6





[


5-2 for the week, hitting the BIG play  


36-22 YTD : 62.07%
  




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#4
Posted: 10/1/2012 10:38:10 AM
welcome back buddy
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#5
Posted: 10/1/2012 10:46:41 AM
Pending Futures Wagers

Utep UNDER 4.5 (-130)
Idaho UNDER 4.5 (-170)
Army UNDER 5.5 (-110)

Ohio UNDER 9.5 (+130)
UNLV UNDER 4.5 (-195)
Duke  OVER 3.5 (-190)      WINNER
futures thread: http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=33&sub=101375357
POST #10

Week 6 Card
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Arkansas St +1.5
Miami OH +21
UL Monroe -3.5
Kent State -2               MONSTER PLAY



**Leans
UNLV vs La tech OVER   (60 or less)
Tulsa vs Marshall OVER  (90 or less)
Illinois +14.5
Army +10
Northwestern +3.5
Mass vs W. Mich OVER  (55 or less)
Wyo +16
Nebraska +5
Akron +5
UL Lafayette - whatever vs Tulane (28 or less)


Kent State -2               MONSTER PLAY
Kent state has the best defense in the MAC, and although they did not put it on display vs Ball State (maybe the best offense in the MAC), i expect them to get back to business vs a garbage EMU squad.
Kent State struggles to defend the pass, which is a weakness EMU will not be able to exploit.

EMU comes in 0-4 after getting butt pounded by Ball State, an embarassing loss to Illinois State, and a crappy showing at purdue. their last outing was respectable vs michigan state, losing 23-7.

Through week 5 in College football, EMU has only ONE receiver with more 10 catches...FOR THE SEASON. their quarterbacks have only thrown for 612 yards for the 1st 4 games of the year (in situations where they have been trailing the entire game. )

My point on EMU is that their offense if far from explosive, even as the run game is only averaging 3.8 YPC. they have shown an inability to through the football, even in situations where they are passing exclusively. Kent State has an exquisit run defense and the best overall defense in the MAC, and i think they will smother EMU, force them to throw the football which they do not want to do, and will win this game going away.

Kent state has also shown the ability to be very explosive on offense, which they have not had for a long time.

they have scored this year: 41, 14 (kentucky) 23, 45 points this year. EMU has allowed an average of 37 PPG thru the 1st 4,

I cannot see this garbage EMU team, who has regressed significantly since last year, beating a Kent State team visioning winning the MAC east this year,

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#6
Posted: 10/1/2012 10:47:52 AM
LAST WEEK RECORD:    5-2          (71.42%)
YTD SEASON RECORD:   36-22-1   (62.07%)
YTD FUTURES RECORD:  0-0-0                  
YTD SIDES RECORD:    22-16-1      (58.33%) CORRECTION

YTD O/U RECORD:      14-6             (70.00%)     
MONSTER PLAYS YTD:   4-1                 (80.00%)

YTD units:                                   +17.89   
Units Last Week:                     +3.80
   
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#7
Posted: 10/1/2012 12:37:26 PM
Kent st up to -3.5. Would u play it @ that number.?    Bol this week always look forward to u r picks !!
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#8
Posted: 10/1/2012 1:21:54 PM
yes, up to -6
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#9
Posted: 10/1/2012 1:31:03 PM
Outstanding record and a great write-up as usual. I'll do a bit more research on Kent State but I like your reasoning.


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#10
Posted: 10/1/2012 1:40:18 PM
Great work JD!!!


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#11
Posted: 10/1/2012 2:32:59 PM
laroja and jimmy


thanks guys! I have worked real hard. I respect each of ur opinions greatly! feel free to chat in  here any time.

hope the card is great for you guys in wk 6

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#12
Posted: 10/1/2012 6:56:48 PM
Great work jdnmoney. Looking at the opening totals.. can't believe they set Tulsa/Marshall at 67.5 or 68... looks way low.

Any thoughts on N Illinois/Ball State over 67.5? Good luck this week.
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#13
Posted: 10/1/2012 7:01:40 PM
BIGGEST PLAY OF THE SEASON

Marshall vs Tulsa OVER 67.5  


MONSTER PLAY     6 units   
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#14
Posted: 10/1/2012 7:02:45 PM
like the over there too in ball state NIU 
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#15
Posted: 10/1/2012 7:39:24 PM
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#16
Posted: 10/1/2012 7:51:36 PM
UPDATED CARD
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ark st +1.5
Pitt vs Syracuse UNDER 57
Miami oh +21
kent st -2              2u
ULM -3.5
Tulane vs ULL over 56.6
Tulsa vs Marshall over 67.5  MONSTER PLAY 6 u
Washington vs Oregon over 65 0.5 u

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#17
Posted: 10/1/2012 7:53:22 PM
parlay 3 (teams)
---------------------------------
kent st -2
Tulsa v Marshall over 67.5
3rd spot OPEN
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#18
Posted: 10/1/2012 7:59:45 PM
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#19
Posted: 10/1/2012 8:44:51 PM
Impressive record jdn
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#20
Posted: 10/1/2012 9:26:37 PM
leaning ul-lafayette also JD ...just hope they can get up for tulane because the green wave have been just dreadful ...you may want to check out there next game to see if they could be looking ahead ...would not give up more than say 24-27 ...may be 45- 20 or 38-17 type of score....keep up the good work  JD..one more thing JD what do you think of this TCU point shaving deal...i played them the last 2 wks going 1-1 and kind of like them vs state this weekend -14 but there games do look kind of shady......
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#21
Posted: 10/1/2012 11:09:28 PM
ULL- I would avoid TCU like the plague in this one...

Iowa state more than respectable 

really like ULL /over 56
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#22
Posted: 10/1/2012 11:20:49 PM

?"exquisit(sic) run defense"?  i like that turn of phrase, although not usually a word associated with football.

i like all your futures except ohio--they'll probably win their 10th game in the 'astro bluebonnet poulon weedeater bowl'.

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#23
Posted: 10/1/2012 11:28:35 PM
bowls dont count

regular season wins


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#24
Posted: 10/2/2012 12:05:14 AM
Tulsa vs Marshall over 67.5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tulsa is coming in 4-1 (2-0 CUSA) and have won 4 strait games.
after getting thumped at iowa state to start the year, Tulsa seems to have figured it out on offense. they have scored 45,66,27 and 49 in their last 4 games overall. Tulsa is averaging nearly 500 yds per game in total offense this year and over 5.5 Yards per rush this year. Tulsa has been mediocre on defense this year thusfar, allowing 38,10 (tulane), 16 (nichols st), 26, 42.
Uab shredded tulsa's garbage defense last week, as their backup QB passed for 337. Tulsa has given up a respectable 20/52 on third down conversions against the three relavent teams they have played.


Marshall has given up 102 points in the last two weeks and gave up 443 total yards to Purdue and an amazing 647 (301 rushing) yards to Rice. Marshall cannot get off the field on defense, allowing over 50% conversions on the year. Tulsa should find success running the football on marshall, and when they speed it up the big play will be there, as Marshall will be focused on stopping the run. Marshall has given up a score in 9 consecutive quarters, and has not allowed less than 24 points to anyone this year and are giving up an average of 44.5 PPG.

Marshall has the #1 rated passer in the country in Rakeem cato.
he has thrown for 1920 yards this year through 5 games, simply amazing. they have 5 guys with at least 10 catches on the year and 9 players have received a touchdown pass on the year. incredible. they are averaging 10 yards per completion, and also averaging 4.3 yards per carry rushing. they have nearly 2800 offensive yards through the 1st 5 games, nearly 600 YPG. also, over the last three games, marshall is 30/54 converting on third down this year. when they need clutch conversions, they get them.

the simple fact of the matter is that i think this game will be high scoring. i dont think either defense is going to be able to stop the other team. marshall gives up way too many big plays and they are just horrid on defense. their offense will put up a show at home. I really think each team will be in the 40's here and this one should soar over the total.
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#25
Posted: 10/2/2012 4:27:01 AM
good luck jdn
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